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-   -   11/16: Aqueduct ($90k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44521)

Kasept 11-16-2011 07:10 AM

11/16: Aqueduct ($90k C/O)
 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES (BUT KEEP CHECKING W/ STAKE OFF/TURF LATE)


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #15 Settle for Medal 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Eversoul 8-1 WON via DQ ($23.40)
Next Best: #16 Same Old Wish 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Assured Victory 8-1 2nd via DQ

$1 Exacta (7-1) Paid $98.75
$1 Trifecta (7-1-15) Paid $685.00



5th: MSN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 McCarren Pink 4-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #5 Union Victory 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Langsyne 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Mistretta 15-1 6th


6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Late SCR
Next Best: #8 Maspeth Princess 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Lucy Stragmore 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Thunder Princess 5-2 4th


7th: May Night, 2yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Lady Cohiba 2-1 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #5 Cute Cadet 20-1 4th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Fun betting race. For those not playing P6 or P4, this is spot to pitch a tent with no shortage of price options to work from. Favored Risk a Chance (5-2) is OK returning to the main track after turf flops, but there's plenty of speed to keep her honest if she goes back to being interested in the front end..

Best Value: #9 Bailzee 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Beautiful Risk 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Pretty Cozzy 8-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Risk a Chance 5-2 5th


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #16 Grangerado 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Doodleman 10-1 7th


<$100 P5 P6 Play:

4: 1-7-15-16
5: 7
6: 7/SCR-8
7: 10
8: 3-7-9
9: 7-16

4x1x2x1x3x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 4-7/SCR-8-11
7: 6-10
8: 3-5-7-9
9: 7-16

4x2x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32


Good luck!
Steve

pweizer 11-16-2011 07:58 AM

No picks on the first race?

Paul

Kasept 11-16-2011 10:19 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

4th/9th OFF TURF and there may be more changes beyond the posted early SCR's...

ellpol 11-16-2011 10:42 AM

Who you picking in the first today Steve. Maybe you have a conflict of interest in that one. Good luck!

Kasept 11-16-2011 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pweizer (Post 817950)
No picks on the first race?

Paul

Quote:

Originally Posted by ellpol (Post 817978)
Who you picking in the first today Steve. Maybe you have a conflict of interest in that one. Good luck!

Sure looks like #1 Miss Tiny Rolecks (9-5) will be tough on her best, but #4 Rock Star Royalty (10-1) interests me as an alternate upset candidate while Gary's other filly #5 Valuable Lady (4-1), #8 Gin Cat (6-1) & our #9 Ausable Chasm (30-1) all can be part of the exotics picture.

Thanks to Gary, Paul and the barn staff and safe trip to Carlos and 'Sable!

Kasept 11-16-2011 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 817972)
AQU SCR/CHG'S

4th/9th OFF TURF and there may be more changes beyond the posted early SCR's...

Check back... Other SCR's have come in.

Kasept 11-16-2011 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 817983)
Sure looks like #1 Miss Tiny Rolecks (9-5) will be tough on her best WON ($4.30) , but #4 Rock Star Royalty (10-1) interests me as an alternate upset candidate while Gary's other filly #5 Valuable (4-1) 2nd, #8 Gin Cat (6-1) & our #9 Ausable Chasm (30-1) 3rd all can be part of the exotics picture.

Thanks to Gary, Paul and the barn staff and safe trip to Carlos and 'Sable!

$1 Tri (1-5-9) Pays $246.25

Kasept 11-16-2011 11:37 AM

7th now OFF THE TURF as well.. Goes at 1 mile...

ellpol 11-16-2011 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 817991)
$1 Tri (1-5-9) Pays $246.25

Nice tri I hope you had it and the third place $$$$ buys some feed congrats. I was on the road just got in gonna watch the replay on Twinspires.

Kasept 11-16-2011 12:20 PM

Track now GOOD and will be sealed for 4th and beyond...

SCR's keep coming in for 7th:

1 Scat's Lassie Late
3 More Than Love Late
6 Wholelottashakin Late
7 St Pancras Late
9 Crazy Party Late

RockHardTen1985 11-16-2011 01:32 PM

Can anyone tell me when the 7 was scratched out of the 6th? I played a small pick 3, but punched it a few times. I used 1,6,7 in the 6th, it took the wager on my ADW. Now its saying the 7 is out.

Kasept 11-16-2011 02:02 PM

Wow.. Martha Stewart. :wf

knickslions2 11-16-2011 02:21 PM

Trying a flier here

Aqueduct 7

$20 win 8
$10 box exacta 8,10

Kasept 11-16-2011 03:10 PM

Looks like a win by the 4 takes pool ($237k), otherwise a carry to Thursday..

Kasept 11-16-2011 03:35 PM

$237k Thursday! :$:


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