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-   -   4/19: Keeneland (5th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=46377)

Kasept 04-19-2012 09:37 AM

4/19: Keeneland (5th-9th)
 
KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Timely Pursuit 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Photo Shoot 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Our Noble Heart 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Tapaway 3-1 3rd


6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Hand I Was Dealt 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Distort This 5-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Romantic Channel 3-1 7th
Super Add: #7 SCR


7th: ALW/N2L, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Nearly impossible group to decipher..

Best Value: #5 Nitara 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Never Tell Lynda 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Plus One 10-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Cat Lore 5-2 4th


8th: Appalachian (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Dayatthespa 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 Somali Lemonade 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Regalo Mia 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Firehouse Red 12-1 4th



9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Jamaican Smoke 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #1 Dark Nebula 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Flat Out Foxy 3-1 9th
Best Value: #8 She Be Bunny 6-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Holiday Peace 5-1 7th


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-6
6: 4-8
7: 2-3-5-9
8: 1-4
9: 1-5-7

2x2x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-8
7: 2-3-5-9
8: 1-4-8
9: 1-5-7-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 04-19-2012 10:02 AM

KEE SCR/CHG'S

South Beach Luv 04-19-2012 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 853827)

What does this mean:

Quote:

RACE 8—Appalachian (G3) #1--Dayatthespa--Will race with NO Adjunct
Thanks in advance and GL today!

GPK 04-19-2012 10:20 AM

SB,

Your thoughts on Silver Timber today? The old fella has to be a play against at a short price, no?

Kasept 04-19-2012 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 853833)
SB,

Your thoughts on Silver Timber today? The old fella has to be a play against at a short price, no?

Only glanced, but Kelly Leak is one of my absolute favorites and am inclined to lean in that direction..

ateamstupid 04-19-2012 12:09 PM

If the 1st is any indication the rail is still golden.

MaTH716 04-19-2012 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 853854)
If the 1st is any indication the rail is still golden.

That was unbelieveable how the Ramsey horse just couldn't get by.

GPK 04-19-2012 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 853855)
That was unbelieveable how D. Wayne actually won a race.

FTFY

ateamstupid 04-19-2012 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 853855)
That was unbelieveable how the Ramsey horse just couldn't get by.

Was it? I've seen seemingly shot horses re-rally to win on the rail several times this meet.

Coach Pants 04-19-2012 02:17 PM

tough beat, Steve. That racing surface is an embarrassment for the sport. No sane person is impressed with complete collapses and the widest horse on the turn winning a route race.

It's flawed garbage that con artists are making millions from.

Kasept 04-19-2012 02:22 PM

Thx Coach. And you're 100% right. It's been very difficult to play anything but the turf there but I thought this sequence had a chance to be juicy. I reloaded for the P4 but am indeed disheartened by that eyesore event just now..

asudevil 04-19-2012 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 853890)
tough beat, Steve. That racing surface is an embarrassment for the sport. No sane person is impressed with complete collapses and the widest horse on the turn winning a route race.

It's flawed garbage that con artists are making millions from.

Spot on, CP. I have gotten crushed there the last 2 weeks.


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