Derby Trail Forums - 9/3: Saratoga (Day 37); Del Mar ($488k C/O)

Perfect storm of events led to enormous exotics Thursday in the second division of the Riskaverse, and many DTers/ATR listeners scored out. Public's crazed wagering on Lisa's Booby Trap made the bet-against (at any price) an even money favorite at post time, while P6 single and clear standout Queen of the Creek hovered at 4-1. When the Tom Proctor trainee easily wired the field in near record time, she triggered bonus mutuels with the three tabs of 34-1 Ultimate Class (4th choice Exotics Add), 25-1 Kittylicious (3rd choice Next Best) and 15-1 Doe Run (2nd choice Best Value).

The exacta returned $105; trifecta $1,193; superfecta $5,397, and set off a happy celebration amongst many participating patrons in the backyard by Carolina Barbecue. I only had a tri key in what seemed like too tough a spot to fish for supers, but it was one of the best hits of meet and neatly bookended the opening day/opening race bingo of $953. The modest $106 P4 was hit as well, using a $48 play that didn't need to go further than each of the top selections in the quad sequence. Hope you did well!

Twilight action at Saratoga today (2:30pm ET) and a $488k P6 carry at Del Mar starting with the 3rd (7:30pm)!

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Rice entry 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #9 Scibelli 6-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #6 Living for This 15-1 4th

2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Henny's Hurricane 15-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #3 Hurricane Barb 6-1 3rd

3rd: 7th Saratoga Dew-NY, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Group of 6 to contest this edition of stake that celebrates 1992 3yo Champion filly Saratoga Dew, first NY bred to win an Eclipse. Trained by Gary Sciacca, Saratoga Dew was undeafeated at 2 including a G2 Comely win ahead of a soph campaign that saw her sweep the G1 Gazelle and G1 Beldame after being beaten a nose in the G1 Alabama (November Snow)..

Most Likely: #4 My Dinah 5-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Banker's Buy 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Don't Forget Gil 3-1 3rd

4th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Would love to play against City Sneakers here, but not sure he's going to see any pressure on the front end..

Best Value: #1 Hangingbyathread 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 City Sneakers 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Dos Hombres 10-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Too Amenable 10-1 8th

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Overseas Market 2-1 WON via DQ ($6.40)
Best Value: #3 Simply Delightful 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Elusive Raven 5-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Plastique 12-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-7
3: 3-4
4: 1-4-5-9
5: 1-3-5

3x2x4x3 = $72

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Litigating 7-2 6th
Best Value: #3 Flying Vision 12-1 5th
Next Best: #11 SCR
Super Add: #7 Classy Touch 8-1 7th

7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Tripp O Steel 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 British Banker 4-1 6th
Best Value: #11 SCR
Super Add: #3 Bold Vindication 6-1 2nd

8th: 6th With Anticipation (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Typhoon Slew 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Soldat 6-1 WON ($19.40)
Next Best: #7 Silver Medallion 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Powhattan County 3-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (9-2) Paid $35.50
$1 Trifecta (9-2-1) Paid $191.50

9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Silver Mountain 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Slambino 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Ordination 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Prince Will I Am 6-1 WON ($9.00)

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $67.50
$1 Trifecta (8-2-5) Paid $382.00

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-7-11
7: 1-2
8: 1-7-9
9: 2-4-5

4x2x3x3 = $72

DEL MAR

SELECTIONS AFTER ATR (12:00pm)

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd:

$488k P6 Carryover Starts Here..

Most Likely:
Best Value:
Next Best:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:

4th:

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Super Add:

5th:

Most Likely:
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6th:

Most Likely:
Best Value:
Next Best:
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7th:

Most Likely:
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8th:

Most Likely:
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<$200 P6 Play:

3:
4:
5:
6:
7:
8:

<$75 P4 Play:

5:
6:
7:
8:

Good luck!
Steve