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-   -   12/6: Aqueduct ($125k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33116)

Kasept 12-06-2009 06:45 AM

12/6: Aqueduct ($125k C/O)
 
Suggested treading lightly on difficult Aqueduct carryover sextet Saturday, and that was certainly good advice. Every winner in the sequence was between 7-2 and 6-1, going off as the 4th, 3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 4th choices, and it would have taken a very deep or lucky play to garner each. The nuttiest price of the day was the 11-2 you got on Awesome Ashley in the featured Garland of Roses. I had a brutal day after the great Friday, and was appreciative that Tina had a party in Saratoga that prevented me from losing any more after the 6th. Hope you did OK and are in the mood to attack Sunday's good card.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


Fun and challenging sequence with $125k Carryover..


Cold and dry today in S. Ozone Park..



4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Eleni's Hope 6-1 8th
Most Likely: #5 Wise Choice 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lyrical Bobcat 6-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Donna's Sandee 5-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (6-1) Paid $82.50
$1 Trifecta (6-1-5) Paid $370.00



5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 The Mayor 3-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Gargantua 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Victory March 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Country Trick 10-1 WON


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Risky Rachel 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Precious Penny 12-1 10th
Next Best: #13 Royal Alibi 3-1 WON
Super Add: #12 Nina's Spirit 10-1 4th


7th: 31st Damon Runyon-NYB, 2yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Dont Blame the Cat 3-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Ibboyee 2-1 WON
Next Best: #5 City Trooper 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Vital Argument 12-1 5th


8th: 72nd EastView-NYB, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Myrtle's Gray 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Thundered 20-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Primed to Be Ready 6-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Under the Rainbow 12-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Stungbythestorm 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Yankee Chief 10-1
Next Best: #7 Press Only 8-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Bullara 20-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-2-5-6
5: 2-3-8
6: 1-9-12-13
7: 2
8: 7-8
9: 6

4x3x4x1x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-9-12-13
7: 2-3
8: 3-7-8
9: 4-6-7

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-06-2009 10:40 AM

AQU SCR/CHG's:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp


4TH

8 Mynia Early


5TH

1A Pavlov's Dog Early
2B Turaath Early
9 Last Noble Early
10 Fortune Faded Early


6TH

3 I Dreamt I Was Early
4 La Belle Gabrielle Early
14 Strategic Missile Early


7TH

4 Fortunate Run Early


8TH

5 On the Beat Early


9TH

2 Mr. Meso Early
8 He Aint Easy Early
11 A Zero Trap Early

Kasept 12-06-2009 01:00 PM

How in the world did Lyrical Bobcat go off at 11-1?!?! Sweet!

Gander 12-06-2009 01:00 PM

The early double pays $40 for $2 with a 7/2 into a 6/1. Never seen that before.

Kasept 12-06-2009 02:09 PM

The way Pletcher has been going, am a little surprised Ibboye isn't taking money...

richard 12-06-2009 02:13 PM

Vital Argument in the 7th finished a nose behind Peppi Knows in the NY Futurity @ FL. He was flattered by Peppi Knows' 2nd place finish in the Remsen.

Kasept 12-06-2009 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard
Vital Argument in the 7th finished a nose behind Peppi Knows in the NY Futurity @ FL. He was flattered by Peppi Knows' 2nd place finish in the Remsen.

Well, that effort did little to flatter the Remsen result.. which is already under some fire from a few quarters.

NTamm1215 12-06-2009 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Well, that effort did little to flatter the Remsen result.. which is already under some fire from a few quarters.

Andy got badgered constantly on the chat Friday night about the Remsen and even wrote multiple times that he must have watched a different race from some of the folks who were participating.

Everyone needs to come to the realization that the Remsen was not a good race. Buddy's Saint may end up being a nice horse but there was nothing about that race that made him look very good.

NT

richard 12-06-2009 03:09 PM

I thought Steve had Vital Argument placed right as his "super add" which he missed by a nose.


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