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-   -   BC tosses, longshots, locks and sentimental picks (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44328)

my miss storm cat 11-01-2011 05:51 PM

BC tosses, longshots, locks and sentimental picks
 
I figured there would be 20,000 threads in the Pad Lock (and rightly so!) so maybe we could have a little fun down here too...

Anyone wanna go first and just tell us one silly or sentimental bet they're planning? Who they won't be using and if there's a stupid reason behind it... that kinda thing?

Are you rooting against someone?

Love a certain name, sire, dam, owner...

Prettiest tail? :D

Anything!

C'mon. You know you want to. :p

nomad 11-01-2011 08:21 PM

Sure.
(That Kardashian thread was a bit too esoteric for me)

For Fri:
I like Elusive Kate best,then Stephanies Kitten in the mile turf

Who's gonna beat Switch in the sprint? I'd use Great Hot & Musical Romance under.
Torn Between Ultra Blend & Royal Delta in the classic

For Sat, my top picks, maybe some good prices:
Marathon-Birdrun
1m turf-Caspar Netscher (thinking of changing my name to that)
1m dirt-Jersey Town
1 1/2 turf Sea Moon/Midday
Classic-Headache

GPK 11-01-2011 08:30 PM

Ann of the Dance...for obvious reasons. First turf and and first Marty Wolfson don't hurt either. She we see a few of my dollars tossed her way.

nomad 11-01-2011 08:46 PM

My top overrated false favorites are
Uncle Mo
Turbulent Descent
Plum Pretty
The Factor

(now watch them all win)

I do kinda have a hunch on Tres Borrachos in the mile. I'll throw a couple of bucks on him.

I'll be there!!

my miss storm cat 11-01-2011 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomad (Post 814393)
I do kinda have a hunch on Tres Borrachos in the mile. I'll throw a couple of bucks on him.

I'll be there!!

That is probably the single most intriguing pre-BC statement I've read. :)

(I'm not being sarcastic).

Have a great time!

That would be amazing if he won!

nomad 11-02-2011 12:25 AM

It's more of an "inkling" than a hunch because I play the Cal tracks all the time and am very familiar with him.
There's a ton of speed in the race, maybe Wilburn, Refutable & Trappe Shot can stalk. I figure the latter is the best of the stalkers.
Then you have the closers, Calebs Posse & Tres Borrachos.
It's interesting to me that suddenly TB shows early speed in a 1 1/16, which he hasn't done for a long time. He gets Rosario, the best jock in SoCal, decent trainer too.
I'd like to see a work at CD but wouldn't expect it to be fast. He's an interesting prospect.
Can you imagine what a 4/7 exbox would pay?

Sightseek 11-02-2011 09:17 AM

How about the most unsentimental of picks?

Drosselmeyer.


I've never liked this horse for any race, but will be using him on Saturday.

MaTH716 11-02-2011 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 814445)
How about the most unsentimental of picks?

Drosselmeyer.


I've never liked this horse for any race, but will be using him on Saturday.

I really haven't gotten that deep in to the cappin as of yet, but I will be using him as well. Just get the feeling that something strange might happen in that race.

clyde 11-02-2011 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat (Post 814358)
I figured there would be 20,000 threads in the Pad Lock (and rightly so!) so maybe we could have a little fun down here too...

Anyone wanna go first and just tell us one silly or sentimental bet they're planning? Who they won't be using and if there's a stupid reason behind it... that kinda thing?

Are you rooting against someone?

Love a certain name, sire, dam, owner...

Prettiest tail? :D

Anything!

C'mon. You know you want to. :p

I have , in a scenic and non-conventional way, always admired your tail feathers just as much as Deb-O-Deb's ,Uncly's and ( recently) TrackBrat's.



Other than that, my only comment is the absolute worst choice anywhere in this mess is Dressaagemeyer.

He causes despondence in my noodle just by seeing or hearing the name.

knickslions2 11-02-2011 01:42 PM

I'm rooting for the horses I bet. Hope all the rest lose:D

trackrat59 11-02-2011 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 814445)
How about the most unsentimental of picks?

Drosselmeyer.


I've never liked this horse for any race, but will be using him on Saturday.

I'm going to be using him too. Mike Welsch reported that he worked exceptional and that he's liked him all week. Good enough for me. Plus I had him in the Belmont when he won. Drossy owes me nothing and I'm a big Distored Humor fan.

OldDog 11-02-2011 02:36 PM

I’ll begin to handicap in earnest tomorrow, so all I have right now are largely sentimental favorites and hunches (some might argue that that’s ALL I usually have, but this is in esoteric so what the hay).

In the Marathon I like two horses to surprise, Meeznah and Pleasant Prince.

Juvy Turf: Finale.

The Sprint: Giant Ryan and Jackson Bend, with Aikenite in the mix just because I’m a fan of him and of Cot Campbell.

Turf Sprint: Regally Ready and Chamberlain Bridge, if he can overcome the outside post, and good old longshot California Flag.

The Mile is really interesting, with The Factor, Shack and Wilburn, but I will also put down a bet on Tres Borrachos.

In the Juvy Union Rags, Dullahan and yes, Hansen.

The MILE: You know who, but also Goldikova, and Turallure, and Court Vision for old time’s sake.

The Classic: I'm all over the place. Absolute favorite (real and sentimental) is Havre de Grace. Would love to see Flat Out win for Scooter Dickey, and I believe he's capable. Uncle Mo – I’ve loved him since last year’s Breeders’ Cup win, and he seems fully mended and ready. My longshots are To Honor and Serve and, what's his name . . . Dressaagemeyer? :p Of course So You Think is a wildcard. But my past experience with wildcards is to get burned, so I’ll stay away – at my own risk admittedly.

Safe races to all.

Clip-Clop 11-02-2011 04:44 PM

I'd like to see "Scarface" run well. Might in a little over his head but always liked the horse.

clyde 11-02-2011 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by trackrat59 (Post 814522)
I'm going to be using him too. Mike Welsch reported that he worked exceptional and that he's liked him all week. Good enough for me. Plus I had him in the Belmont when he won. Drossy owes me nothing and I'm a big Distored Humor fan.


The Kiss of Death.


Heed this omen , doo dah.

Rileyoriley 11-02-2011 06:29 PM

Tossing Mo. He's this year's Quality Road. At least QR had won a couple 1 1/8 races. Mo hasn't even done that.

clyde 11-02-2011 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rileyoriley (Post 814585)
Tossing Mo. He's this year's Quality Road. At least QR had won a couple 1 1/8 races. Mo hasn't even done that.

Fine work...excellent comparison.


At least there is one girly here who knows what she is talking about.

trackrat59 11-02-2011 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clyde (Post 814589)
Fine work...excellent comparison.


At least there is one girly here who knows what she is talking about.

Clydiepoo:

If Drossy wins you owe me a dozen roses. Poop head.

clyde 11-02-2011 07:47 PM

roses!?


Man.

But fine...and when I announce the winner and when he does win then you owe me 50 Hershey bars.
















50

clyde 11-02-2011 07:47 PM

Big ears.

clyde 11-03-2011 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomad (Post 814418)
It's more of an "inkling" than a hunch because I play the Cal tracks all the time and am very familiar with him.
There's a ton of speed in the race, maybe Wilburn, Refutable & Trappe Shot can stalk. I figure the latter is the best of the stalkers.
Then you have the closers, Calebs Posse & Tres Borrachos.
It's interesting to me that suddenly TB shows early speed in a 1 1/16, which he hasn't done for a long time. He gets Rosario, the best jock in SoCal, decent trainer too.
I'd like to see a work at CD but wouldn't expect it to be fast. He's an interesting prospect.
Can you imagine what a 4/7 exbox would pay?


Uh,NotePad ( may I call you NotePad?)...if you are thinking 4/7 is a ZC,you are wrong in the first degree.You can take 4/7 for nothing else to play,but if you think the names marry to those numbers then that's death penalty consequences

Not too worry though,you're not alone.Everyone in this thread , save one-----make that two ----has shown their kumquattery in this thing.



So don't feel bad.


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