6/18: Belmont Park ($34k C/O); Churchill Downs (7th-12th)
 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$34k P6 C/O starts here..

Feels like at least a half dozen are capable of winning this if it stays on the lawn..

Best Value: #2 Titus Catienus 5-1 11th
Next Best: #7 More Than Lucky 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Windaful 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Stan's Got Talent 8-1 8th


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Fight for V L T's 3-1 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #11 Karakorum On Black 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Iron Lou 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 I Got Swagger 20-1 6th


7th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Buddy Red 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Carmel Bay 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Gotta Go Round 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Broadway Philly 8-1 4th


8th: 37th Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Colonial's odd decision to open Turf Cup to elders made this event a prime beneficiary. Good, good race with well-matched set of 9 and little to seperate them. Trip[ and predilection for yielding turf should determine outcome, and would guess those trying to rally will be compromised by the conditions..

Best Value: #2 Longhunter 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Fastest Magician 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Chinglish 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Street Game 12-1 WON ($18.20)


9th: 43rd Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

May be just six, but it's going to be a jockey's chess match out there.

Most Likely: #5 Late SCR
Next Best: #3 Awesome Maria 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #6 Payton d'Oro 8-1 2nd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Hopeful Boy 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #6 Payout 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Golden Temple 4-1 DNF
Super Add: #3 Swinging at Siro's 8-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 2-7-8-12
6: 4-6 (10-11)
7: 8-10-11
8: 2
9: 2-3-5-6
10: 9

4x2x3x1x4x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 8-10-11
8: 2-4-6-8
9: 2-3-5-6
10: 6-9

3x4x4x2 = $96 x .50 = $48



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Two year old colts including #10 Whinston, a $625k Stonestreet sales-topper at Barrett's acquired weeks before Jess Jackson's passing. D. Wayne unveils #2 Chalybeate Springs, a Dynaformer bay out of the brilliant Chaposa Springs who counted the '95 Test, '96 Princess Rooney and Ballerina among her 14 wins from 23 starts..

Most Likely: #10 Whinston 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Brown Eyed Jozi 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Chalybeate Springs 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Cane Swagger 15-1 9th


8th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Dr Ballenger 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #12 Karma Shield 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Orsonian 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Santo Gato 7-2 5th


9th: 36th Jefferson Cup (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Oliver S. (Wed. at Indiana Downs) runners Live in Joy, Swagger Jack and Great Mills SCR, as does Dream Warrior..

Most Likely: #4 Banned 7-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #2 Redboard 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Perregaux 5-1 3rd


10th: 14th Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Joe Vann does NOT come out in favor of next week's Iowa Derby ar PrM; Chalice ran 2nd in that Oliver S. Wednesday and exits field..

Most Likely: #3 Wilburn 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Scotus 4-1 WON ($18.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Infratini 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Joe Vann 7-2 3rd


11th: 42nd Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Excited 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Kathmanblu 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Bizzy Caroline 6-1 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #4 Holidaysatthefarm 8-1 -


12th: 30th Stephen Foster (G1), 3+, 9f (Super, Super Hi-5)

May not be star-packed, but certainly chock ful o' stakes horses and a fun betting affair. May have gone in his direction anyway, but with rain at the Downs and a wet track very likely, hard to pass up Fawkes' Duke of Mischief at anything close to the 6-1 ML..

Best Value: #9 Duke of Mischief 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Crown of Thorns 4-1 7thth
Exotics Use: #3 Apart 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Giant Oak 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Regal Ransom 6-1 11th


<$50 P5 Play:

8: 1-4-12-13
9: 2-4-6
10: 3
11: 1-5-6
12: 2-9

4x3x1x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-4-6
10: 3
11: 1-4-5-6
12: 2-3-6-9-10-11

3x1x4x6 = $72 ($36 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

Pouring rain here in Louisville right now.

64 is flooding out right now...

So Joe Vann is going to run?

Maybe... Check back after late changes.

Churchill website not showing any scratches in Matt Wynn. Looks like Joe Vann running.

There will likely be more later in the morning. And graded stake entrants can scratch by about 2 hours before their scheduled post, so on a day like this it is worthwhile to check repeatedly through the early afternoon. Marty McGee said Friday on ATR that the Pletcher barn told him they were leaning towards the Iowa Derby.

There is another very heavy round of rain coming. What's the chance this card gets cancelled?

Updated 12:29pm..

'the Waterwagon Trai'l Is On Point At Churchill Today

Yikes. Kerry Metivier and Jaime Rodriguez set the tote on tilt with an impossible 78-1 winner in the 5th. $80k P4. $2,400 exacta. $17k on the .10 super, etc..

Steve, are you seeing any bias on the yielding turf course today at Belmont? That win by the 10 cost me a fortune.

Solis' ride on Windafull was one for the ages

Street Game answered the question.

What was your conclusion?

I didn't see the early races, but it sure seemed to me that the course helped propel Street Game around that turf course. Could be interesting if it stays that way for tomorrow's double carryover.