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-   -   How bad of a bettor am I? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=36527)

munster705 06-08-2010 01:37 PM

How bad of a bettor am I?
 
Hi Guys

Here are the tickets I played for the Belmont.....

$60 bankroll

$10 exacta box 11 with 5-7
$20 win 11

That one hurt

NTamm1215 06-08-2010 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by munster705 (Post 655454)
Hi Guys

Here are the tickets I played for the Belmont.....

$60 bankroll

$10 exacta box 11 with 5-7
$20 win 11

That one hurt

If you liked the 11 then you're not a bad bettor at all, you're just a horseplayer who narrowly missed a decent score. It happens all the time.

You'd have been a bad bettor if you really liked a different horse but bet the 11.

NT

randallscott35 06-08-2010 01:44 PM

Shake it off. Carryover tomorrow.

munster705 06-08-2010 01:56 PM

It ran exactly like I thought it would. I should have boxed the tri for another $6

VOL JACK 06-08-2010 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by munster705 (Post 655454)
Hi Guys

Here are the tickets I played for the Belmont.....

$60 bankroll

$10 exacta box 11 with 5-7
$20 win 11

That one hurt

Bad "betting" is always a result of bad handicapping.
You keyed the wrong horse....it happens, move on.
Plus you have a very small bankroll, which doesn't help.

cal828 06-08-2010 09:37 PM

Hard to fault your handicapping. You came up with the top 3 finishers. You just didn't give yourself a chance to win by playing so few combinations of those 3.

Port Conway Lane 06-08-2010 09:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cal828 (Post 655641)
Hard to fault your handicapping. You came up with the top 3 finishers. You just didn't give yourself a chance to win by playing so few combinations of those 3.

In other words he got greedy.

dagolfer33 06-08-2010 10:40 PM

I was alive to Icebox to hit the pick4. You would think I would have invested a huge amount to be in that position. Nah, $24. I have gotten over it and moved on. I did cry most of the afternoon, but I have moved on. And Gus was all over the winner. But I have moved on. My wife said I could buy me a new car if I would have hit it. But thats all in the past. Jesus, 24K for an 8/5er to get me a new frickin car. I have let it go a long time ago. Dammit.:zz:

lemoncrush 06-09-2010 07:49 AM

Has anyone mentioned in the past few days how that trifecta paid pretty low?
I assumed plenty of people included Drosselmeyer on their tickets, but with a 12 horse field, The 8-5 favorite out of the money and a 13-1 shot on top, I thought that trifecta would have paid between 500 - $650.

Hell, the year Aflex Alex won, that trifecta paid around $650, and I believe that was with Andromedas Hero and....was it that Maiden, Nolan's Cat or something, in 3rd?

randallscott35 06-09-2010 07:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush (Post 655741)
Has anyone mentioned in the past few days how that trifecta paid pretty low?
I assumed plenty of people included Drosselmeyer on their tickets, but with a 12 horse field, The 8-5 favorite out of the money and a 13-1 shot on top, I thought that trifecta would have paid between 500 - $650.

Hell, the year Aflex Alex won, that trifecta paid around $650, and I believe that was with Andromedas Hero and....was it that Maiden, Nolan's Cat or something, in 3rd?

At first glance I thought the same, but 13-1 over 5-1 over 5-1 is not exactly outlandish. Not to mention Ice Box simply looked overbet in the win pool.

VOL JACK 06-09-2010 07:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush (Post 655741)
Has anyone mentioned in the past few days how that trifecta paid pretty low?
I assumed plenty of people included Drosselmeyer on their tickets, but with a 12 horse field, The 8-5 favorite out of the money and a 13-1 shot on top, I thought that trifecta would have paid between 500 - $650.

Hell, the year Aflex Alex won, that trifecta paid around $650, and I believe that was with Andromedas Hero and....was it that Maiden, Nolan's Cat or something, in 3rd?

Yes the great nolan's cat run 3rd.
Him and AP Aroow cam out of the same maiden race and into the Belmont.

dagolfer33 06-09-2010 09:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerS (Post 655728)
Based on what I can see here the handicapping was fine.

Three contenders were identified. They ran 1-2-3. Doesnt get much better than that.

Backing that handicapping- the betting- is the hardest and most important part. People who play for any length of time will get the handicapping part down. Unfortunately its the betting thats the harder learn.

When betting, you have to treat it as an investment. You have to be diversified and play different kinds of bets, or some fine handicapping will be wasted.

moses 06-09-2010 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerS (Post 655728)
Based on what I can see here the handicapping was fine.

Three contenders were identified. They ran 1-2-3. Doesnt get much better than that.

Backing that handicapping- the betting- is the hardest and most important part. People who play for any length of time will get the handicapping part down. Unfortunately its the betting thats the harder learn.

I totally agree with your comments here. Especially the fact that betting is the hardest part. It's not very hard to pick two or three horses that are going to be there in a given race -- it's really about what bets you should make. I think that's what I have the most trouble with at this point.

cal828 06-09-2010 05:17 PM

I too have struggled with the betting part of the equation, but seemed to do well with both that and handicapping in the Belmont. It will be interesting to see whether it was just one of those rare days when I could do no wrong or something lasting. Hoping for the latter. I will be retiring sometime between August and November. Will have more time and less money. A nice score at the track occasionally would be very nice.

chucklestheclown 06-12-2010 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cal828 (Post 656002)
I too have struggled with the betting part of the equation, but seemed to do well with both that and handicapping in the Belmont. It will be interesting to see whether it was just one of those rare days when I could do no wrong or something lasting. Hoping for the latter. I will be retiring sometime between August and November. Will have more time and less money. A nice score at the track occasionally would be very nice.

I am betting on the latter. GRL.


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