Derby Trail Forums - 11/19: Churchill (7th-10th)

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11/19: Churchill (7th-10th)

Happy I passed on the Hollywood carryover, which chalked out for a $750 payout. Instead, the Aqueduct and Churchill P4's were taken down for decent enough returns of $230 and $214 respectively ($443.40) on $132 invested. Hope you did well! Card in NY is good, but rainy weather is likely in the afternoon so Churchill is the sole focus.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Heavenly Chorus 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Gruenwald 6-1 WON ($37.60)
Next Best: #1 Badger Barry 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Stormin Yank 6-1 6th

8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Aregulationhottie 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Elusive Jozi 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Nothing Wild 8-1 WON ($54.80)
Super Add: #7 Quiet by Seven 10-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $106.10
$1 Trifecta (1-2-7) Paid $550.10

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 War Echo 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #7 Alice's Smart 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Color Me Up 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Irish Ridge 3-1 3rd

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Joyous 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Tempo Approved 4-1 WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #4 Merciful 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Stormie Gray 4-1 5th
High 5 Play: #9 She's From Queens 6-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6-7
8: 1-2-4-5-6-7
9: 1-7
10: 1-2-4

4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/1/1,4/1) Paid $735.40

Good luck!
Steve

RACE 7 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER)

SCRATCH #5 Unjust

RACE 8

SCRATCH #8 Wildcat Melody

RACE 9

SCRATCH #4 Street Sign

RACE 10 - SUPER HI-5 (NO CARRYOVER)

Jockey Change #3 Stormie Gray - Shaun Bridgmohan

SCRATCH #10 Catnandu

SCRATCH AE #11 Kazoom

SCRATCH AE #12 Classy Marlin

AE #13 Wonderful 'n Wild will run

SCRATCH AE #14 Broadway Breeze

SCRATCH MTO #15 Sapphiresndiamonds

SCRATCH MTO #16 Too Divine

How about that? How did we get 17-1 there? :$: :$: $37.60...

Will start a 'saver' P3 with the trio I didn't use in the P4.. The 3-9-10...

Very strong start to the late P4. :$:

That Six Horse blow up my middle P4, but let's bring home the late quad.

G/L

Thanks for the $550 tri, Steve.:$: :$:
Not a bad start to the P4 either.
You're unbelievable.

This is ridiculous... LOL... Why was she allowed to get off at 26-1??? I'll quit now!

Holy **** man.... I started a Late P3 with your Picks starting in the 8th.. Bring it home.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

This is ridiculous... LOL... Why was she allowed to get off at 26-1??? I'll quit now!

BAM!!!!
get this quad home...

Quote:

Originally Posted by tigerfan

Thanks for the $550 tri, Steve.:$: :$:
Not a bad start to the P4 either.
You're unbelievable.

:o

You're quite welcome...

Kooky pair of races... And rare to have a Romans horse run like that going unbet..

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

:o

You're quite welcome...

Kooky pair of races... And rare to have a Romans horse run like that going unbet..

They've been ignoring some of his lately despite how hot he has been at Churchill. There was another one last Saturday that won at a giant price.

Obviously fearing the draw in runner from Nehei that's taken money... Stormie Grey too, Gary's old horse. Spreading some covers with them. G/L to those that played along...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Happy I passed on the Hollywood carryover, which chalked out for a $750 payout. Instead, the Aqueduct and Churchill P4's were taken down for decent enough returns of $230 and $214 respectively ($443.40) on $132 invested. Hope you did well! Card in NY is good, but rainy weather is likely in the afternoon so Churchill is the sole focus.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Heavenly Chorus 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Gruenwald 6-1 WON ($37.60)
Next Best: #1 Badger Barry 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Stormin Yank 6-1

8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Aregulationhottie 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Elusive Jozi 8-1
Next Best: #1 Nothing Wild 8-1 WON ($54.80)
Super Add: #7 Quiet by Seven 10-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $106.10
$1 Trifecta (1-2-7) Paid $550.10

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 War Echo 2-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Alice's Smart 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Color Me Up 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Irish Ridge 3-1 3rd

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Joyous 5-2
Next Best: #1 Tempo Approved 4-1
Best Value: #4 Merciful 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Stormie Gray 4-1
High 5 Play: #9 She's From Queens 6-1

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6-7
8: 1-2-4-5-6-7
9: 1-7
10: 1-2-4

4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

well played sir

-bt-

signal on xbet has been in and out all afternoon. very frustrating

Quote:

Originally Posted by Heels1989

signal on xbet has been in and out all afternoon. very frustrating

1-2-9-7

-bt-

Sweet!!!

Big thanks to Mr Byk once again. :$: :$: :$:

Think their gonna stop taking Steve's bets. Nice hit, was along for the exciting ride!

Thank You!!!!!1

Steve , where are you on Sirius????

Thanks,

Tom

Fantastic job Steve!!!!!!!I had a previous trip to the park engagement with my 2 and 4 year old princesses so I missed it. Payout low with those mutuels??????

nice job the new" kentucky killer."..