5/13: Belmont ($23k C/O); Churchill (Late P4)
 

Some solid opinions of the late action at Belmont Wednesday, but nothing I was thinking was going to land the enormous quad which brought back more than $9,000 ($1). Jimmy Wright's tough to use Kingsdale Ocean wired the nightcap with strong handling from Jorgie Chavez who got his first tally of the meet with the effort. Earlier prices in the 4th and 5th had already set up a carryover, so today's P6 starts out with $23k in the kitty. Very good pair of ALW's inside the late P4 at Churchill today as well. Hope you did OK yesterday and are getting excited about The Susie-Preakness action. Steve Crist, Steve Haskin, Rich Eng, Tony Black, Nick Tammaro, Brian Spencer, Jeff Siegel and/or Laffit Pincay III all on 'ATR' today!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Am curious at what point the Rudy Rodriguez magic begins to fade... or is stymied? Imagine having all this training talent to win at 48% and wasting all that time riding..

Best Value: #7 Smile of Success 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Timber Cruise 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Unstoppable 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Metulla 8-1 WON


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Not that enamored with .50 on the dollar Biz Jet who didn't return to the worktab for more than three weeks after the nice fig Gulfstream MDN-breaker. Horse behind her that day ran 72 BSF next out, and only Will Phipps' 6th place runner (Doe Run; #1a-AE in 8th today) has returned to win (1m-T MSW at Tampa-73 BSF). The horses Biz Jet faced in her debut (2nd) have turned out to be nothing special either with just Diosa Indian winning from that heat, (a 65 Beyer performance wiring slugs at DEL). The single everyone will use and the most likely winner, but will you be surprised if she faulters?

Most Likely: #6 Biz Jet 1-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Hot Trip 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Cape Cod Carrie 6-1 5th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Distant Strike 3-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Key Victory 5-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Live On the Edge 7-2
Super Add: #4 Actor's Groove 20-1 2nd


7th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Hangingonaprayer 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Southside Babe 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 SCR
Super Add: #3 Eightyfive S 8-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Protesting 5-2 WON
Next Best: #6 Vee 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Rhys 10-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Mehndi 12-1


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Yeesh.. Some way to end the multis. Bad bunch of coconuts..

Best Value: #4 Hear Her Roar 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Alwaysinmydreams 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Conseated Lady 5-2 9th
Super Add: #1 Charmed 6-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-4-5-7
5: 6
6: 5-8-9
7: 5-9
8: 6-7
9: 4-10

4x1x3x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-8-9
7: 3-5-9
8: 3-6-7
9: 4-10

4x3x3x2 = $72



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Warshaw 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Big in Argentina 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Mayor Tom 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Be Rich 10-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #10 La Gran Bailadora 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Snow Top Mountain 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Maestro Miss 5-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Duomo 6-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Land of the Giants 5-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Zion 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Headache 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Baryshnikov 12-1 7th


9th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Forest Lord 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Home of the Gold 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Betatron 6-1
Super Add: #10 G Areyoukidding 5-1 WON



<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7-8-9
7: 3-6-10
8: 3-6-7-8
9: 1-2-7

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

BEL SCR/CHG'S



4th

6 Vinnies Wild Tale Early


6th

1 Morethan Fourhours Early
12 Giopi (IRE) Early
13 Royal Lord Early
14 Single Malt Early


7th

7 Innovator Early
8 Twisted Version Early


8th

1A Doe Run Early
4 Rumpus Room Early
9 Exiled Princess Early
12 Octomon Early
13 Hey Babe Early


9th

11 Joyful Linda Early

CD SCR/CHG'S


RACE 6 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER)

Late Workout #1 Warshaw - April 29, Churchill Downs, 7F, 1:27, breezing

SCRATCH #5 Cray Cray



RACE 7

SCRATCH AE #1A Queen Hazel (part of entry, #1 Oscar de la Thorn will run)

SCRATCH #5 Thunder Way

SCRATCH #7 Ithinkihadthatone

AE #11 Ice Mist will run

AE #12 She Be Classy will run and will now be ridden by Corey Nakatani



RACE 8

Late Workout #4 Pathoki - May 7, Victory Haven Training Center, 4F, :49 2/5, breezing

SCRATCH #8 Smarten Destiny



RACE 9 - SUPER HI-5 / NO CARRYOVER

SCRATCH #3 Step to the Music

SCRATCH #4 Chesapeake Bay

Late Workout #7 Home of the Gold - May 4, Trackside Louisville (CDT), 5F, 1:02, breezing

SCRATCH #8 Archie Trucker

early pick 4

2,5,6 with 3,4,5 with 3,4,5 with 6

Am curious at what point the Rudy Rodriguez magic begins to fade... or is stymied? Imagine having all this training talent to win at 48% and wasting all that time riding..

Steve....that's good stuff right there!

Maybe his next starter. :rolleyes::D

Nice call on Biz Jet...and you tabbed the winner as "next best"...that blew up the show payouts!

Yeah I've done that before. It makes you want to throw a heavy object out a window.

Thanks.. I didn't take advantage of it like I should have. She looked like a big problem to me based on the company she had kept, but there wasn't any special indication that the ones she was facing there were much good either..

Taking a shot with the 4

$20 wp

Steve,
Your write up on race 5 interested me in playing the P3 sequence. I was able to cash a couple of tickets, thank you.

2nd $14.40

Race 7
$20 win 2

Calvin is Money!

Race 8
$10 wps 1

Jara is a horrible turf rider but the odds are too good on this one.

Yep.

That 5 was gettable with tomorrows newspaper today.