11/3: Churchill Downs (8th-12th)
 

Opening Day action was rather elusive Sunday except for $20+ hit on Gary 'Red Dog' Hartledge's On Fire Baby in co-featured Pocahontas. Quality portion of Breeders' Cup Week hits the oval at Churchill Thursday with excellent G3 Commonwealth anchoring the day's second half. Showers will pass through Louisville later this morning, but glorious conditions with sunny skies and 65-70 temperatures will grace the Downs and the Cup for the weekend.

'ATR' coverage of BC XXVIII continues Thursday with another round of selection discussion from show regulars and guests. Don't miss RacingUK's Nick Luck discussing all the Euro runners in Hour 2 Wednesday and Hour 3 Tuesday. My own opinions on Friday card up late this afternoon.


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF: 13: WON ($8.40)-4-10: 2nd-3: 3rd


9th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Africanist 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #8 Tritap 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Congenial 5-1 3rd


10th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Dust and Diamonds 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Honchis'n Ponchis 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Moon Buzz 3-1 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Arienza 3-1 5th


11th: Commonwealth Turf (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Very good collection of soph turfers with p[articularly tough decision needed on outposted Goldikova travelmate Salto..

Best Value: #1 Live in Joy 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Perregaux 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Silver Medallion 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 SCR


12th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Southern Rocket 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Grinning Gang 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super Add: #2 Court's Journey 5-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Devil Train 5-1 WON ($13.60)


<$50 P5 Play:

8: 4-13
9: 8-10-11
10: 9
11: 1-3-4-8/SCR
12: 2-3/SCr-5-9

2x3x1x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$50 P4 Play:

9: 8-10-11
10: 9
11: 1-3-4-8/SCR-10
12: 2-3/SCR-5-8-9-10

3x1x5x6 = 90 x .50 = $45


Good luck!
Steve

its pouring rain..

Not at the track. It was misting and then it rained and now it's stopped.

Steve Im putting together a pick 3, races 9-11. In the 10th are you not scared of Dust And Diamonds last? It seems like she hated the slop. I think I have to toss her, and just wondering if your backing off her with the track being sloppy.

Wilkinson
 

I gotta bet Wilkinson in the 11th on a yielding turf an improving horse. Third in a Grade 1 last out. Anybody with me?

Keying around Salto with the 1,3,4.