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Bogey 06-11-2011 06:24 AM

SAT - Belmont (Entire Card - Belmont Day)
 
Belmont Park POST SCRATCHES - MUDDY / GOOD


R1 - Alw 63k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Marine Officer (6-1)
#5 Seal Cove (6-1) WON $6.60
#3 Bruce Alley (4-1) 3RD
#9 Batter Up (3-1)

R2 - MSW 60k

#3 August Osage (5-2) WON $7.00
#2 Not Now Ashley (6-1) 2ND
#5 Bold Choice (4-1)
#4 Crushing (7-2)

R3 - Clm 10k B

#6 Dixie Nite Out (10-1)
#4 Easy Gallop (4-1) 2ND
#10 Forty Prayers (6-1)
#13 In Just We Trust (5-2) WON $5.50

R4 - Alw 63k N1X

#5 Ripples n' Waves (7-2)
#4 Mineswept (12-1) 3RD
#7 Rattlesnake Bridge (5-2) 2ND
#1 Glickman (4-1)

R5 - NY Breds Alw 53k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#7 Hangover Kid (6-1)
#1 Shekomeko Son (5-1)
#4 Dual Citizen (12-1) 3RD
#2 Dream Drop Kid (6-1)

PK4 - 2 3 4 5 / 4 6 10 13 / 4 5 7 / 1 4 7 = $72 ($.50 play)

R6 - G1 Acorn

#2 Turbulent Decent (3-5) 2ND
#6 Snow Fall (8-1)
#4 It's Tricky (6-1) WON $22.00
#1 Her Smile (8-1) 3RD

R7 - G2 True North

#3 Trappe Shot (5-2) WON $4.60
#1 Pompa Entry (2-1) 2ND
#2 Wildcat Brief (8-1)

R8 - G2 Woody Stephens

#1 Travellin Man (2-1)
#7 JJ's Lucky Train (6-1)
#5 Arch Traveler (5-2)
#2 Justin Phillip (6-1)

R9 - G1 Just A Game (Turf 8F)

#7 Cherokee Queen (8-1)
#2 Aviate (GB) (5-2)
#8 Much Rejoicing (12-1)
#3 Amen Hallelujah (6-1)

R10 - G1 Manhattan

#3 Windward Islands (8-1) BEST BET
#4 Gio Ponti (6-5)
#9 Straight Story (12-1)
#7 Prince Will I Am (5-1)

R11 - G1 Belmont Stakes

#1 Master of Hounds (10-1) - Made the trip again and has a legitimate shot of taking this Jewel back across the pond.
#2 Stay Thirsty - All of his races look the same (BSF) and they're not good enough versus this caliber.
#3 Ruler On Ice (20-1) - Hard to endorse with the suspect competition he's been facing.
#4 Santiva (15-1) - Derby was better than it looked and could be primed for a peak performance.
#5 Brilliant Speed (15-1) - Expecting him to make his late rally and possibly catch a piece underneath.
#6 Nehro (4-1) - Versatile running style suits him well and the 5-week rest could be the difference between him being draped with carnations.
#7 Monzon (30-1) - Will have to improve dramatically to have any say so in this outcome.
#8 Prime Cut (15-1) - Interesting to see if he'll attempt to pressure Shackleford early and have something late.
#9 Animal Kingdom (2-1) - Validated Derby win with strong effort in Preakness and no reason to think he won't be there when it counts again.
#10 Mucho Macho Man (10-1) - Shoes won't be his excuse here and picks up top pilot as well.
#11 Isn't He Perfect (30-1) - I don't see any scenario that would make him remotely competitive with this group.
#12 Shackleford (9-2) - Can he produce another gut wrenching effort at 12 furongs? Tough to bet and tough to bet against, your choice.

Selections:

#6 Nehro (4-1)
#9 Animal Kingdom (5-2)
#4 Santiva (15-1)
#1 Master of Hounds (10-1)
#12 Shackleford (9-2)

PK6 - 2 6 / 1 3 / 1 5 7 / 2 7 / 3 4 / 6 9 = $192

PK4 - 1 5 7 / 1 2 3 7 8 / 3 4 / 6 9 = $30 ($.50 play)

R12 - Clm 20k B (Turf 6F)

#12 Keechi Bullet (5-1)
#5 Dr. W (6-1)
#2 Jacobson Entry (Ever a Friend)

R13 - NY Breds MSW 50k (Turf 6F)

#3 Rudy Rudy Rudy (4-1)
#8 My Cousin Eddie (12-1)
#9 Russian Alley (8-1)
#11 Paci Di Notte (7-2)

PK4 - 3 4 / 1 4 5 6 9 12 / 2 5 6 12 / 3 8 9 11 = $81 ($.50 play)

Good Racing Luck

Sethcarter 06-11-2011 08:06 AM

Gus...
As always thanks for the insight...

Hoping you have a repeat of Church Hill derby day..

Best of Luck...

Seth

Bogey 06-11-2011 08:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sethcarter (Post 783519)
Gus...
As always thanks for the insight...

Hoping you have a repeat of Church Hill derby day..

Best of Luck...

Seth

Thanks Seth, it will be difficult to duplicate that day. Nice card today and keep an I eye on the track condition as Steve pointed out. Good luck today

tiznowthegreat 06-11-2011 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 783528)
Thanks Seth, it will be difficult to duplicate that day. Nice card today and keep an I eye on the track condition as Steve pointed out. Good luck today

Good luck today. I see almost all races extremely similar to you today so we should either both win or lose.

Are you not using Trappe Shot in the p6 even though he is your top selection? You have 1 and 2 listed for that race.

Bogey 06-11-2011 11:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiznowthegreat (Post 783549)
Good luck today. I see almost all races extremely similar to you today so we should either both win or lose.

Are you not using Trappe Shot in the p6 even though he is your top selection? You have 1 and 2 listed for that race.

Thanks Tiz, I fixed it. There it Tiz. Good luck today

Scav 06-11-2011 11:58 AM

Hope your right about Nehro. I have a $50 Brooklyn/Belmont DD to him and $25 to Master of Hounds, Brilliant Speed and Santiva.

Bogey 06-11-2011 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 783554)
Hope your right about Nehro. I have a $50 Brooklyn/Belmont DD to him and $25 to Master of Hounds, Brilliant Speed and Santiva.

Nice, good luck Tom.


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