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-   -   10/29: Keeneland (4th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32504)

Kasept 10-29-2009 09:05 AM

10/29: Keeneland (4th-9th)
 
Fun day Wednesday as the rollercoaster ride at Keeneland continues. Getting knocked out of the P4 in the first leg by tricky The Big Finisher ($16.00) proved OK. Miffed by the early KO, I turned around with a 3x3x4 ($36) Late P3 play that came back a fat $426 thanks to $34.00 nightcap winner Bill Harv Rib. The P4 paid $2,700 (.50) and would have been nice, but the P3 took the sting out...

The feature was darn lucrative too, as top tab Diamond Song ($7.80) won over Best Value second choice Silver Time (11-2) and Super Add Pina Colada (12-1) for a juicy $162.20 ($1) triple. This was a case where despising a bad ML fave (Wild Poppy) payed off. By covering Wild Poppy in the multi-race wagers only, you get room in your exotic plays for a horse like Pina Colada who made the trifecta payoff worthwhile.

Hope you did well! Off the turf in NY today, so the Late P4 isn't nearly as inviting as it looked initially. Keeneland has but three more cards, so we'll keep playing there...


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Going against 2-1 second choice Clear Pond who may need one..

Most Likely: #6 Pari 9-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Yolo 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Forest Trail 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #3 Omega Cat 5-1 2nd


5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific and wide open claimer..

Most Likely: #5 Stream Cat 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Promisei'llbehome 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Soul 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Croton Road 15-1 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Luyu 8-1 7th
Most Likely: #4 Remand 6-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #5 Gallientos 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Rosscat 12-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Speight the Halo 6-1 9th
Most Likely: #12 Strong Commitment 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Moon Town 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #8 Manito 8-1 11th


8th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Waccamaw 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Stealin' Kisses 5-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Ocean Colors 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Overandabeauty 9-2 WON ($13.80)


9th: CLM, 3+, 9f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #12 Biggerbadderbetter 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 First Movement 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #11 Back to Ack 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Humble Earl 8-1 6th
High 5 Play: #5 Spark of Humor 8-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-6-9
7: 3-5-8-10-12
8: 11
9: 2-3-5-11-12

4x5x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


Good luck!
Steve

juice1134 10-29-2009 09:53 AM

in the 9th six shots is #9 not #4

Kasept 10-29-2009 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by juice1134
in the 9th six shots is #9 not #4

Fixed.. Thx juice! But scratched anyway....

Kasept 10-29-2009 10:31 AM

KEE SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.keeneland.com/racing/List...lItemsalt.aspx


Track Conditions, Maintenance & Weather
Thursday, October 29, 2009 10:00 AM

The Polytrack is fast.
The turf couse is yielding.
The rail is up.


4th Race
#1--She's Due--SCRATCH

5th Race
#2--Guardianofthenorth--SCRATCH

6th Race
#2--Chief Complaint--Jockey change to Willie Martinez
#7--Saintly Tale--SCRATCH
#11--Ninewayhit--Jockey change to Chris Emigh

7th Race -- NO CHANGES

8th Race
#1--Stealin' Kisses--Jockey change to Robby Albarado
#13AE--Rumor Control--SCRATCH
#14AE--Antepova--SCRATCH

9th Race
#5--Spark of Humor--Jockey change to Leandro Goncalves
#9--Six Shots--SCRATCH

Rootdog1 10-29-2009 11:38 AM

Big fan of the best value horse in the 9th....

asiarush 10-29-2009 07:11 PM

Nice job steve..........You've made me some nice coin!!.......Thank you!

Kasept 10-29-2009 07:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asiarush
Nice job steve..........You've made me some nice coin!!.......Thank you!

A/R,

Quite welcome... My pleasure. Has been really fun working it out at KEE these three weeks and I'm glad I stuck with it. I think I've learned a lot about how to approach the racing there which is something I never had any confidence in even before the poly. Got a little too adventurous trying the single today, but you generally get paid at KEE if you find winners.

Kasept 10-30-2009 05:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
I find that to be true everywhere.

:tro:

Yeah, but I mean really paid...


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