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-   -   9/26: Belmont (4th-10th); Calder (Big 4); PHA (Turf Amazon) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31934)

Kasept 09-26-2009 06:17 AM

9/26: Belmont (4th-10th); Calder (Big 4); PHA (Turf Amazon)
 
Got skunked at Belmont in P4/P6 tries with odd set of circumstances producing low-priced winners that were curiously tough to string together on tickets. Honestly don't know what I would have done differently, and luckily, the $2,600 (P6) and $180 (P4) weren't the kind of returns that get you suicidal. Hope you did OK. Fun and eclectic racing around the country today with Belmont's card particularly intriguing for wagering purposes. Calder .50 Big 4 looks like good action too. Regionally, Laurel hosts Jim McKay Maryland Million Day, Turfway features the Kentucky Cup, and Remington has their Oklahoma Classics card tonight. Plenty of other good racing scattered about too, with Presque Isle winding down (3 stakes), Woodbine (Selene/Ontario Derby) and Hastings (British Columbia Oaks/Derby) hosting nice Weekends.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Interestring group with pair posted widest (#9 Count Catamount; #10 Strong Commitment) having run 'fast enough' to have won already on main track and now try sod. Clement fave (#7 Wild Entry) gets blinks looking to get over top. Tough call..

Most Likely: #7 Wild Entry 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1a (POE) Lieutenant 10-1 7th/11th
Next Best: #10 Strong Commitment 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Caffe D' Oro 6-1 6th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Global Force 3-1 2nd (WON on DQ)
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #1e Hennig entry 6-1 5th/6th
Exotics Use: #6 Magic Lion 8-1 3rd


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Tremendous betting race..

Best Value: #4 Holy Anthem 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #9 Cherokee Speed 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Yankee Empire 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Hammock 20-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 GOLDEN GUSKA 4-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Pure Pulpit 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Key Victory 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Burnished Copper 10-1 6th


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Another fun wagering affair with 4-1 2nd choice (#1 Separatist) and Brown-Ramsey returnee (#8 Dirty Water Dog, 6-1) sure to draw money while no better than several with more alluring prices..

Best Value: #4 Solvent 10-1 WON
Most Likely: #6 Missinglisalewis 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tobruk 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Zip to the City 30-1 8th


9th: 16th Gallant Bloom (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Thunders Dove 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #2 Indian Blessing 8-5 WON
Next Best: #3 Sara Louise 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #4 Sky Haven 12-1 3rd


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Runfromthestorm 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Adastraperaspera 8-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Meese Rocks 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 More Oats Please 5-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-5-6-8
9: 2-3-6
10: 1-4

2x6x3x2 = $72



CALDER RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Needles, 3yo, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (.50 "Big 4", Super)

Most Likely: #7 Livingston Street 3-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Grand Cash 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Powerchord 12-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Cinnamon Road 4-1 WON


8th: Foolish Pleasure, 2yo, 1m,70y (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 THANK YOU PHILIPPE 9-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Lucas Brady 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Bim Bam 3-1 WON
Super Add: #2 Allez Reef 4-1 2nd


9th: Judy's Red Shoes, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Royal Card 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Hopeful Image 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Sweet Repent 8-1 WON
Super Add: #9 One Proud Lady 10-1 5th


10th: Brave Raj, 2yo-F, 1m,70y (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Sweetlalabye 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Rosebud's Image 8-1 11th
Next Best: #8 The Isabella Angel 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Successful Song 7-2 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-7-9
8: 3
9: 10
10: 3-7-8-12

4x1x1x3 = 12 x $2 = $24

7: 3-4-7-9
8: 3
9: 1-3-10
10: 3-7-8

4x1x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

Total = $48



PHILADELPHIA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 3rd Turf Amazon, F&M-3+, 5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Smart and Fancy 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Juliet's Spirit 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Queen Ofthe Catsle 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Dubai Majesty 6-1 3rd


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 09-26-2009 11:52 AM

4TH

11 Eagle Strike Early


5TH

2 Sensationalist Early


6TH

10 Stevil Early


7

11 Five Boroughs Early


8TH

11 Theartofcompromise Early


9TH

1 American Queen Early NO SUPERFECTA


10TH

13 Way to Karakorum Early
14 Mercy's Delight Early

pointman 09-26-2009 12:26 PM

Belmont Early play split with pmac:

2- 1,4,6,8,9
3- 5
4- 5,6,7,8,9,10
5- 1,3,5,7

2- 1,6,8
3- 2,4,5
4- 5,10
5- 1,5

Good Luck!

Payson Dave 09-26-2009 12:38 PM

btw.. giving out the first 2 winners... nice calls

Kasept 09-26-2009 12:50 PM

CRC SCR'S (MAIN: Good; TURF: Off)


Race 7

#6 Regis,
#8 Sweetlandofliberty


Race 9

#5 Chary,
#6 Fire Water,
#7 Entertaining,
#8 Unbridled Prayer,
#11 Score Boyera,
#13 Proud Osceola

Payson Dave 09-26-2009 02:17 PM

I got taken down in the 5th for the pick three several times....ugggghh

pointman 09-26-2009 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Belmont Early play split with pmac:

2- 1,4,6,8,9
3- 5
4- 5,6,7,8,9,10
5- 1,3,5,7

2- 1,6,8
3- 2,4,5
4- 5,10
5- 1,5

Good Luck!

$347 :D

Payson Dave 09-26-2009 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
$347 :D

congrats.... I was hoping it was just incidental contact ... but I kinda knew the NYRA gods were not likely to see it my way

pointman 09-26-2009 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Payson Dave
congrats.... I was hoping it was just incidental contact ... but I kinda knew the NYRA gods were not likely to see it my way

Thanks, Dave! That was a tough one, but I think the stewards were right on this one, though I admit my obvious bias. While the contact itself was not huge, it was the repeated bearing in during the stretch that left them no choice but to take the 8 down. Sorry about the pk 3's, your opinion was better than mine there, that 8 ran real well for a Levine firster and the price was nice. Nice call on using that one.

RockHardTen1985 09-26-2009 02:50 PM

Late Pick 4...

1,3,8,9,12/1,3,6,8/2/1,2,4,9,10,11


$120 Total

pointman 09-26-2009 03:04 PM

Late pk4 play split with pmac:
$100
7- 1,8,9,12
8- 1,4,6,8,10
9- 3
10- 1,2,4,9,10

$72
7- 9,12
8- 1,2,6,10
9- 2,3,5
10- 4,9,10

$2 - $24
7- 9
8- 1,4,6
9- 2,3
10- 4,10

Good Luck!

RockHardTen1985 09-26-2009 03:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Late pk4 play split with pmac:
$100
7- 1,8,9,12
8- 1,4,6,8,10
9- 3
10- 1,2,4,9,10

$72
7- 9,12
8- 1,2,6,10
9- 2,3,5
10- 4,9,10

$2 - $24
7- 9
8- 1,4,6
9- 2,3
10- 4,10

Good Luck!

Our plays are similar, other then the Stakes.
One of us will do well...

pointman 09-26-2009 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Our plays are similar, other then the Stakes.
One of us will do well...

Personally I think Indian Blessing is done, but I still feel the need to cover her. Good Luck!

RockHardTen1985 09-26-2009 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Late Pick 4...

1,3,8,9,12/1,3,6,8/2/1,2,4,9,10,11


$120 Total


DIS****INGGUSTING

RockHardTen1985 09-26-2009 03:18 PM

Belmont, Late Pick 3...

5$

1,3,6/2/4,9,10

5$

1,3,6/2/1,2,4,9,10,11



Good F-ing Luck

RockHardTen1985 09-26-2009 03:52 PM

$445 to win on Indian Blessing

mclem0822 09-26-2009 04:20 PM

Indian Blessing!
 
Wow she is back, what a battle with Sara Louise great race!

ateamstupid 09-26-2009 04:24 PM

That horse drift out enough in the stretch? And nice job by Johnny to sneak her through that hole while Prado was moving four-wide to catch that Thunder's Dove dreck.

declansharbor 09-26-2009 07:47 PM

What an exciting stretch drive in the Gallant Bloom. The way Sara Louise came eyeball to eyeball with IB heading into the stretch, I thought for sure she was blowing right on by. GAME effort by Indian Blessing holding her off, esp. after that arguably early middle move. What a scintillating finish!


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