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-   -   8/1: Saratoga (Day 10; Amsterdam; $60k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43310)

Kasept 08-01-2011 05:33 AM

8/1: Saratoga (Day 10; Amsterdam; $60k C/O)
 
Huge weekend of action culminates with 3 stake Monday and $60k carryover at Saratoga. Predictable Sidney's Candy win in the Fourstardave gave way to 'what just happened' Ruffian win by undistinguished Ask the Moon. At Monmouth, Bob Baffert continued his mastery of the Haskell as developing Coil bested Shackleford in an exciting stretch battle. Not a lot of time to review the Sunday wagering except to say it was a down day that never really got going. Hope you did OK... Good set of races to end the first full week and opening quarter of the Spa stand. Weekend Review on ATR this morning!


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Moshe Diane 9-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Weak Dollar Policy 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 All Quiet 5-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Belle Muse 12-1 WON ($20.80)


2nd: Smart and Fancy, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Out Post 5-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Donna Getyourgun 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Quebrada Shiner 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Karakorum Elektra 5-1 8th


3rd: NY-MSW, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Windafull 5-2 7th
Next Best: #12 Atitlan 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Mightylover 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Fast Grievance 6-1 4th


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$60k P6 C/O starts here..

Bug boy Ryan Curatolo gets back in the irons today after injury break, and makes his Saratoga bow riding Scott Everett's Fu Pegs Baby..

Most Likely: #2 Parcel 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Halefellow Wellmet 6-1 DH-8th
Exotics Use: #10 East Indies 7-2 WON ($11.60)
Super Add: #6 Gunman 6-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Counterparty 1-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Island Bound 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Precious Soul 8-1 WON ($15.80)
Super Add: #3 Champagne Run 5-1 2nd


<$50/$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-4-6-7
3: 4-5-10-12
4: 2-4-6-8-10
5: 2

5x4x5x1 = 100 x .50 = $50


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5,5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Paci Di Note 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 All Class 3-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #9 Jaded Lover 6-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Diceman 9-2 6th


7th: Rachel Alexandra, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Kid Kate 6-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #5 Buckleupbuttercup 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Katy Now 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Lisa's Booby Trap 5-2 8th


8th: 19th Amsterdam (G2), 3yo, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Important traditional prep for the King's Bishop marks the return to action of To Honor and Serve and to some degree, Wine Police (2nd off layoff since memorable Spa runs a year ago). Hard to seperate this set..

Most Likely: #2 Redeemed 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Wine Police 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Justin Phillip 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Arch Traveler 4-1 5th


9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Holy Spice 7-2 8thj
Best Value: #6 By M K 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Spa City Lover 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Sugar Beach 12-1 4th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-8-10
5: 2
6: 4-11
7: 4-5-6
8: 2-3
9: 6-12

3x1x2x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-9-11
7: 4-5-6
8: 1-2-3-7
9: 6-12

3x3x4x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

pucknut 08-01-2011 07:22 AM

isnt wine police the now horse?

Kasept 08-01-2011 10:15 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

ADJMK 08-01-2011 12:29 PM

race 2 .50 p4
3,7,8/4,5,10,12/2,4,6,9,10/2

ADJMK 08-01-2011 12:42 PM

leave out Linda in a turf sprint. back to handicapping 101

Kasept 08-01-2011 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 796522)
leave out Linda in a turf sprint. back to handicapping 101

Don't think that way. You were 100% right leaving Ahvee's Destiny off.

ADJMK 08-01-2011 02:33 PM

late p4 .50
$42

4.11/4.5.6/all/1,12

ADJMK 08-01-2011 04:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 796566)
late p4 .50
$42

4.11/4.5.6/all/1,12

Yea "" -actual bet
After Wolfson killing me yesterday had to go all in the Amsterdam

docicu3 08-01-2011 07:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 796566)
late p4 .50
$42

4.11/4.5.6/all/1,12

Win $ 1311.25 is great ROI on .50......be happy!!

ateamstupid 08-01-2011 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 796566)
late p4 .50
$42

4.11/4.5.6/all/1,12

Very nice hit!

satan's twin 08-01-2011 08:36 PM

Nice tab on Donnie K. Von Hemel's Caleb Posse from Andy Serling in the Amsterdam.

ADJMK 08-02-2011 01:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 796660)
Very nice hit!

Thanks. Saratoga has been good to me. This is my second nice P4 hit.

Kasept 08-02-2011 05:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 796741)
Thanks. Saratoga has been good to me. This is my second nice P4 hit.

AD,

Congratulations! Great ticket highlighted by the 'all' use. It was that kind of race.


Quote:

Originally Posted by satan's twin (Post 796672)
Nice tab on Donnie K. Von Hemel's Caleb Posse from Andy Serling in the Amsterdam.

Barney,

Andy is the king of the turnback. He also scored out on the P4...

cal828 08-02-2011 11:32 AM

Good to see Caleb's Posse win yesterday even though he and ArchArchArch took turns beating me during the spring at Oaklawn. He is a cut below the best this year, but nevertheless a hard trying horse. Got a little back yesterday which is good. I'm headed to Vegas on Friday and will now have a little money to visit the Sportsbook. Problem is taking 5,7 and 9 year old grandchildren so might be spending more time at the pool than in the sports book. Keep me in your thoughts and prayers.:zz:

ADJMK 08-02-2011 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 796744)
AD,

Congratulations! Great ticket highlighted by the 'all' use. It was that kind of race.


Thanks Steve. Couldn't separate them so I took all. With the money I spent covering in the last leg I might as well have taken all in that leg too. Never know what to do when you are live like that to a good payoff. The gambler in me says stand pat but the accountant says cover and at least make a profit.
A few more hits and maybe I can take the long trip from the Northwest and come visit the barbecue.
By the way the Mile is in 2 weeks and Jon White didn't mention it on the show yesterday but he has been appointed as honorary steward for the race.


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