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-   -   8/13: Saratoga (Day 19-Hall of Fame) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=37770)

Kasept 08-13-2010 06:09 AM

8/13: Saratoga (Day 19-Hall of Fame)
 
Hit the early P4 Thursday for 'real money', and enjoyed one of those good kinds of days that are necessary at a meet like Saratoga to build the bankroll. Best Value 2nd choice Valiant Passion was usable in the MSW 2nd race at 15-1 with Ralph Nicks adept at sending babies out ready. When she went off at 30-1, the $63.00 win mutuel was a gigantic bonus and led to the boffo P4. Two obvious chalks followed the tote explosion ahead of $20.20 Al Stall trainee Heritage Hall, who flew home late in the 5th and delivered the best of the 4 possible winning outcomes for the ticket at $1.971.50. P3's within the sequence were nice as well, with the 2nd-4th returning $257.00 and the 3rd-5th $96.50. Missed the late P4 because King Andrew failed to get by Surfing Ian in the 7th, but the day was a good one and I know a number of ATR listeners and Derby Trailers were riding along... Hope all did well!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Kingsdale Ocean 12-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 Winthrop House 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sly 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Matt's a Giant 5-1 ($29.40)


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Next Best: #3 Sweet William 3-1: Drops down; Cuts back; Turf to Dirt.. WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #2 Flying Gang 12-1: Snared Nicks' 2yo Wed. at 30-1; Note MCLM bow stats.. 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Wildcat Stevie 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Wascally Rabbit 12-1 2nd


3rd: Lake Luzerne-NY, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Freud's Notebook 3-1: Turf route experiment flopped.. WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Torrone 4-1: Who doesn't love good torrone (Italian nougat)? 5th
Next Best: #8 Late SCR
Super Add: #6 Amiga Del Sol 12-1 7th


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Scorper 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Voodoouthinkur 8-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Eager Leader 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 She's Not Easy 8-1 8th


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 General Song 5-2 9th
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Implied Odds 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Warrant Ofc. Cook 7-2 WON ($10.80)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-5-9
3: 3-4-8
4: 8-10
5: 2-3-7

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Surf Cast 6-1: Dam was a classy distance runner.. 8th
Best Value: #9 Air Support 6-1 WON ($8.10)
Next Best: #10 Derby Kitten 8-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Willy Pay 10-1 5th


7th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Interactif 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #4 Krypton 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Nordic Truce 5-2 4th


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Deceptively tricky group..

Most Likely: #8 Active Trader 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Artie's Chapter 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Consort 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Splendid Behavior 8-1 WON ($34.20)


9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Satin Jet 5-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Magdelena Girl 6-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #9 Sunnybrook 3-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Mardi Belle 8-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-9-10
7: 1-4
8: 1-4-5-6-7-8
9:4-10

3x2x6x2 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (9-1-6-3/4/11) $574.50


Good luck!
Steve

tanner12oz 08-13-2010 09:30 AM

i think your late pick 4 #'s are screwed up....i'll be playing today...looks hittable

dagolfer33 08-13-2010 09:43 AM

What's up with Lezcano? Ever since the Belmont, he sux big time.

Kasept 08-13-2010 09:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz (Post 682473)
i think your late pick 4 #'s are screwed up....i'll be playing today...looks hittable

Can't see what might be screwed up about them... unless my opinion is just bad.

Good luck.

jenroypa 08-13-2010 09:51 AM

Steve- I think they are referring to you have the race numbers listed as 7-10 on your pick 4 selections instead of 6-9...

To steal the Dos Equis line- Stay Hot my friend..

tmpg2000 08-13-2010 09:56 AM

The numbers of the races are incorrect. I believe it should be
6
7
8
9

randallscott35 08-13-2010 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jenroypa (Post 682496)
Steve- I think they are referring to you have the race numbers listed as 7-10 on your pick 4 selections instead of 6-9...

To steal the Dos Equis line- Stay Hot my friend..

"The sharks have a week devoted to him."

Kasept 08-13-2010 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jenroypa (Post 682496)
Steve- I think they are referring to you have the race numbers listed as 7-10 on your pick 4 selections instead of 6-9...

To steal the Dos Equis line- Stay Hot my friend..

Quote:

Originally Posted by tmpg2000 (Post 682501)
The numbers of the races are incorrect. I believe it should be
6
7
8
9

There you go... Thx! Was going over the program numbers and transcription of the includes and couldn't figure out what Tanner meant.

kgar311 08-13-2010 10:19 AM

Steve, No love for Crowned general in the first?

asudevil 08-13-2010 10:29 AM

Steve,

No love for Cockeyed Rooster in the 6th?

Kasept 08-13-2010 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311 (Post 682519)
Steve, No love for Crowned general in the first?

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 682530)
Steve,

No love for Cockeyed Rooster in the 6th?

No... And no. (I spread my love very selectively.)




Both OK though and I wouldn't talk anyone off using them...

fantini33 08-13-2010 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 682419)
Hit the early P4 Thursday for 'real money', and enjoyed one of those good kinds of days that are necessary at a meet like Saratoga to build the bankroll. Best Value 2nd choice Valiant Passion was usable in the MSW 2nd race at 15-1 with Ralph Nicks adept at sending babies out ready. When she went off at 30-1, the $63.00 win mutuel was a gigantic bonus and led to the boffo P4.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 682419)
Two obvious chalks followed the tote explosion ahead of $20.20 Al Stall trainee Heritage Hall, who flew home late in the 5th and delivered the best of the 4 possible winning outcomes for the ticket at $1.971.50. P3's within the sequence were nice as well, with the 2nd-4th returning $257.00 and the 3rd-5th $96.50. Missed the late P4 because King Andrew failed to get by Surfing Ian in the 7th, but the day was a good one and I know a number of ATR listeners and Derby Trailers were riding along... Hope all did well!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Winthrop House 3-1
Best Value: #2 Kingsdale Ocean 12-1
Next Best: #6 Sly 5-2
Super Add: #5 Matt's a Giant 5-1


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Next Best: #3 Sweet William 3-1: Drops down; Cuts back; Turf to Dirt..
Best Value: #2 Flying Gang 12-1: Snared Nicks' 2yo Wed. at 30-1; Note MCLM bow stats..
Exotics Use: #5 Wildcat Stevie 6-1
Super Add: #9 Wascally Rabbit 12-1


3rd: Lake Luzerne-NY, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Freud's Notebook 3-1: Turf route experiment flopped..
Exotics Use: #4 Torrone 4-1: Who doesn't love good torrone (Italian nougat)?
Next Best: #8 Healthy Debate 7-2: Carries human anchor in Lezcano..
Super Add: #6 Amiga Del Sol 12-1


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Scorper 7-2
Best Value: #8 Voodoouthinkur 8-1
Next Best: #7 Eager Leader 4-1
Super Add: #2 She's Not Easy 8-1


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 General Song 5-2
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 2-1
Best Value: #7 Implied Odds 10-1
Super Add: #4 Warrant Ofc. Cook 7-2


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-5-9
3: 3-4-8
4: 8-10
5: 2-3-7

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Surf Cast 6-1: Dam was a classy distance runner..
Best Value: #9 Air Support 6-1
Next Best: #1 Last Out of Panama 2-1
Super Add: #7 Willy Pay 10-1


7th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Interactif 8-5
Best Value: #4 Krypton 3-1
Next Best: #6 Nordic Truce 5-2


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Deceptively tricky group..

Most Likely: #8 Active Trader 3-1
Best Value: #1 Artie's Chapter 6-1
Next Best: #7 Consort 7-2
Super Add: #6 Splendid Behavior 8-1


9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1e Ownership entry 7-2
Best Value: #10 Satin Jet 5-1
Next Best: #9 Sunnybrook 3-1
Super Add: #4 Magdelena Girl 6-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-9
7: 1
8: 1-4-5-6-7-8
9: 1-4-9-10

3x1x6x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Absolute LASER SHOW!! Way to go Steve.

Kasept 08-13-2010 11:15 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 08-13-2010 11:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 682538)
Absolute LASER SHOW!! Way to go Steve.

Thx Ed! Was a fun day yesterday... BOL!

iamthelurker 08-13-2010 02:01 PM

Very confusing 8th race, who does everyone like in here?

jefff777 08-13-2010 02:55 PM

Im with ya on Cockeyed Rooster. used in double with Interactif and #3 horse

-BT- 08-13-2010 04:32 PM

late pk4 was well played sir

hats off

-bt-

TitanSooner 08-13-2010 04:33 PM

BOOM... Nice one Steve!

lazytom 08-13-2010 04:41 PM

yea
 
thank you steve - t.

XIIPointStables 08-13-2010 04:44 PM

Byk Four
Senor Saratoga

Nice work Steve.


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