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Kasept 05-14-2010 05:48 AM

5/14: Pimlico Race Course (1st-13th)
 
Thursday's action turned into a teeth-gnasher, as Alan Goldberg turf debuter Humble Song upset the 9th at Belmont at 18-1 costing the P4 and a nice P6 conso. Upon further inspection, the $140k KEE September '08 purchase was indeed eligible for a turf jump-up as a half to the nice grass stakes winner Around the Cape. Ninth race 'Best Value' top tab Hear Her Roar was moving best but arrived too late to produce the desired mutuels. Earlier, I certainly felt right about the suspicions I had for Biz Jet in the 5th, and the $28.80 tote on 'Best Value' second choice Hot Trip helped the day along. But, I chose to leave her off the P6 ticket which proved the difference in cashing a conso or not cashing one. Of course I'd be a lot more upset about running 2nd with Hear Her Roar in the nightcap had I been alive for the jackpot at that point... Hope you did well as it wasn't a bad day overall.

Preakness Weekend arrives and the spectre of another day threatened by potential weather issues arrives with it. Serious chance for afternoon thunderstorms today, so let's hope for the best. The good news is that Saturday appears safe from any problem from the elements. Strong cards have been assembled by MJC Racing Secretary Georgeanne Hale for these two biggest days in the Chesapeake, despite budget and horse population problems. It should be a great couple of days, and I'm looking forward to getting down to Pimlico Saturday. Full look at the Black-Eyed Susan card action below, but check back later as I'll monitor the weather regarding the turf and any potential sloppy track inclusions that may arrise from a downpour. Full weekend coverage on ATR this afternoon!


HI HO! PIMLICO


POST SCRATCHES (12:45am)


1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Call of a Lion 10-1 WON ($18.20)
Most Likely: #2 Yogi'ssplashofgold 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Tidal Change 9-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Regretable Romance 8-1 4th


2nd: MD-S/HCP, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #11 With Purpose 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #6 Swear Allegiance 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Goodness Greatness 8-1 9th
Super Add: #2 May One 4-1 6th


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 5f-T (P3, Super)

First of 4 turf sprints on the day..

Most Likely: #1 Titanic Win 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #14 Wildcat Jessie 20-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Lycurgus 6-1 7th
Super Add: #12 My Bullet 6-1 WON ($15.40)


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

A little hard to understand including charity race with retired riders in P4 sequence..

Most Likely: #5 Rasher 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Brogue 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Chapel of Love 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mass Destruction 10-1 4th


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Back to Therapy 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Staged Affair 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Alwaysacontest 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #5 Gift From the Sea 8-1 6th


6th: 11th Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, Super)

As usual with turf sprint stakes, the favorites look like standouts. But these events are always subject to possible jump up winners, so try to utilize a price or two on multi-race back-up plays, and Linda Rice happens to have two of them in Ahvee's Destiny (SCR'D) and Lady Rizzi. I thought 20-1 Twice as Beautiful and 15-1 Always for Love were interesting bombs in here as well..

Most Likely: #2 Starfish Bay 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #11 Lady Rizzi 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Canadian Ballet 3-1 5th
Super Add: #14 Always for Love 15-1 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, Super)

After the famed Bermuda interview with me on ATR, it's too bad Kent Desormeaux didn't land the mount here on Pink Sand!

Most Likely: #7 Squabble 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #2 Mac Speed 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Alpha Darlin 9-2 7th
Super Add: #3 Dixieland Melody 5-2 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

4: 5
5: 3-5-6-7
6: 2-7-11
7: 1-2-3-7

1x4x3x4 = $48


8th: 5th Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #1 Cardashi 12-1 6th
Most Likely: #10 Central City 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #8 Hero's Reward 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Blue Sailor 6-1 5th


9th: 25th Miss Preakness, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Vindy City WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #4 For Royalty 4th
Exotics Use: #2 High Five Gal 5th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #7 Super Chunky 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Oh My Me My 8-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Phosphorescent 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #12 Conceit 6-1 3rd


11th: 18th Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 All Giving 5-1 5th
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Use: #10 Rate of Exchange 8-1 6th


12th: 86th Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (DD, Susan-Preakness Double, Super)

Most Likely: #1 No Such Word 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Tidal Pool 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Seeking the Title 5-1 DNF-Incident
Super Add: #5 Harissa 5-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 4-5
10: 4-7-11
11: 8-9/SCR-10
12: 1-6 (2-5)

2x3x3x2 = 36 x $2 = $72
(ALT: 2x3x3x4 = 72 x $1 = $72)


<$50 Susan-Preakness Double Plays:



A: 1 with 8 = 1 x $20 = $20
B: 1 with 7-10-11 = 3 x $4 = $12
C: 2-5-6 with 8 = 3 x $3 = $9
D: 2-5-6 with 7-10-11 = 9 x $1 = $9


13th: 37th Hilltop, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #6 Smart Seattle 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Joharmony 5-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #11 Potosina 7-2 3rd (DQ'd)
Exotics Use: #8 Summer Shade 10-1 6th


Good luck!
Steve

declansharbor 05-14-2010 05:52 AM

Off to work and won't be playing today at all, just want to extend a 'good luck' to Steve and the fellow horseplayers! The value certainly seems to be there for the taking today. Hit the windows hard ladies and gents.


Lycurgus in the 3rd. Johnny Walker 'neat', DO IT!!

docicu3 05-14-2010 05:56 AM

Middle 50's and surely "looking like Rain"......bring a sweater today Steve. Completely different feel than last year. Drive safe Rte 95 south has been lined with cruisers from the Delaware line to Rte 695 every AM this week.

Kasept 05-14-2010 06:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3 (Post 647302)
Middle 50's and surely "looking like Rain"......bring a sweater today Steve. Completely different feel than last year. Drive safe Rte 95 south has been lined with cruisers from the Delaware line to Rte 695 every AM this week.

Thx DD... Not coming today though. Flying down tomorrow morning. Looking forward to it.

booner 05-14-2010 06:32 AM

At work myself and won't be able to play today, either. Did give your picks to a friend here at work who is heading to Franklin to play a little.

Hope everyone has a good day!!

Kasept 05-14-2010 09:46 AM

PIM SCR/CHG'S


1 12:15

#4 Congar Light


2 12:46

#3 Apron Dancer
#8 Valay Cat
#12 Devil Denied


3 1:15


4 1:45


5 2:16

#1 Toe Shoes


6 2:45

#1 Daily Candy
#3 Rate Of Exchange
#13 Life Lesson


7 3:25


8 3:45

#7 Smart Enough


9 4:16

#6 Starlight Starbrite


10 4:47


11 5:20

#2 Sweet Goodbye
#3 Dontgetsuspicious
#4 Mikeslittlegirl
#5 Sterling Vow
#9 Rightly So


12 6:00


13 6:30

#1 Worstcasescenario
#4 Imanheiress
#9 Kawiye

randallscott35 05-14-2010 09:52 AM

I think Awakino Cat will be right there in the 8th Stevie.

philcski 05-14-2010 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 647355)
I think Awakino Cat will be right there in the 8th Stevie.

I can assure you he won't hit the board today. ;) :p

randallscott35 05-14-2010 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 647367)
I can assure you he won't hit the board today. ;) :p

Really? Why?

Scav 05-14-2010 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 647368)
Really? Why?

He is scratched

randallscott35 05-14-2010 10:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 647370)
He is scratched

Gotcha, was not in the original list. Thanks

atolunch 05-14-2010 11:15 AM

Updated, Big Scratch of the #3 Cuff Me in the 9th:

Scratches
Race 1 #4 Congar Light
Race 2 #3 Apron Dancer, #8 Valay Cat, #12 Devil Denied
Race 3 #9 Norjac, #10 Love Me Later, #13 Stone in Love
Race 4 #9 Dance With Butters, #10 Davina's Baby, #11 Sun Dance Moon
Race 5 #1 Toe Shoes
Race 6 #1 Daily Candy, #3 Rate of Exchange, #5 Ahvee's Destiny, #13 Life Lesson
Race 8 #5 Local Celebrity, #7 Smart Enough, #9 Awakino Cat
Race 9 #3 Cuff Me, #6 Starlite Starbrite
Race 10 #13 Billionaire Bob, #14 Ennis
Race 11 #2 Sweet Goodbye, #3 Don'tgetsuspicious, #4 Mikeslittlegirl, #5 Sterling Vow, #9 Rightly So
Race 13 #1 Worstcasescenario, #4 Imanheiress, #7 Little Missgrizzly, #9 Kawiye

pointman 05-14-2010 11:23 AM

Nice call in the 1st, Steve. Haven't had a chance to look, but threw a few bucks on that horse and played a little DD to your top selection in the 2nd. Keep it going! :D

Kasept 05-14-2010 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 647384)
Nice call in the 1st, Steve. Haven't had a chance to look, but threw a few bucks on that horse and played a little DD to your top selection in the 2nd. Keep it going! :D

Thx Nick... Good start to the day. DD $67.40 too.

pointman 05-14-2010 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 647404)
Thx Nick... Good start to the day. DD $67.40 too.

Thank you, Steve! The account was low and before I went to deposit for the weekend, figured I would take a shot on that horse in the first and that early DD. Thanks to you, I now have some $ to play for the weekend (the degenerate that I am ;)) and no need to deposit.

Keep up the great work, I am going to throw a few bucks on some of your best values on top today. Certainly spices up the workday and a lot more fun than the law that I am knee deep in this afternoon!


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