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-   -   1/5: Gulfstream (Opening Day; 5th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40296)

Kasept 01-04-2011 09:03 PM

1/5: Gulfstream (Opening Day; 5th-9th)
 
Gulfstream Park season breaks from the gate today, always a welcome addition to the winter racing lineup. Latest management shakeup at Hallandale has produced a number of innovations including a reduced takeout (15%) Pick 5 play, Early P4 and Beulah Park-style "Fortune 6" which grows jackpots by demanding a single winner on the .10 minimum bet. Based on Magna's development of their popular multi-track P5, and this summer's successful 5 race multi at Monmouth, you can expect the Gulfstream version to draw pool interest immediately. The P6 wrinkle, which was a good idea considering how little attention the wager received historically at GP, may take root more slowly.


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Credible favorites in Upgrade and Cognac Kid, but neither have to win. Pricey options abound including pairs from Sheppard and Romans, grass movers from Serpe and Zito, and Wilkes' Versailles Road..

Best Value: #3 Versailles Road 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Upgrade 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Ae Pit 12-1 11th
Super Add: #5 Steve's Star 20-1 10th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Odd group and two faves don't inspire overwhelming confidence..

Best Value: #10 Sweetly Valid 20-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Miss Smarty Pants 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Media Starlett 10-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Gazillion Kisses 6-1 WON ($13.00)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Like the 5th, favorites are solid but unspectacular..

Best Value: #5 Silent Joy 8-1: Notable trainer switch.. 5th
Next Best: #2 Melody Dawn 6-1: Motion clicks 1st/North America.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Lady's Lunar Luck 6-1: Bush acquisition dangerous.. 7th
Super Add: #7 Silvislip 20-1: Viable exotics booster.. 11th


8th: Old Hat (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

A. Dutrow praised maturing Smoke Glacken grey in ATR visit Tuesday, noting that Jeremy Rose will not need the lead with overachieving PA-bred..

Most Likely: #5 Quantum Miss 2-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Roxy Gap 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Pomeroy's Pistol 10-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T (Super)

Third lawn event of sequence, and am again interested in backing some horses that aren't readily apparent. Fawkes' Show Time highly embracable going to lawn off iffy dirt debut 12/16 across town. Adept conditioner has positive ROI's on all relevant karma angles, and fact that The Cliff's Edge bay is a half to Hollendorfer's excellent lawn lass Rendezvous is olive in the martini..

Best Value: #3 Show Time 12-1 12th
Next Best: #1 Derby Kitten 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Classical Chant 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Vapor Trace 8-1 6th


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-3-8
6: 4-8-9-10
7: 2-5-9
8: 5
9: 1-3-10-12

3x4x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $75


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-8-9-10
7: 2-5-9-14
8: 5
9: 1-3-10-11-12

5x4x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


Good luck!
Steve

tanner12oz 01-04-2011 10:42 PM

gonna take a wait and see approach on the pick 5 payouts before i jump in

Kasept 01-05-2011 09:51 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

Race 01: # 3 Patience Game Scratched - Trainer
Race 01: # 4 Vencedora Girl Scratched - Trainer
Race 01: # 8 Blings Rising Star Scratched - Trainer

Race 02: # 1 El Golem (ARG) No longer a Coupled Entry
Race 02: # 1A Valid Ride (ARG) Scratched - Also-Eligible
Race 02: # 4 Doctor Garrett Scratched - Trainer
Race 02: #14 King Combo Scratched - Also-Eligible
Race 02: #15 Mad Mecke Scratched - Also-Eligible

Race 03: # 2 Herecomesthe Storm Jockey changed to Antonio A. Gallardo

Race 04: # 2 Otro Visur Scratched - Trainer
Race 04: # 5 Jet Settin Papa Scratched - Trainer

Race 05: # 1 Upgrade No longer a Coupled Entry
Race 05: # 1A Day of Destiny Scratched - Main-Track-Only
Race 05: #13 Piscitelli Scratched - Also-Eligible
Race 05: #14 Carrots Scratched - Also-Eligible
Race 05: #15 Intercoastal Scratched - Also-Eligible

Race 06: # 1 Jill's Dancer Jockey - Luca Panici changed to Paco Lopez

Race 07: # 1 Holiday for Kitten No longer a Coupled Entry
Race 07: # 1A Nina Fever Scratched - Also-Eligible
Race 07: #11 Pure Value Scratched - Trainer
Race 07: #13 Victoria's Wildcat Scratched - Main-Track-Only
Race 07: #14 Cedar Grove Scratched - Also-Eligible

Race 09: # 1 Derby Kitten No longer a Coupled Entry
Race 09: # 1A Kitten's Caregiver Scratched - Main-Track-Only
Race 09: # 4 Assimilation Scratched - Trainer
Race 09: #13 Yes This Is It Scratched - Also-Eligible
Race 09: #15 Hampton Bays Sun Scratched - Also-Eligible

Kasept 01-05-2011 04:47 PM

Rough going at GP...

$35,200 P5 Carryover..

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-05-2011 04:57 PM

pick 6 for a dime pays 500 plus to 5/6

freddymo 01-05-2011 05:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 740025)
Rough going at GP...

$35,200 P5 Carryover..

Ya think? The Hal's Hope looks ok this weekend.

Kasept 01-05-2011 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 740026)
pick 6 for a dime pays 500 plus to 5/6

$2,400 carryover on that..

Kasept 01-05-2011 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 740028)
Ya think? The Hal's Hope looks ok this weekend.

You know you're in for a long day when Zito wins a turf race..


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