Derby Trail Forums - 2/19: Santa Anita (5th-8th)

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2/19: Santa Anita (5th-8th)

Thought $11, $13 and $111 winners of the first half of Thursday Santa Anita P6 meant a carryover was in the offing for Friday. But 3 subsequent victors that were obvious 'on top' Most Liklies kept the sequence within reach of one ticket that scored on the $80k+ prize.

54-1 El Nadia, a 7yo Kiwi making a first NA start, was Steve Knapp's first winner of the meet after 35 tries. She was a 1 for 25 turf mare in NZ running 7f to a mile; had been off 229 days with Knapp 8% "Off >180 days" and 0 for 17 "First time with trainer". In other words, she was tough to use...

Hope you did OK yesterday as the next three winners "on top" produced a $50 P3 that defrayed the P4 beat a tad. Huge Saturday on deck, and ATR preview will include DRF's Mike Welsch (GP, TAM) and Marcus Hersch (FG). Carryover of $25k looms at Aqueduct today, but with a potential $160k pot at Arcadia, I looked West instead and the P4 appears approachable and possibly lucrative.

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Warren's Appeal 5-2 3rd-DH
Best Value: #1 Win Allison Win 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Playa Bonita 9-2 3rd-DH
Super Add: #2 G. I. Betty 6-1 6th

6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Victory With Honor 5-2 8th
Best Value: #2 Silk Street 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Stephen's Got Hope 4-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Close to the Edge 3-1 4th

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Devine Actress 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 My Aunt Fanny 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Jealous Woman 3-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Welken 5-2 2nd

8th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Saltwater M D 4-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Kalookan Commando 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Jacob's Tiger 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Slew City Grinder 8-1 7th
High 5 Play: #1a (POE) Unusually Lucky 5-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6
6: 2-7
7: 1-3-4-5
8: 5-8-11

3x2x3x4 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6
6: 2-7
7: 1-3-4-5
8: 5-8-11

3x2x3x4 = $723

Wow Steve, expensive P4, I may have to quit playing if they cost that much lol.;)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

54-1 El Nadia, a 7yo Kiwi making a first NA start, was Steve Knapp's first winner of the meet after 35 tries. She was a 1 for 25 turf mare in NZ running 7f to a mile; had been off 229 days with Knapp 8% "Off >180 days" and 0 for 17 "First time with trainer". In other words, she was tough to use...

Owner Cecil Barber who took down the P6 pool yesterday and owned the winner in the night cap, said he only included El Nadia because he had thought of buying her awhile ago. Crazy :zz:

Quote:

Originally Posted by mclem0822

Wow Steve, expensive P4, I may have to quit playing if they cost that much lol.;)

Hey... They say you have to spend money to make money! :wf

Quote:

Originally Posted by South Beach Luv

Owner Cecil Barber who took down the P6 pool yesterday and owned the winner in the night cap, said he only included El Nadia because he had thought of buying her awhile ago. Crazy :zz:

There ya go! That tells you everything you need to know about how it goes sometimes...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Hey... They say you have to spend money to make money! :wf

Yeah, I keep telling the wife that, over, and over again. :eek: