2/16: Fair Grounds (6th-9th); Santa Anita (5th-8th)
 

Wasn't hitting the Aqueduct carryover P6 Thursday with implausable Bail Out the Banks coming up a winner in the 2nd leg, but got sloppy in the late P4 leaving $160 in Bail Out Byk money on the table. Originally 3x2 with Midnight Visit included in the 8th, I tinkered to a 2x3 to get Believe in Betty on the quad play. You can next Believe in Betty when she returns to turf in the spring. It was an odd day with all the winner identified, but tricky to weave together on the big multis.

The highlight of the day was Coosada's $23.20 win in the 7th which helped mollify the misses. Between Ausable Chasm's exasperating non-effort as the favorite in the 3rd and the subsequent miscues, it wasn't the most enjoyable afternoons. Hope everyone did at least OK with some of the OK individual race results. Fair Grounds has the first mid-week card that has been interesting to me today with a couple of very good 3yo MSW's and top notch ALW on tap. Good sequence later at Arcadia as well!


FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM-$25k/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Laverne 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Ellusive Wildcat 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Blessed Moon 4-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Fascinating cast featuring price opportunities and loaded with sibling power including Mucho Macho Uno (half to Vow to Wager), Money Only (Out of MSW Snit & half to Blind Date and Sales Tax), Sir Bond (half to sire Wiseman's Ferry) and if Nick Zito actually sent him to NoLa, Len Reggio's Round Midnight who dropped from Mr. Jerkens MGSW Miss Shop..

Best Value: #8 Brigade 20-1: Tiznow from Jones & Jones goes 1st as 3yo.. 3rd
Next Best: #13 Last Gunfighter 10-1: Exits sharp debut but will need to work trip.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Sir Bond 3-1: Howard Street Sense colt close v. good ones.. WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #10 Round Midnight 12-1: If Zito does run here, it's with purpose 5th

$1 Exacta (11-13) Paid $26.90
$1 Trifecta (11-13-8) Paid $740.90


8th: OC-$40k/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Cease 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Tonto Fontenot 8-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #4 Infrattini 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Gentle Tap 8-1 6th


9th: MSW, 3-5yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Starter 5th
Best Value: #8 Purgenality 2nd
Next Best: #13 Burke's Book 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Al Musaddad WON ($43.20)


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-9
7: 1-4-6-8-9-10-11-13
8: 3
9: 7-8-12-13

3x8x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM-$8k, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Clue Me In 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Trumpet Player Jay 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Thrice the Vice 6-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Party Mandate 20-1 DNF-Lost rider


6th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Good looking, balanced group. Tough to separate..

Best Value: #4 Called to Serve 6-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Montego Bay 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Rocket Train 6-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Vibrato Jazz 4-1 WON ($9.80)


7th: CAL-ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Anything close to the maiden-breaker from Twelve Folds obviously wins easily. Can't misstep at all though as the next 3 are OK..

Most Likely: #5 Twelve Folds 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Belloma 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #3 Almost a Lady 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Vicki Victoria 4-1 3rd


8th: MDN CLM-$30k, 3yo-F, 5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Bellavini 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #1 T J's Stormy Wit 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Live the Forth 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Flashy Rae 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Whiskey Talks 8-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 3-4-7
6: 1-4-5-6-9-10
7: 5
8: 1-6-8-9

3x6x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve

A difficult card today at Santa Anita. Should be some good opportunities to find a few prices.

Neil Howard says he expects races to come off the turf today at FG..

Steve, the only thing Believe in Betty should be doing with turf is eating it. She certainly won't be winning racing on it....or any other surface.

I like this sequence and your picks in the FG races, but I really feel Infrattini is going to run a good one today.

is twelve folds a solid single?
the surface change cut back and wheel right back
all are confidence indicators

:tro:

They made the 9th at the FG a lot more interesting now, didn't they?:zz:

Great tri "give out" in the FG 7th. "ID please, sir"

:D

'Horses run good... What a surprise!'

Steve: Sir Bond didn't have a problem with this field. Do you know if he is going to try to go all the way to the Derby?

Neil Howard is a race at a time guy, but as you heard this morning, he thinks this is a very talented colt.

Imagine Louisiana Derby next April 1.

Like the change of the avatar Steve, Gary was a great ball player. 57 is too young.

Excellent call in the 9th at Fair Grounds.

Thx! Could not believe how he kept floating up and up. Once it came off the turf, he was very viable.