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-   -   Attention Beyers Gurus (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32952)

Rudeboyelvis 11-25-2009 06:05 PM

Attention Beyers Gurus
 
Fortunate Run, in the 6th at AQU today wins for fun by 5 lengths after coming off the turf getting the mile in 1:39 - I've got no idea how to calculate this beyer, but was curious to get your thoughts....

Thanks



6th race - Aqueduct - November 25, 2009

Off at: 2:52 Race Type: Maiden Special Weight Video Race Replay
Age Restriction: Two Year Old
Value of Race: $50,400
Distance: One Mile On The Dirt - Originally Scheduled For One Mile On Turf
Track Condition: Fast
Winning Time: 1:39.03
Pgm Horse Jockey Win Place Show
15 Fortunate Run David Cohen 5.10 2.90 2.40
3 It's the Big Cat A. R. Napravnik 6.10 4.10
7 Thundering Roar Eddie Castro 3.70
Also ran: 10 - I'm Hooked Up , 4 - D'argento , 14 - Brunelli , 5 - Leatherhead , 1 - Ave. of the Pines , 9 - Mom Proof , 8 - Come Undone
Scratched horses: Johannesburg Smile (Also-Eligible) , Unforgettable P J (Off-Turf) , Luminesce (Off-Turf) , Shekomeko Son (Off-Turf) , Bounder (Off-Turf) , Capridge (Off-Turf)

Indian Charlie 11-25-2009 06:20 PM

By my calculations, I'm going to guess between 60-63.

And by my calculations, I mean pulling a number out of my ass.

gales0678 11-25-2009 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Fortunate Run, in the 6th at AQU today wins for fun by 5 lengths after coming off the turf getting the mile in 1:39 - I've got no idea how to calculate this beyer, but was curious to get your thoughts....

Thanks



6th race - Aqueduct - November 25, 2009

Off at: 2:52 Race Type: Maiden Special Weight Video Race Replay
Age Restriction: Two Year Old
Value of Race: $50,400
Distance: One Mile On The Dirt - Originally Scheduled For One Mile On Turf
Track Condition: Fast
Winning Time: 1:39.03
Pgm Horse Jockey Win Place Show
15 Fortunate Run David Cohen 5.10 2.90 2.40
3 It's the Big Cat A. R. Napravnik 6.10 4.10
7 Thundering Roar Eddie Castro 3.70
Also ran: 10 - I'm Hooked Up , 4 - D'argento , 14 - Brunelli , 5 - Leatherhead , 1 - Ave. of the Pines , 9 - Mom Proof , 8 - Come Undone
Scratched horses: Johannesburg Smile (Also-Eligible) , Unforgettable P J (Off-Turf) , Luminesce (Off-Turf) , Shekomeko Son (Off-Turf) , Bounder (Off-Turf) , Capridge (Off-Turf)

rosie couldn't keep It's the Big Cat going , i think she hit the rail twice coming down the stretch

15 had a perfect trip

ave of the pines could be one to watch going forward

philcski 11-25-2009 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Fortunate Run, in the 6th at AQU today wins for fun by 5 lengths after coming off the turf getting the mile in 1:39 - I've got no idea how to calculate this beyer, but was curious to get your thoughts....

Thanks



6th race - Aqueduct - November 25, 2009

Off at: 2:52 Race Type: Maiden Special Weight Video Race Replay
Age Restriction: Two Year Old
Value of Race: $50,400
Distance: One Mile On The Dirt - Originally Scheduled For One Mile On Turf
Track Condition: Fast
Winning Time: 1:39.03
Pgm Horse Jockey Win Place Show
15 Fortunate Run David Cohen 5.10 2.90 2.40
3 It's the Big Cat A. R. Napravnik 6.10 4.10
7 Thundering Roar Eddie Castro 3.70
Also ran: 10 - I'm Hooked Up , 4 - D'argento , 14 - Brunelli , 5 - Leatherhead , 1 - Ave. of the Pines , 9 - Mom Proof , 8 - Come Undone
Scratched horses: Johannesburg Smile (Also-Eligible) , Unforgettable P J (Off-Turf) , Luminesce (Off-Turf) , Shekomeko Son (Off-Turf) , Bounder (Off-Turf) , Capridge (Off-Turf)

Not that high.
Other mile races on the day: $10k N3L's went 1:38.10 and statebred $15k N2L's went 1:39.18. Guessing the number will be about a 55.

Indian Charlie 11-25-2009 07:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Not that high.
Other mile races on the day: $10k N3L's went 1:38.10 and statebred $15k N2L's went 1:39.18. Guessing the number will be about a 55.

I'll bet you a Giant's Causeway poster that my guess is closer than yours!

philcski 11-25-2009 08:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
I'll bet you a Giant's Causeway poster that my guess is closer than yours!

Split the difference and we're probably right... while I think Elvis is one of the sharpest guys around, I'm not sure what the purpose of this thread was.

RockHardTen1985 11-25-2009 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
I'll bet you a Giant's Causeway poster that my guess is closer than yours!


Do you really have one?

philcski 11-25-2009 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
By my calculations, I'm going to guess between 60-63.

And by my calculations, I mean pulling a number out of my ass.

Actually I think your number might be right. Just went back and looked at the beaten claimer from the race before and while the odds on the winner and place horse there were a few ok races in there which they might look at instead. If that gets a 70 Beyer then the winner of the 6th gets a 60.

Indian Charlie 11-28-2009 03:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Do you really have one?

Yeah man. Check out that second one, it's 12 feet by 8 feet!

http://www.zazzle.com/giants_causewa...83585775040830

http://www.allposters.com/gallery.as...=PD&c=c&page=2

Kasept 11-28-2009 05:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
I'll bet you a Giant's Causeway poster that my guess is closer than yours!

IC wins... Fortunate Run received a 61 BSF.

herkhorse 11-28-2009 06:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
Yeah man. Check out that second one, it's 12 feet by 8 feet!

:D
:tro:


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