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-   -   2/9: Aqueduct (P4); Gulfstream (4th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40877)

Kasept 02-09-2011 07:03 AM

2/9: Aqueduct (P4); Gulfstream (4th-9th)
 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Bellarific 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Se Dio Vuole 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 J C's Queen 20-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Katie's Dance 7-2 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 No Goal 3-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Goodgollymissdolly 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Wise Choice 15-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Nina's Spirit 4-1 9th


8th: ALW, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #1a Obey the Rules 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Does It Every Time 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Annual Appeal 3-1 2nd


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (Super)

Might not be the best group you'll see this winter at Ozone Park, but a fun betting race..

Best Value: #8 Anna Mae Jones 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Ecoach 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Three Grand City 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 McKenzie River 15-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6
7: 1-4-6
8: 1-4
9: 1-5-7-8-9-10

2x3x2x6 = $72



GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5f-Inner Turf (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Avenging Spirit 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Red Jag 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Fiscal Stimulus 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Stratford Hill 5-2 WON ($4.40)


5th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Rough opener to the P5..

Most Likely: #8 Bumpy Gin 8-1 9th
Best Value: #12 Soupa Mon 10-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Black Top Road 3-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Elusive Male 12-1 6th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Interesting group with some beautifully-bred types including sister of Medaglia d'Oro/Cappuccino Kid, et al (#2 Naples Bay), daughter of MGSW Gilded Gold (#3 Passionate Gold) and a sister to MSW Princess Pelona (#12 Shocking Behavior)..

Best Value: #6 Silver Screamer 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Naples Bay 7-2 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Inflation Hedge 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Shocking Behavior 5-1 6th

$1 Exacta (2-4) Paid $27.60
$2 Trifecta (2-4-6) Paid $82.80



7th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky starter with pace scenario the key. No More Yogi's and Livingtheblues have edge on group but could blunt each other's chances with a duel that could be prompted by a couple other candidates. Take the speeds and hope one gets away or look to the stalker-closers to pick up the pieces? Your call..

IMPORTANT SCRATCH: No More Yogi's is scratched, which opens up the front end a lot better for Livingtheblues..

Most Likely: #5 John's Love Too 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Livingtheblues 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Shawarma 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Amadorable 10-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-Inner Turf (DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Raging Wit 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Tenth Wish 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Strong Commitment 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 L J's Way 20-1 8th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 9f-Outer Turf (Super)

Trip's the thing here with lower level turf maidens. These frequently are won well by nice lawn bred types with darkened form, but there are several here who qualify on that front. Tough finish to achallenging sequence..

Most Likely: #9 Kitten in May 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #8 Mountain Chapel 15-1 -
Next Best: #11 Noah's Harvest 6-1 -
Super Add: #13 Rock Alex 8-1 2nd


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 8-12
6: 2-4-6-12
7: 5-8
8: 6-10
9: 8-9-11-13

2x4x2x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-6-12
7: 5-8-10
8: 6-10
9: 7-8-9-11-13

5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve

Gate Dancer 02-09-2011 10:09 AM

Gotta root for the 'home team' in the 6th at GP today..............as you pointed out #2 Naples Bay is a half to Medaglia D'Oro and was bred by the original owners of that fine stallion. Al and Joyce Bell live here in Great Falls and still own Cappucino Bay and looks like they received a nice sum for this offspring. Best of luck to the Montana connection!!

Kasept 02-09-2011 11:09 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

GP SCR/CHG'S

knickslions2 02-09-2011 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gate Dancer (Post 750515)
Gotta root for the 'home team' in the 6th at GP today..............as you pointed out #2 Naples Bay is a half to Medaglia D'Oro and was bred by the original owners of that fine stallion. Al and Joyce Bell live here in Great Falls and still own Cappucino Bay and looks like they received a nice sum for this offspring. Best of luck to the Montana connection!!

Would love to Naples run big here. Love all the D'Oro connected horses.

Blinkers Off 02-09-2011 01:31 PM

PK4 / PK5 Race 6 Clarification
 
Just curious as to Gulf Race 6 in the PK5 you have 2-6-8-12 posted and in the PK4 you have 1-2-4-6-12.

Is it safe to assume for the PK5 the selections for should 2-4-6-12

Thanks

Kasept 02-09-2011 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blinkers Off (Post 750617)
Just curious as to Gulf Race 6 in the PK5 you have 2-6-8-12 posted and in the PK4 you have 1-2-4-6-12.

Is it safe to assume for the PK5 the selections for should 2-4-6-12

Thanks

B/ink,

Thx~! Yes. With the 8 scratching the core P5 horses are the 2-4-6-12. I added the 1 for the P4.

G/L!

Gate Dancer 02-09-2011 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gate Dancer (Post 750515)
Gotta root for the 'home team' in the 6th at GP today..............as you pointed out #2 Naples Bay is a half to Medaglia D'Oro and was bred by the original owners of that fine stallion. Al and Joyce Bell live here in Great Falls and still own Cappucino Bay and looks like they received a nice sum for this offspring. Best of luck to the Montana connection!!

Cha-ching $$$$$$$

Kasept 02-09-2011 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gate Dancer (Post 750699)
Cha-ching $$$$$$$

How about that? The Mott & Violette got the money. I was surprised... Horse ran very well. Super professional debut.

Kasept 02-09-2011 04:23 PM

$21,887 Carryover into Thursday. Major golden rail today that propelled horses that stuck to it...

RockHardTen1985 02-09-2011 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 750703)
How about that? The Mott & Violette got the money. I was surprised... Horse ran very well. Super professional debut.

Good call with the Giant Causeway daughter. Price was crazy.

Gate Dancer 02-10-2011 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 750703)
How about that? The Mott & Violette got the money. I was surprised... Horse ran very well. Super professional debut.

Will be fun to monitor the development going forward...................might be the best price you can get for a couple of starts............


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