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-   -   SUN - Gulfstream (R8-R12 PK5/PK4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=45578)

Bogey 02-12-2012 07:01 AM

SUN - Gulfstream (R8-R12 PK5/PK4)
 
Gulfstream Park - POST SCRATCHES - FAST / GOOD


R8 - Alw 53.5K (Handicapping 101 - Plenty of speed lined up, so go with the projected closer)

#3 Unbridled Kamanchi (8-1) 4TH
#7 Jakesam (3-1) WON $7.60
#4 Sinorice (6-1)
#1 Devon Rock (5-2) 2ND

R9 - MSW 51k (Turf 3yo f 8.5F)

#5 Daylight Ride (7-2) - BEST BET - Checked repeatedly in debut and beautifully bred filly gets a route of ground to work with.
#4 Acting Class (12-1)
#10 Scarlett Madeleine (10-1) Late Scratch
#11 Smart Cash (5-1)

R10 - Clm 20k N2L

#4 Lakeside Chapel (8-1) 2ND
#8 Peleadora Fuerte (5-2) WON $5.40
#5 Lucky and Sweet (12-1)
#2 Gorgelicious (6-1) 3RD

R11 - Clm 30k N3L (Turf 7.5F)

#6 Miss Olivia Rae (10-1) 3RD
#10 Eden's Exchange (7-2) 2ND
#11 Untamed Glory (6-1)
#1 Idratherbeathespa (10-1)

R12 - Md 35k (Turf 8F)

#5 Zokarion (8-1) WON $10.60
#1 Fathers Honor (8-1)
#10 Volcano Run (8-5) 2ND
#9 Le Grand Rogue (12-1) 4TH

PK5 - 1 3 4 7 / 5 / 2 4 5 8 / 6 10 11 / 1 5 10 = $72

PK4 - 5 / 2 4 5 8 / 1 2 3 6 10 11 / 1 5 10 = $36 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

pointman 02-12-2012 01:50 PM

I find the 10th race a very difficult race to handicap, it almost looks like a race taken off the grass instead of scheduled on dirt. It is such a bad field, it is hard to gauge who actually will put in a decent effort on dirt. I think Ausable Chasm could be competitive against these suckers.

I agree with you in the 8th with all the speed, my only concern is the the fact that the 1 and 2 holes have won the vast majority of races run at 1 1/16 on dirt with a few going to the 3 hole, but anything out of that is severely compromised on the layout.

Bogey 02-12-2012 02:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 838164)
I find the 10th race a very difficult race to handicap, it almost looks like a race taken off the grass instead of scheduled on dirt. It is such a bad field, it is hard to gauge who actually will put in a decent effort on dirt. I think Ausable Chasm could be competitive against these suckers.

I agree with you in the 8th with all the speed, my only concern is the the fact that the 1 and 2 holes have won the vast majority of races run at 1 1/16 on dirt with a few going to the 3 hole, but anything out of that is severely compromised on the layout.

Nick, it is a bizarre group in the 10th and I just hope to survive. AC would definitely have a big shot with these.

You're right on with the inside being the place to be in these 1 1/16 races, but I can see Unbridled Kamanchi being just off the pace and sharp off the freshening. Good luck today.

pointman 02-12-2012 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 838186)
Nick, it is a bizarre group in the 10th and I just hope to survive. AC would definitely have a big shot with these.

You're right on with the inside being the place to be in these 1 1/16 races, but I can see Unbridled Kamanchi being just off the pace and sharp off the freshening. Good luck today.

Good Luck, Gus! I get the feeling that a couple of longshots could step up in this sequence and the pk5 can pay nice. I have to take a shot, but I am with you on the 10th race, I am just hoping to get through it as it has me totally confused.


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