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-   -   Early Early derby odds (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35827)

Port Conway Lane 04-30-2010 10:17 AM

Early Early derby odds
 
Number Name Trainer Morning Line Current Odds
1 Lookin At Lucky Bob Baffert 3 6
2 Ice Box Nicholas Zito 10 10
3 Noble's Promise Kenneth McPeek 12 23
4 Super Saver Todd Pletcher 15 8
5 Line of David John Sadler 30 18
6 Stately Victor Michael Maker 30 14
7 American Lion Eoin Harty 30 25
8 Dean's Kitten Michael Maker 50 14
9 Make Music for Me Alexis Barba 50 27
10 Paddy O'Prado Dale Romans 20 10
11 Devil May Care Todd Pletcher 10 11
12 Conveyance Bob Baffert 12 19
13 Jackson Bend Nicholas Zito 15 24
14 Mission Impazible Todd Pletcher 20 27
15 Discreetly Mine Todd Pletcher 30 41
16 Awesome Act Jeremy Noseda 10 13
17 Dublin D. Lukas 12 22
18 Backtalk Thomas Amoss 50 23
19 Homeboykris Richard Dutrow, Jr. 50 24
20 Sidney's Candy John Sadler 5 13

Morning line followed by live odds. Updated by the minute here:
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/contenders/live-odds

randallscott35 04-30-2010 10:20 AM

Thanks for the link.

cakes44 04-30-2010 10:31 AM

Good to see Backtalk taking $$.

Port Conway Lane 04-30-2010 10:34 AM

If the exacta prices over top of LAL are any indication the longest prices in the field will be 7,8,9,14,15,18,19.

tjfla 04-30-2010 10:37 AM

I wanna know who put there house,jet,and yacht on Dean's Kitten?

14-1:eek:

randallscott35 04-30-2010 10:39 AM

Wait until there is about 500k in the pool....But Borel money is a real phenomenon as well as Paddo O Prado officially being the wise guy horse.

AeWingnut 04-30-2010 10:40 AM

I like the prices I am getting on #12 Conveyance (19-1) and #14 Mission (27-1)
hate the price I am getting on #10 Paddy O'Prado (10-1)

Arletta 04-30-2010 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tjfla (Post 641691)
I wanna know who put there house,jet,and yacht on Dean's Kitten?

14-1:eek:

Perhaps a lot of people named Dean that have a cat :D

tjfla 04-30-2010 10:41 AM

Ya just updated

LAL 7-1
Super Saver 8-1
Ice Box and Paddy 10-1

Port Conway Lane 04-30-2010 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 641693)
Wait until there is about 500k in the pool....But Borel money is a real phenomenon as well as Paddo O Prado officially being the wise guy horse.

Coldwater bandwagon;)

randallscott35 04-30-2010 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane (Post 641698)
Coldwater bandwagon;)

I respect the opinions of the people there alot with regards to how well he's training. I believe it. I would not have used Dennis of Cork a few years ago without those opinions....but I don't think the risk/reward is anything near what it should be on this horse.

Port Conway Lane 04-30-2010 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 641699)
I respect the opinions of the people there alot with regards to how well he's training. I believe it. I would not have used Dennis of Cork a few years ago without those opinions....but I don't think the risk/reward is anything near what it should be on this horse.

Me too.

philcski 04-30-2010 10:53 AM

Current odds based on Oaks/Derby double... which I believe to be a very good indicator.
1 Lookin at Lucky (Gomez) 3.1-1
2 Ice Box (Lezcano) 15-1
3 Noble's Promise (W. Martinez) 23-1
4 Super Saver (Borel) 15-1
5 Line of David (Bejarano) 37-1
6 Stately Victor (A. Garcia) 20-1
7 American Lion (Flores) 33-1
8 Dean's Kitten (Albarado) 54-1
9 Make Music for Me (Rosario) 59-1
10 Paddy O'Prado (Desormeaux) 30-1
11 Devil May Care (J. Velazquez) 18-1
12 Conveyance (M. Garcia) 29-1
13 Jackson Bend (M. Smith) 29-1
14 Mission Impazible (Maragh) 25-1
15 Discreetly Mine (Castellano) 58-1
16 Awesome Act (Leparoux) 11-1
17 Dublin (Thompson) 31-1
18 Backtalk (Mena) 56-1
19 Homeboykris (Dominguez) 73-1
20 Sidney's Candy (Talamo) 8-1

Port Conway Lane 04-30-2010 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 641705)
Current odds based on Oaks/Derby double... which I believe to be a very good indicator.
1 Lookin at Lucky (Gomez) 3.1-1
2 Ice Box (Lezcano) 15-1
3 Noble's Promise (W. Martinez) 23-1
4 Super Saver (Borel) 15-1
5 Line of David (Bejarano) 37-1
6 Stately Victor (A. Garcia) 20-1
7 American Lion (Flores) 33-1
8 Dean's Kitten (Albarado) 54-1
9 Make Music for Me (Rosario) 59-1
10 Paddy O'Prado (Desormeaux) 30-1
11 Devil May Care (J. Velazquez) 18-1
12 Conveyance (M. Garcia) 29-1
13 Jackson Bend (M. Smith) 29-1
14 Mission Impazible (Maragh) 25-1
15 Discreetly Mine (Castellano) 58-1
16 Awesome Act (Leparoux) 11-1
17 Dublin (Thompson) 31-1
18 Backtalk (Mena) 56-1
19 Homeboykris (Dominguez) 73-1
20 Sidney's Candy (Talamo) 8-1

Where is that? I couldn't find it on the KD site.

Antitrust32 04-30-2010 10:58 AM

very stupid question but my brain is farting.

You can do $1 exacta boxes at Churchill, correct?

rpncaine 04-30-2010 10:59 AM

Correct

philcski 04-30-2010 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane (Post 641707)
Where is that? I couldn't find it on the KD site.

twinspires.com has the Oaks/Derby probables... I used Blind Luck's double prices as the start and recalculated to determine the odds.

For what it's worth, she's 9/5 in the double pool.

randallscott35 04-30-2010 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 641713)
twinspires.com has the Oaks/Derby probables... I used Blind Luck's double prices as the start and recalculated to determine the odds.

For what it's worth, she's 9/5 in the double pool.

Surprised she's that high.

ranger5830 04-30-2010 11:04 AM

It's so amazing, I just had to note it, as of right now, Super Saver is the Derby favorite.

alysheba4 04-30-2010 11:08 AM

noble,s promise @ 23-1 is fantastic......i am getting down a 1,2,3,4,20 ex. bx & tri bx. n.p is ready to fire HUGE.....


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