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-   -   10/30: Keeneland (1st-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32523)

Kasept 10-30-2009 07:21 AM

10/30: Keeneland (1st-10th)
 
Couldn't get the P4 single through in the Keeneland feature Thursday, but was a moderately successful afternoon nonetheless. Sixth race Best Value Remand paid a gaudy $15.60 and started a P3 that brought back $167 for a $1. Hope you did well!

Gave penultimate day at Keeneland a full card look with Dee Tee Stables' Kickin N Screamin featured in the 2nd.. Plus, I'm traveling to Califiornia Saturday and won't get much out in the way of Selections this weekend.


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, Super, DD)

Bizarre group..

Best Value: #9 Chosen Empire 12-1 6th
Most Likely: #4 Matai 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Tizallaboutme 6-1 5th
Super Add: #11 One Bad Actor 30-1 7th


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Competitive and intriguing event for Dee Tee's hard-knocking mare to tackle..

Most Likely: #1 Kickin N Screamin 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Connie's June Moon 12-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Heavenly Surprise 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Gold Crop 12-1 3rd


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Soul Coaxing 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Attractive Ride 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Cielo Classic 4-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Mizzen's Wake 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (3-8) Paid $98.90
$1 Trifecta (3-8-5) Paid $357.40



4th: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Vacation 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 The Roundhouse 7-2 5th
Also Use: #3 Jamaludin 3-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Gran Estreno 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Smarten Destiny 5-1 WON
Most Likely: #1 Moral 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Rockside Road 15-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Veritable 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-5-7-9-12
3: 1-5
4: 3-4-6
5: 1-8-9-10

6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Luckily not part of either P4.. Watch board for clues because there's no telling who is anything here.. Wide open.

Most Likely: #8 Wynchase 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Patti's Regal Song 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Warbling 3-1 WON
Super Add: #12 Sissy Pants 12-1 10th


7th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Maneke 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Calculating Jimmy 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Escrow 3-1 8th
Super Add: #1 George's Cigar 5-1 6th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Dynazapper 2-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Life Begins 10-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Harlan's Princess 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Adorabella 20-1 11th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Doctor Carina 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Cruisin'nthebridle 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Pure Heaven 5-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Miss Rufus 5-1 2nd


10th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #12 Michalson 9-2 9th
Best Value: #11 Native Tongue 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Mr. Noname 5-1 12th
Exotics Use: #5 Cab 12-1 5th
High 5 Play: #8 Chaffee John 10-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

Brutally difficult sequence..

7: 2-7-9
8: 1-3
9: 3-5-8-9
10: 5-7-8-10-11-12

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

golfer 10-30-2009 07:39 AM

In the first, I'm looking at #2 Royal Rossi. I realize picking the 7-2 tepid ML favorite isn't exactly going out on a limb, but I think his last was a bit better than it appeared. Don't expect him to get bet heavily due to the 6th place finish. He sat way back in a strung out field, and closed well enough to catch my eye, while still finishing an unimposing 6th. Losing the blinkers, and adding an extra 1/16th of a mile today.

knickslions2 10-30-2009 10:46 AM

Enjoy your trip out Steve. I'm in San Diego now and the weather is perfect.

Kasept 10-30-2009 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2
Enjoy your trip out Steve. I'm in San Diego now and the weather is perfect.

K/L,

Thx! No turning back now... I literally just finalized a hotel and booked the rental. LOL.. I was a tad lax on those fronts since I fly tomorrow.

Kasept 10-30-2009 11:45 AM

KEE SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.keeneland.com/racing/List...lItemsalt.aspx


1st Race
#6--Coal Cutter--SCRATCH

2nd Race
As of 12:40 p.m.:
#4--Whispering Heat--Jockey change to Freddie Lenclud

As of 12:10 p.m.:
#8--Serenity Lake--Jockey change to Nelson Arroyo

3rd Race -- NO CHANGES

4th Race -- NO CHANGES

5th Race
As of 12:10 p.m.:
#12--Two Step Hero--Jockey change to John McKee

Previously announced:
#4--Original Ink--SCRATCH

6th Race -- NO CHANGES

7th Race -- Rail is down
As of 12:10 p.m.:
#10--Parade Critic--Jockey change to Phil Teator
#11--Jazzed Up-- +2

Previously announced:
#4--Turf King--SCRATCH

8th Race -- NO CHANGES

9th Race -- Rail is down
As of 12:30 p.m.:
#6--Proud Lisa--(LA) Lasix Adjunct

10th Race
#5--Cab--Jockey change to John McKee


The Polytrack is fast.
The turf course is good.

Buckpasser 10-30-2009 12:16 PM

Kickin N Screamin opened at odds of 9-2

Kasept 10-30-2009 02:34 PM

They've bet this Warbling like she has wings... Still a firster no matter how good she may be.

mclem0822 10-30-2009 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
They've bet this Warbling like she has wings... Still a firster no matter how good she may be.

Wow! Very impressive!

ateamstupid 10-30-2009 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
They've bet this Warbling like she has wings... Still a firster no matter how good she may be.

She was as advertised. Final furlong in :11.60.

Kasept 10-30-2009 02:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
She was as advertised. Final furlong in :11.60.

Without urging.. But I'm always hesitant about these 3+ MSW's this time of year.

ateamstupid 10-30-2009 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Without urging.. But I'm always hesitant about these 3+ MSW's this time of year.

Considering her sire, it's not really a surprise it took them this long to get her in a race. My guess is staying healthy will be her biggest obstacle.

Kasept 10-30-2009 03:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Considering her sire, it's not really a surprise it took them this long to get her in a race. My guess is staying healthy will be her biggest obstacle.

Runner up that I liked is an Unbridled's Song as well!


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