Derby Trail Forums - 2/29: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Gulfstream (6th-10th)

Coming off a breakeven but wholly unproductive weekend where many good opportunities were missed. Solid sequences at AQU & GP to occupy time till Thursday SA carryover..

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/HCP, 4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Midnite Silver 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #6 I Love It 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Good Law 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Budge Man 5-2 3rd

7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

As discussed with Andy Serling on Tuesday ATR, Elusive Rumor is the stranger to work around given the established shortcomings of the first three choices..

Best Value: #4 Elusive Rumor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Bent On Glory 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Notell 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #8 Sugar Beach 5-1 4th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Unusually confusing set of five. 8-5 Bizarroworld technically cleared this condition when crossing wire first before being taken down 12/29. 6-1 Silent Thunder wins this with a return to his best when with Gullo and even 15-1 Cat Paws is conceivable with Aro-Caraballo adding blinkers after fiasco in Sportswriter's big win mid-January..

Most Likely: #2 Bizarroworld 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Silent Thunder 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Cat Paws 15-1 WON ($20.60)

9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Sandican 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 El Dreamer 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Jackin My Style 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #9 Pegasus Hellas 6-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6
7: 1-3-4-8
8: 1-2-3-4-5 (All)
9: 1-7

3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5f-T/96' (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Arabian Song 9-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Bala Perdida 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 She's Gonna Float 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: 1 Donya 12-1 5th

7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some nice pedigree connections among the debutters including Don Adam homebred Adrina (By A. P. Indy out of MGSW Ready's Gal; half to Machen); Stunning Lady (By Indian Charlie out of owner-breeders' own wonderful MGSW Mystic Lady) and Buleria (Claiborne bred Empire Maker out of MGSW Wend). From those that have started, Fine Silver is a Bluegrass Cat out of the Cox's Ridge mare that produced Klarman-owned/Violette-trained SW Swingforthefences..

Most Likely: #8 Evandear 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Volcat 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #7 Stunning Lady 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Cowgirl Kitty 15-1 9th

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/36' (P3, DD, Super)

Hope the #13 Lizzie Bear draws in because she's very atttractive with these..

NOTE: Not only did Lizzie Bear NOT draw in, but obvious standout Millenium Star has SCR'd..

Best Value: #3 Platinum Treasure 10-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Shezi 4-1 10th
Exotics use: #12 Scrabblecat 15-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Smart Spin 5-1 3rd

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T/96' (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Exeter Road 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Modest 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Quantity 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #12 Macarthur Causeway 12-1 5th

10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Despreoucupado 7-2 -
Best Value: #1 Steve's Adventures 6-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #5 Daddy's Wildcat 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Footwedge 6-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Packers Valley 6-1 -

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 5-9
7: 6-7-8
8: 2-3-4-12
9: 4-6
10: 1-7

2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 6-7-8
8: 2-3-4-12
9: 4-6-7
10: 1-4-5-7

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve