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dalakhani 05-09-2011 01:13 PM

Dead Rail
 
Did anyone else think the rail was dead for both days? It seemed like the track was playing much like it was for the breeders cup last year.

Rootdog1 05-09-2011 01:15 PM

I thought speed was not holding well at all....but i am biased as I was in with the Shackleford connections.

3kings 05-09-2011 01:17 PM

The wind was pretty strong most of the day and blowing directly into the face of the horses coming down the stretch. I think it was at least a contributing factor.

Kasept 05-09-2011 01:17 PM

Yes, and I believe it was more pronounced Friday. Caracortado was flying until Talamo brought him inside and he began to immediately bog. And St. John's River only burst forward once Napravnik got her off the rail.

blackthroatedwind 05-09-2011 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 775500)
Yes, and I believe it was more pronounced Friday. Caracortado was flying until Talamo brought him inside and he began to immediately bog. And St. John's River only burst forward once Napravnik got her off the rail.

The problem with this thinking is that most horses are apprehensive about rallying inside in the stretch, despite what a former poster here thinks, and will hesitate inside, but rally strongly once taking outside their rival(s) as St. John's River did. Take a look at the stretch of Saturday's Ft. Marcy at Belmont, for a good example of this, and one on turf so as to take away any possible dirt bias misunderstanding.

I'm not saying the rail was necessarily the best place to be Friday or Saturday, but with racing generally having an outside flow if the racetrack is even, and the races are run fairly, tracks can often appear to have an anti-rail bias when, in fact, one doesn't exist at all.

randallscott35 05-09-2011 01:40 PM

I thought the rail at Belmont yesterday wasn't particularly good.

philcski 05-09-2011 07:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 775509)
The problem with this thinking is that most horses are apprehensive about rallying inside in the stretch, despite what a former poster here thinks, and will hesitate inside, but rally strongly once taking outside their rival(s) as St. John's River did. Take a look at the stretch of Saturday's Ft. Marcy at Belmont, for a good example of this, and one on turf so as to take away any possible dirt bias misunderstanding.

I'm not saying the rail was necessarily the best place to be Friday or Saturday, but with racing generally having an outside flow if the racetrack is even, and the races are run fairly, tracks can often appear to have an anti-rail bias when, in fact, one doesn't exist at all.

I agree with this, if anything the track was very tiring and not kind to speed... which means the firster that won the maiden race for Baffert might actually be as good as advertised on the toteboard, and also Shackleford should be upgraded going forward.

For what it's worth I bet St. John's River and thought Rosie gave her a great ride, especially considering the horse took a right turn out of the gate and spotted the field a couple lengths. Whether or not riding the potentially dead rail till midstretch cost her a victory is certainly questionable but I'd say it didn't.

freddymo 05-09-2011 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 775550)
I agree with this, if anything the track was very tiring and not kind to speed... which means the firster that won the maiden race for Baffert might actually be as good as advertised on the toteboard, and also Shackleford should be upgraded going forward.

For what it's worth I bet St. John's River and thought Rosie gave her a great ride, especially considering the horse took a right turn out of the gate and spotted the field a couple lengths. Whether or not riding the potentially dead rail till midstretch cost her a victory is certainly questionable but I'd say it didn't.


You should call Bobby Flay and Emeril

Travis Stone 05-09-2011 07:39 PM

A dead rail is really hard to determine. It felt like outside sweeping moves were doing well, but that's how races tend to shake-out like others said.

Cannon Shell 05-09-2011 07:45 PM

If you want to see a dead rail watch most days at Parx.

philcski 05-09-2011 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 775553)
You should call Bobby Flay and Emeril

Honest truth? He's a d!ck.

VOL JACK 05-09-2011 09:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 775592)
Honest truth? He's a d!ck.

Most Gazillionaires are.

somerfrost 05-10-2011 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 775550)
I agree with this, if anything the track was very tiring and not kind to speed... which means the firster that won the maiden race for Baffert might actually be as good as advertised on the toteboard, and also Shackleford should be upgraded going forward.

For what it's worth I bet St. John's River and thought Rosie gave her a great ride, especially considering the horse took a right turn out of the gate and spotted the field a couple lengths. Whether or not riding the potentially dead rail till midstretch cost her a victory is certainly questionable but I'd say it didn't.

I agree 100% about Rosie's ride, in pre-race interview she said her instructions were to get to the rail as quick as possible and go from there...she looked like Borel the way she road the rail then split horses and came late, very unlucky not to win the Oaks. In the same interview Friday and one Saturday, she said her instructions on Pants on Fire was to get good position and stay 4-5 back, exactly what she did. Unfortunately, she had no horse in the stretch. I'm really high on her, at 23 she's really coming into her own (first female jock to win riding title at Fair Grounds this year), and I've yet to see her give a poor ride.

randallscott35 05-10-2011 10:47 AM

She's easily the best girl jock since Krone.

blackthroatedwind 05-10-2011 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost (Post 775707)
very unlucky not to win the Oaks.

How's that?

NTamm1215 05-10-2011 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 775743)
How's that?

I would have made a small fortune had St. John's River won the Oaks. There was nothing unlucky about her loss except for where the finish line is located.

RolloTomasi 05-10-2011 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost (Post 775707)
I'm really high on her, at 23 she's really coming into her own (first female jock to win riding title at Fair Grounds this year), and I've yet to see her give a poor ride.

Have you seen Bind's last two starts?

somerfrost 05-10-2011 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 775748)
Have you seen Bind's last two starts?

Nope!

blackthroatedwind 05-10-2011 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 775746)
I would have made a small fortune had St. John's River won the Oaks. There was nothing unlucky about her loss except for where the finish line is located.

That makes two of us.

The winner was best....and even a great ride by Rosie could not overcome that.

Rootdog1 05-10-2011 03:07 PM

Makes 3 of us...I wanted the wire moved back 10 feet.

The Thoro guys are claiming dead rail for Sat....in case anyone cares.


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