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-   -   12/12: Aqueduct ($32k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=39990)

Kasept 12-12-2010 08:02 AM

12/12: Aqueduct ($32k C/O)
 
The Saturday action started and finished with outrageous prices as Aqueduct in the afternoon and Remington at night produced one crazy outcome after another. At the Big A, Here Comes Vinny, whom Nick Tammaro flagged for ATR listeners Friday, scored at more than 12-1 to begin the parade of prices that produced a $40k P4 ($1) and tripped a $32k carryover for Sunday. Mott's Jaguar Paw ($30.20) was the next upsetter, and came ahead of Randy Persaud's More Than a Reason shocking the Queens County at 19-1. Even Pat Kelly's logical nightcap winner, Jello Shot, paid a bonus price of $15.00, and produced a nice double of $181.50 ($1).

Later at Oklahoma City, the bombs flew in the 2 stakes as Brent Davidson's Sooner Red ($50.20 in the Okie-only End of the Trail) and Bret Calhoun's Grant Jack ($30.80 in the juvy Springboard) created a 3 of 4 scenario that still brought back $204.20! In between NY and OK, the action at Calder started productively with Best Value Flying Approval's starter allowance win at 8-1. But when Crazy Catlady couldn't run down Shirley She Can, who got a smart ride from Joe Bravo, chances for a P4 hit at So. Florida evaporated.

The most important race of the day came at Hollywood with the G1 Startlet, and if there was any doubt about the quality of Turbulent Descent going in, there won't be any coming out. Mike Puype's filly, perfect now in 3 visits to the post, was visually impressive toying with a good group of juvy damsels in the 8.5f standard, and should certainly be even better moving to the organic main track at Arcadia on the Santa Anita Oaks trail. In addition to becoming Congrats 2nd G1 winner (Wickedly Perfect, Alcibiades), she likely delivered the Vinery sire the title as leading freshman stallion by earnings.

All in all, had a number of good ideas Saturday but couldn't put anything together notably in multis and ended up dropping nearly $400 on the day. Hope you did OK despite me... Not a great sequence for the P6 carryover at Aqueduct, and rain is expect on top of it..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$32k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Backslash 9-5 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #7 Christina d'Oro 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 R Holiday Mood 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Viola 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $38.50
$1 Trifecta (4-1-6) Paid $114.25



5th: Cheap Seats, 3yo-F, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Quiet Giant 4-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #4 Malibu Legacy 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Indian Burn 2-1 3rd


$1 Exacta (5-4) Paid $23.40
$1 Trifecta (5-4-3) Paid $64.75



6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Bai Bai Dubai 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Gold Cup Kid 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shotgun Bandit 5-1 WON ($7.30)
Super Add: #10 Shot Gun Holiday 30-1 9th

$1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $31.25
$1 Trifecta (2-6-11) Paid $111.50



7th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

There is so much speed signed on here that it seems impossible that the race doesn't collapse..

Most Likely: #4 Not Macho Any More 9-2 WON
Next Best: #5 D'bigcat 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 V Sat 10-1 DNF
Super Add; #1 Fuzzy's Story 12-1 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Mambo Fever 7-5 5th
Best Value: #4 Cody Samora 10-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Speightful Affair 3-1 WON ($8.70)
Super Add: #1 Rhys 8-1 3rd


9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Another ugly bunch to end the day. Cannot like the fact that Duggan's 2-1 fave Last Episode has one published work since 10/24 debut..

Best Value: #8 Good Night Lucy 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Last Episode 2-1 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #10 Soldierette 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 City Vice 15-1 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-7
5: 3-4-5
6: 6-11
7: 4-5
8: 2
9: 4-7-8-10

2x3x2x2x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-6-11
7: 2-4-5
8: 2-4
9: 4-7-8-10

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

cal828 12-12-2010 09:19 AM

Did ok at Fairgrounds, but another story at Remington. Had 3 of the top 4 finishers in the Springboard, but Aces and Kings kicked my butt. Better result for me I guess than Calvin Borel at Delta.

Kasept 12-12-2010 10:37 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

RockHardTen1985 12-12-2010 12:18 PM

Steven.... I think the Todd/JV rolls in the 4th.
Anything over 2-1 and she will be my only bet of the day.

Kasept 12-12-2010 12:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 733010)
Steven.... I think the Todd/JV rolls in the 4th.
Anything over 2-1 and she will be my only bet of the day.

G/L! 5-2 right now... Public seems pretty confused about the race. Chad Brown taking no money. Contessa getting bet.

RockHardTen1985 12-12-2010 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 733019)
G/L! 5-2 right now... Public seems pretty confused about the race. Chad Brown taking no money. Contessa getting bet.


Chad's horse is likely a second stringer, why is it not in GOAT 1a's barn?

RockHardTen1985 12-12-2010 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 733019)
G/L! 5-2 right now... Public seems pretty confused about the race. Chad Brown taking no money. Contessa getting bet.

Glad she got crushed late...
I think the race sucked, I hated the 4 and I doubt anything is much coming out of it.

Kasept 12-12-2010 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 733027)
Glad she got crushed late...
I think the race sucked, I hated the 4 and I doubt anything is much coming out of it.

Was not a horse to embrace first out as it's a very turfy family. She ran like a turf horse. Very upright. To her credit, she kept trying.

One thing that came out of the race was the $228 triple. And I hope some keyed the winner with the tabs for the $660 super...

Mike 12-12-2010 01:15 PM

I'll go with Potosina here in the 5th

Kasept 12-12-2010 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike (Post 733031)
I'll go with Potosina here in the 5th

BOL Mike. She's taking money. She's been a very frustrating horse for Shuman all year. Showed great promise as a 2yo and hasn't improved an ounce.

RockHardTen1985 12-12-2010 01:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 733030)
Was not a horse to embrace first out as it's a very turfy family. She ran like a turf horse. Very upright. To her credit, she kept trying.

One thing that came out of the race was the $228 triple. And I hope some keyed the winner with the tabs for the $660 super...



No need to brag Steven.

RockHardTen1985 12-12-2010 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike (Post 733031)
I'll go with Potosina here in the 5th

I doubt the Pletcher gets beat.

Kasept 12-12-2010 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 733033)
No need to brag Steven.

Guess I got carried away... Was pleased to get back much of yesterday's losses in one fell swoop. And I got the rest back in the stake!

And not to nitpick, but it's Stephen if you're going to spell it out fully.

Kasept 12-12-2010 01:47 PM

G/L to PGiaco and Gary here!

RockHardTen1985 12-12-2010 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 733038)
Guess I got carried away... Was pleased to get back much of yesterday's losses in one fell swoop. And I got the rest back in the stake!

And not to nitpick, but it's Stephen if you're going to spell it out fully.

Im sorry Stephen.

NTamm1215 12-12-2010 01:53 PM

Steve is tearing up the s.hittiest card of the year in NY.

Kasept 12-12-2010 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 733042)
Steve is tearing up the s.hittiest card of the year in NY.

Not to nitpick, but it's Stieve if you're going to shorten it..






Or Steverino... Or Stevedore.. Or perhaps 'steeeeeeve' as Mortay likes to use.

freddymo 12-12-2010 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 733043)
Not to nitpick, but it's Stieve if you're going to shorten it..






Or Steverino... Or Stevedore.. Or perhaps 'steeeeeeve' as Mortay likes to use.

sweet Stevaroo keep it going

Kasept 12-12-2010 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 733044)
sweet Stevaroo keep it going

Thx Fredo.. I botched the P6 ticket though... :(

freddymo 12-12-2010 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 733045)
Thx Fredo.. I botched the P6 ticket though... :(

Maybe you should not play pik 6's daily they are very hard to cover with 200 bucks..Spend 1000 a week playing 5 pik 6's is rough.. Maybe time cutting it to two a week at 500 each?


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