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-   -   10/29: Keeneland (Closing Day); Santa Anita ($50k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44281)

Kasept 10-29-2011 10:07 AM

10/29: Keeneland (Closing Day); Santa Anita ($50k C/O)
 
KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Another World 5-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Long Lake Krista 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Goshen Hawk 15-1 5th
Super Add: #12 I Like It 8-1 10th


7th: OC/N1Y, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tough to take 5-2 on Winslow Homer making synth debut, though Unbridled's Song progeny are generally solid or better on it..

Best Value: #3 Agastache 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Rockin Rockstar 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 A Diehl 6-1 WON ($20.80)
Super Add: #2 Shellback 15-1 9th


8th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Baker's Bergerac was one of our best Saratoga successes, and there's no reason he can't wire this group..

Best Value: #5 Bergerac 6-1 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #6 Asphalt Late SCR
Exotics Use: #9 Nikki's Sandcastle 10-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Joinem 5-1 4th


9th: 53rd Fayette (G2), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Very deep and contentious..

Best Value: #5 General Quarters 12-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Wise Dan 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Eighttofasttocatch 10-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Ioya Bigtime 20-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Tycoon 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Tale of the Dance 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Piquant 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Voodat 5-2 WON ($9.60)
Hi-5 Play: #7 Mainstay 12-1 3rd


<$100 P5 Play:

6: 1-2-10-12
7: 3-10
8: 5-6/SCR
9: 4-5-8-10-12
10: 4-11

4x2x2x5x2 = 160 x .50 = $80


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4-10-11
8: 5-6/SCR
9: 4-5-8-10-12
10: 3-4-11

5x2x5x3= 150 x .50 = $75

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/5/8/3) Paid $635.30



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 22nd Cal Cup Juvenile, 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$50k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Champions Gate 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Motown Men 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Rousing Sermon 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Stoney Fleece 5-2 3rd


5th: CA-MSW, 3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #12 SCR
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Use: #7 River Rafting 6-1 10th
Super Add: #9 My Slew 6-1 3rd


6th: CA-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific race..

Most Likely: #3 Sun's Out 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Circle the Moon 15-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Sammy's a Runnin' 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Arresting Officer 8-1 5th


7th: 22nd Cal Cup Classic, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Norvsky 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #8 Soul Candy 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Tiz Argent 12-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Lucky Primo 9-2 2nd


8th: 22nd Cal Cup Sprint, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Mensa Heat 5-2 7th
Next Best: #9 M One Rifle 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Bob Black Jack 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Cost of Freedom SCR`


9th: 22nd Cal Cup Distaff, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Unzip Me 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #2 West Ruler 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Waveline 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Sugarinthemorning 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 California Nectar 8-1 6th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-4-6-9
5: 2/SCR-7-9
6: 3
7: 2
8: 1-9
9: 2-8-12

4x3x1x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6-7
7: 2-8
8: 1-5-9
9: 1-2-8-12

4x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

-BT- 10-29-2011 10:41 AM

no belmont today for you mr. byk?
no interest due to the weather or card (just curious not bust'n balls)?

as always, best of luck today steve

-bt-

3kings 10-29-2011 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 813652)
no belmont today for you mr. byk?
no interest due to the weather or card (just curious not bust'n balls)?

as always, best of luck today steve

-bt-

That Belmont card was devistated by off the turf and scratches:

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

Bigsmc 10-29-2011 10:50 AM

Keeneland is off the turf which is somewhat baffling since the next race they will run on it will be in six months. Did they actually get enough rain to make it unsafe?

-BT- 10-29-2011 10:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3kings (Post 813655)
That Belmont card was devistated by off the turf and scratches:

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

damn, that's a sh!t load of scratches

thank you thomas :D

-bt-

3kings 10-29-2011 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 813657)
damn, that's a sh!t load of scratches

thank you thomas :D

-bt-

You are welcome...........I'm a little miffed by not being asked to be the 4th in the BT, Heels,GBK golf outing in DC. :(

Kasept 10-29-2011 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 813656)
Keeneland is off the turf which is somewhat baffling since the next race they will run on it will be in six months. Did they actually get enough rain to make it unsafe?

There was a frost last night, but still.. Agree it's a little silly.

Kasept 10-29-2011 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 813652)
no belmont today for you mr. byk?
no interest due to the weather or card (just curious not bust'n balls)?

as always, best of luck today steve

-bt-

Thx Bri. Yeah... figured things were going to be torn up today. G/L this wknd!

Bigsmc 10-29-2011 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 813659)
There was a frost last night, but still.. Agree it's a little silly.

So, I see from your Work Tab thread that Churchill had works on the grass this morning and still Keeneland (75 miles to the East) is off the turf. The sun is out and their first turf race is approximately 6 hours of sunshine after the CD turf works.

:wf:wf

pointman 10-29-2011 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 813656)
Keeneland is off the turf which is somewhat baffling since the next race they will run on it will be in six months. Did they actually get enough rain to make it unsafe?

TFM is losing his mind over this decision. :eek:

OldDog 10-29-2011 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 813644)
KEENELAND


9th: 53rd Fayette (G2), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Very deep and contentious..

Best Value: #5 General Quarters 12-1

Amen!

Kasept 10-29-2011 03:37 PM

SA SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 10-29-2011 03:38 PM

Oy vey. Asphalt a late SCR from the KEE 8th... Swell.

-BT- 10-29-2011 03:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 813725)
Oy vey. Asphalt a late SCR from the KEE 8th... Swell.

doesn't really matter when you're throwing darts like that....bring it home boss

-bt-

Kasept 10-29-2011 04:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 813731)
doesn't really matter when you're throwing darts like that....bring it home boss

-bt-

Bwahahaha... THX BT! How about that? "Jim Baker been berry berry good to all of us.."

northeastbound123 10-29-2011 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 813732)
Bwahahaha... THX BT! How about that? "Jim Baker been berry berry good to all of us.."

7-1 to 13/2 not bad for gate money
congrats to all who cashed

pointman 10-29-2011 04:11 PM

Nice, Steve! :$:

Haven't had time to cap today, got home just before Keeneland 7th and punched your pk4. Saw you liked Bergerac, took a quick look and threw $20 on the nose! Let's get this pk4 home! Thanks and keep up the great work!

pointman 10-29-2011 05:04 PM

Way to close Keeneland out, Steve! :$:

Bogey 10-29-2011 05:23 PM

Congrats Steve!!!! Great work on closing day.

ScottJ 10-29-2011 05:31 PM

To quote Chico Escuela, "Bergerac been berry berry good to Chico" ... well done, Steve! Way to nail the single and the Saratoga follow-up! Makes this pre-Halloween storm almost tolerable ... and a nice pre-BC booster!


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