3/4: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Santa Anita ($82k C/O)
 

YESTERDAY: Gulfstream P4 proved nearly unhittable Wednesday, and just 2 .50 plays negotiated the quad successfully for an outrageous $51.5k each. The first three winners paid $20.00 (4th choice Super Add Rocket to the Moon), $54.00 (Unused Giovanna Alyssa) and $21.00 (4th choice Super Add Mannington) before logical $10.60 (Top choice Best Value Intercoastal) prevailed in the nightcap. Had a pretty good afternoon overall, catching some cashers with $12 Best Value Koka Kola Ocean keying a $46 tri ($1) and Intercoastal tripping the 9th race exotics including the $146 triple ($1). Hope you did well!

TODAY: Sensed when crazily bet (3-5) Bulldogger went down to defeat in Santa Anita 6th that a carryover was in the offing, and sure enough, surprise winners kept coming. $82k P6 and $41k Hi-5 carries as a result, with both nearly unplayable due to the difficulty factor. I take a swing below, but advise that the sextet sequence and Cal-bred MSW nightcap down the hill (!), are brutally tough. Had previously looked at the Aqueduct P4, so that's offered for your consideration as well.


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: NYB-MSW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Has long-suffering and perrenial show pony Spencerific perhaps found a field he can beat? Return to race 2 back might be good enough here, but track was giving it up to speed again yesterday, and off pace types may be up against it again today..

Most Likely: #5 Ponte Vecchio 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Doast 2-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Spencerific 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Ruling Decision 5-1 5th


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Not that impressed with underlaid 9-5 Rice fave #2 Shot Gun Gal who is being asked to stretch her speed, but there isn't a lot here that seems interested in going with her..

Most Likely: #8 Eager Emma 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Dancing Daisy 5-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Shot Gun Gal 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Bearusa 3-1 2nd


8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Raynick's Jet 2-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Cajun Jet 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Rapide One 15-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Vital Argument 6-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #8 Landlash 3-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Quantitativeeasing 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Stay Classy 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Bar Beach 6-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-5
7: 2-4-7-8
8: 1-3-8
9: 5-8

2x4x3x2 = $48

$1 Pick 4 (2,3/7/3/8) Paid $224.50



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: S/ALW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Just one of the reasons this is an impossible sequence, as group of starter foes is confusingly well-matched with all but one making their turf debut..

Best Value: #1 Rocky Ice 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #3 Siete Machos 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Unusual Encounter 4-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Worth a Punt 8-1 WON


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 The Legal Blonde 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Skylights 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Nubian Princess 12-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Dame Camille 12-1 9th


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Lucy Got Lucky 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Pivital Queen 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Argenta 7-2 8th
Best Value: #6 Go See Cecie 8-1 5th


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Crossing the Line 9-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Self Insured 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Sognatore 20-1 10th
Super Add: #11 Cee Bargara 5-1 4th


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Sister Dawn 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Harissa 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1a Smart Seattle 7-2 3rd


8th: Cal-bred MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Spanish Bunny 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Torrey Cliffs 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Kahlua Mist 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Streamline Baby 7-2 7th
Hi 5 Play: #3 Foxy Approval 6-1 6th


<$100 P6 Play:

3: 1-3-4
4: 9
5: 9-10
6: 2-4
7: 6-7
8: 4-7

3x1x2x2x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 6-8-9-10
6: 2-4
7: 1-6-7
8: 4-7-9

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Steve in the 6Th at SA THE PACE looks quick and I went 2deep with the 5 and 6 I just don't trust crossing the line

SA SCR/CHG'S

Race 1: Scratch #11 Impregnable; #4 +2 Overweight

Race 2: No Changes

Race 3: No Changes

Race 4: No Changes

Race 5: Scratch #7 Daniella Roth

Race 6: #6 Rider Mike Smith

Race 7: Scratch #2 Seriously

Race 8: Scratch #11 Sibersky, #12 Flying Suances, #13 Verbicaro, #14 Laura Beasley; #2 Rider Victor Espinoza; #6 +1 Overweight

i didnt see a gulfstream thread for today, but heres my pick 4 play


.50
2,8,11 with 2,3,4 with 3,4,12 with 2,6,10,12

Good luck in the nightcap Steve

Great Job Steve $224.50

Nice job Steve!

Nice P4 hit Steve. :$:

Santa Anita P6 stab:

March 4, 2010 5:03 PM 486512
Race 3 Santa Anita
$2.00 P6 (PWHL)
3, 4 / 6, 7, 9 / 10 / 4, 10 / 7 / 1, 4, 7
Bet $72.00

G/L

Nice job at Big A!

Late pick 4 At SA
5)2,9,10
6)5,6
7)1,6
8)3,6,7
$36 Dollars Tough Sequence

There's no place like home, eh Steve?

$224 Cha-ching................nice!

That horrible rider Ramon Dominguez gave the greatest ride of the year in the 9th race to beat me at the wire out of a small fortune.

Congratulations Steve. If you collected $5K it will make me feel a little better.

Carryover!!

300k+ tomorrow at Santa Anita.....

Boy I was way off after the 5Th race double carryover for 2Morrow

I thought she had it there... I didn't hear your analysis. Aside form the class drop (and double whammy Bocachica/Jara off) what did you like enough to put her on top? I looked at her a lot, but the last effort kept me from betting. Thanks.

i agree