5/20: Belmont Park ($26k C/O)
 

Wednesday's late quad proved tricky indeed despite straightforward appearance, as parade of 'possible but not lovable' winners produced $3k P4 and P6 carryover of $26,600. The three price winners were buried in the selections as 4th choices, so it was highly unlikely that a winning play was going to be put together, as the sequence paid twice the parlay. Hope you did well. In addition to the NY carry, there is a $73k C/O at Hollywood as well...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Pretty darned good race for $16k maidens..

Most Likely: #1 Delta Thunder 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 My Man Jake 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Absolute Loyalty 3-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Gilt Edged 7-2 4th


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Seniors Pride 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Bad Action 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Rocketing Returns 3-1 2nd


6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Interesting race with Tim Ice using the turf route as a 'leg-up' Belmont Stakes prep and blinker expirement for John Ed Anthony's New Madrid; The colt, by excellent turf sire Rock Hard Ten and out of a Theatrical mare, is eligible to outrun his 8-1 ML..

Most Likely: #4 Spanish Art 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Cherokee Speed 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Elusive Beat 3-1 4th


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Very good starter ALW with well-matched bunch including some intriguing comebackers..

Most Likely: #3 Spacy Tracy 2-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Unique Citizen 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Untamed Glory 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Upper Gulch 12-1 2nd


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5-IT (DD)

Absolutely terrific turf ALW that could easily have been an overnight stake..

Most Likely: #1 Lemon Spice 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Slambino 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Ea 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Carson Hall 3-1 3rd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #1a Supreme Serene 9-5 5th
Best Value: #12 N P Cat 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Ommadon's Answer 9-2 6th
Super Add: #10 Logical Order 3-1 WON


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-2-7-8
5: 2-3-5
6: 4-7
7: 3
8: 1-2-4-8
9: 1

4x3x2x1x4x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-7
7: 1-3-4-6-7-8
8: 1-2
9: 1-12

3x6x2x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

I'm diving into the Belmont Late PK 4 as well, today.

Double check the numbers in the 6th race. I believe Elusive Beat is the (5), not the (3).

L/C,

Thx.. Was right in the P4 but wrong in the race selects... The more I played with the tabs and wrote them up, the more fun the sequence looked. Should be a good day of racing... Enjoy!

Looks like some key scratches, especially in the nightcap. Now I'm looking more at the 11, Logical Order.

The 8th is down to 6 horses, most of which have a chance to win.

BEL SCR/CHG'S (Main-Fast/Turf-Good)


5TH

5 Desert Falcon Early


6TH

1 (poe) Montesquieu Early
2B Ya Gotta Have Soul Early
8 Stargleam Early


7TH

2 Blue Hill Bay Early
5 Kelly's Pic Early


8TH

5 Lemon Cream Pie Early NO SUPERFECTA
7 Prussian Early


9TH

1 (poe) The Cuff Shooter Early
6 Showme Zealous Early
11 Katy's Office Girl Early
13 Mount Karakorum Early
14 Jello Shot Early

Belmont Late PK 4

6th) Agree with Steve that New Madrid's preferred surface may end up being turf, but tough to include knowing it's a prep for the Belmont, and facing older horses for the first time.
4 - Spanish Art
5 - Elusive Beat
7 - Cherokee Speed
1A - Wild Entry

7th
3 - Spacy Tracy
7 - Untamed Glory (Catellano back on, chance to take them all the way without another serious pace threat)


8th. Now down to a field of just 6, hoping Lemon Spice stays within striking distance of longshot and lone speed candidate Eighttofasttocatch.
1 - Lemon Spice
4 - Carson Hall

9th 1A Supreme Serene should handle these, but still makes me nervous.
1A - Supreme Serene
10 - Logical Order
8 - Always Fishin

4x2x2x3 = $48 for $1

Good luck

:eek:
Did not think the 2 Kindergarten Kid would get the trip needed to win the 6th.
That hurt.

$105k C/O into Friday.

Get to studyin' boys.