Derby Trail Forums - 7/9: Belmont (C/O); Delaware (P3); Calder (P4)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

TURF SOFT TO START DAY. ALL 'ON' EXCEPT 10TH.

5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$34k P6 C/O starts here..

All juvy firsters with several from prominent outfits and nicely-bred. Doesn't look to have any surprise candidates to start the carryover sequence..

Most Likely: #3 Stat 2-1 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #4 Patriotic Lion 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Street Fight 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Backnbiz 12-1 6th

6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Westside Corral 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Strong Impact 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Compliance Officer 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #2 Late SCR

7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Bound to Happen 3-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Love Stanza Chance 6-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #8 Tropical Inset 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 A New York Phillie 10-1 6th

8th: Caress, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Have to be against Rose Catherine at the short number..

Most Likely: #4 Much Rejoicing 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Dominant Currency 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1a Quebrada Shiner 6-1 WON ($18.80)
Super Add: #3 Rose Catherine 5-2

9th: 53rd Man O'War (G1), 3+, 11f-IT (DD, Super)

If turf is too soft, Gio Ponti will come out. And if it is indeed soft, front end thievery by Mission Approved becomes easier. Very interesting edition of this event..

Most Likely: #7 Cape Blanco 5-2 WON ($8.10)
Next Best: #5 Gio Ponti 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Al Khali 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Mission Approved 5-1 4th

10th: CLM, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #12 That's Rich 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #13 Chairman Tucker 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #2b Parkinson Field 15-1 4th

<$100 P6 Play:

5: 3-4
6: 1-8-9
7: 3-6
8: 4
9: 5-7
10: 12-13

2x3x2x1x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

$2 Pick 6 (3-1-6-1-7-13) 5 Correct Paid $140.00

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-6-8
8: 1-3-4-5-6
9: 1-3-4-5-7
10: 12-13

3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75

$2 Pick 4 (6-1-7-13) 4 Correct Paid $382.75

DELAWARE PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Robert Dick Mem. (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Perfect Shirl 8-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Cheetah 7-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Dyna Waltz 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Honimiere 10-1 5th

8th: Barbaro, 3yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Tremendously competitive running of this, with a whole bunch of speed signed on..

Best Value: #10 Yankee Passion 10-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Rush Now 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Meistersinger 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 J W Blue 5-1 2nd

9th: Delaware Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Another interesting Oaks event as more and more solid sophomores in the various divisions get chances to showcase their development..

Most Likely: #7 St. John's River 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #5 Snow Fall 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 All for Thee 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #3 Dance Quietly 12-1 4th

<$25 P3 Play:

7: 1-4-8-9-10
8: 3-5-7-8-10
9: 5-7

5x5x2 = 50 x .50 = $25

$.50 Pick 3 (9-5-7) 3 Correct Paid $42.05

CALDER RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: Azalea (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Beso Grande 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Devilish Lady 5-1 WON ($21.40)
Next Best: #5 May Day Rose 8-5 4th
Super Add: #6 Just Louise 4-1 6th

9th: Carry Back (G2), 3yo, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Smash 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Cal Nation 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Indiano 8-5 ($3.40)
Super Add: #4 Bulaga 10-1 5th

10th: Smile Sprint H. (G2), 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Irrefutable 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Giant Ryan 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #7 This Ones for Phil 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Noble's Promise 5-2 3rd

11th: Princess Rooney (G1), F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Very intriguing group for Calder's only Gr. I race..

Best Value: #6 Bella Moneta 10-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Sassy Image 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Musical Romance 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Stephanie Got Even 12-1 4th

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-5-6
9: 1
10: 1-2-4-7
11: 2-3-5-6-7-10

4x1x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48

Good luck!
Steve