Derby Trail Forums - 2/3: AQU (6th-9th); SA ($127k P6, $57k Hi-5 C/O's)

Despite some solid opinions, fell short Sunday on GP and SA P4 tries that both paid exceedingly well. Baffert authored a surprise in the Santa Monica when enigmatic Gabby's Golden Gal emerged late for her second G1 win to go with last year's Acorn. I went 6 deep in the quirky stake, and can't suggest that Gabby would have been horse 7, 8 or 9! The P4 paid $1,254 and the P6 wasn't hit ($127,000 carryover today) in part thanks to Baffert's winner, and Sandy Shulman's $18 'Aunt Fanny' in the 4th. Earlier at Gulfstream, I included Chad Brown's Unaccountable as the Super Add in the 7th, but found him tough to use in the P4 play. That was unfortunate as he and overlaid Bickersons (G2 Forward Gal) helped prime the $1,636 (.50) quad payout. So as always, there was great value in the multi-race standard. Hope you did well. The SA carryover look is below, including Jon White's suggestion, as well as a P4 swing at Aqueduct. Aqueduct 9th and Santa Anita C/O heats 3-6 on "ATR" this afternoon...

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Sophisticated Lass 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Fashion Queen 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Liza Lu 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Only a Vision 6-1 4th

7th: NYB-OC/N1X, 4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Diamond District 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #1 Smart Enuf 7-2 WON
Best Value: #8 French Transition 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Living Out a Dream 20-1 6th

$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $35.25
$1 Trifecta (1-8-6) Paid $61.75

8th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Dr. W 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Almighty Silver 6-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Stud Muffin 2-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Be Bullish 9-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (3-2) Paid $55.75
$2 Trifecta (3-2-6) Paid $259.00

9th: NYB-CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Coaltown Legend 5-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Suttle Rich 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Nolite Timere 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Kick Up Your Heels 20-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4-5-9
7: 1-5-6-7-8
8: 6
9: 2-5-6

5x5x1x3 = $75

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: ALW/C, 4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Get Funky 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Cherokee Heaven 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Liberian Freighter 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Papa Bear 15-1 9th

4th: CLM, 4yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Sky Marni 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Apache Anne 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Church Avenue 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Cuvee Blush 5-1 8th

5th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 One Man's Delight 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Absolutelypositively 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Juliano 7-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Gobbler's Knob 8-1 5th

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Acute Velocity 4-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 First Queen 3-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Saint Cindy 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Soldier Betty 7-2 5th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 The Program 9-5 WON
Next Best: #1 Distorted Dave 2-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Get a Grip 9-2 4th

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (Super, Super High 5)

$57k Super Hi-5 C/O..

Most Likely: #6 Veecu 8-5 WON
Next Best: #2 My Last Tycoon 4-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Guadalupe Lupe 20-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Quietly Waiting 7-2 5th
High 5 Play: #3 My Friend Bernie 6-1 2nd

<$200 P6 Play:

3: 3
4: 2-8
5: 2-8
6: 4-6-8
7: 1-2-3-4
8: 2-6

1x2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 2-8-9
6: 4-6-8
7: 1-2-3-4
8: 2-6

3x3x4x2 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (4,9/8/4/6) Paid $104.50

Good luck!
Steve

JON WHITE'S P6 C/O PLAY

3: 1-3-5
4: 1-2-4
5: 1-4-8
6: 5-6-8
7: 4
8: 6

3x3x3x3x1x1 = 81 x $2 = $162