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-   -   9/14: Belmont Park ($43k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43813)

Kasept 09-14-2011 07:09 AM

9/14: Belmont Park ($43k C/O)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$43k P6 C/O starts here..

Major draw-in of AE #14 Tiana (7-2)..

Most Likely: #14 Tiana 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Gattino 12-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Bye Love You 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 War Queen 12-1 12th
Super Add: #1 Certainty 12-1 7th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 14 1st/2nd with 1-5-6-8-9 (1x5x4x3 (60) + 5x1x4x3 (60) = 120 x .10 = $12.00


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 10f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Smokin Star 5-2 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #3 Syros 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Unprecedented 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Griffin Rock 15-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Flea Flicker 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 My Jopia 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Raffie's Choice 8-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Rodinia 8-1 5th


7th: Jazzy, F&M=3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Very good group and exceedingly bettable..

Best Value: #5 Exchange Funds 10-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Quebrada Shiner 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Yadira 10-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Donna Getyourgun 10-1 10th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 5 1st/2nd with 3-7-8-9-10 (1x5x4x3 [60] + 5x1x4x3 [60] = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)

Dee Tee's Ausable Chasm runs 2nd/break here after being denied opportunity upstate on closing weekend. Has done very well since the return, and closer watching of Spa try showed better effort than PP's reflect. The top Morrison and Ribaudo favorites here are clear horses to beat, but after that the rest are within a length or so of each other including our Hook and Ladder sophomore miss. Will be a big price and can help boost your tri or super..

Most Likely: #11 Sotique 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Next Best; #6 Queens or Better 3-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Ausable Chasm 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Untamed Glory 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Persky's Heart 20-1 6th

REVERSE TRI KEY PLAY: 3-6-8-11 with 3-6-8-11 with 7 (4x3x1 = $12)


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #2 Glory in Motion 4-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #6 Proud Lisa 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Ready to Party 9-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Sister Berta 10-1 4th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 14
5: 1-3-8
6: 9
7: 3-5-9-10
8: 6-11
9: 2-6-8

1x3x1x4x2x3 = 72 x $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 8-9
7: 3-5-7-8-9-10
8: 6-7-11
9: 2-4-6-8

2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 09-14-2011 10:10 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

Borntorun 09-14-2011 10:50 AM

My friend is a partner in DT Stables and told me about 7 Ausable Chasm running today. I'm going to the OTB at lunch to bet for us and due to work I will miss it's live broadcast. Do you know if HRTV or TVG have a Belmont replay show and the CST it airs? Barracuda prevents accesss to thier web sites so could not check myself. Thanks Steve and best of luck today!

Kasept 09-14-2011 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Borntorun (Post 806772)
My friend is a partner in DT Stables and told me about 7 Ausable Chasm running today. I'm going to the OTB at lunch to bet for us and due to work I will miss it's live broadcast. Do you know if HRTV or TVG have a Belmont replay show and the CST it airs? Barracuda prevents accesss to thier web sites so could not check myself. Thanks Steve and best of luck today!

BTR,

Thanks so much.. Belmont replays come on HRTV at 1a CT. You can sign up at NYRA.com though for free access to their own replay system: NYRA REPLAYS REGISTER

Enjoy the race. As mentioned above, she's most suitable for exotics use in this spot!

Borntorun 09-14-2011 11:28 AM

Thanks again Steve - playing her in a DD and to show.

Coach Pants 09-14-2011 02:45 PM

Ahhh Belmont. Where you hope like a naive boy that you can get a price or two in a pick 3 only to hang down the stretch and watch an overbet second choice win.

Love 2-1 pick 3's and non-competitive racing. Keep hiding behind those sheets, trainers. It's working.

Kasept 09-14-2011 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 806821)
Ahhh Belmont. Where you hope like a naive boy that you can get a price or two in a pick 3 only to hang down the stretch and watch an overbet second choice win..

Yup. That was too bad there that Jopia couldn't reel in the 2..

knickslions2 09-14-2011 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 806827)
Yup. That was too bad there that Jopia couldn't reel in the 2..

Ya Just missed that one and nice odds!

Kasept 09-14-2011 03:12 PM

Can't resist keying off 5-7-8 with fat numbers on all..

G/L here all. This should be fun.

POST: Meh.. Quebrada too good for them.


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