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-   -   SUN - AP late PK4 ($44k Carryover) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31771)

Bogey 09-13-2009 07:46 AM

SUN - AP late PK4 ($44k Carryover)
 
Tricky late PK4 sequence today that includes a $44k carryover thanks to $100 winner Mesmerite in the nightcap on Saturday's card. The two MSW juvenile races are filled with well meant runners from top barns. The grass races are no bargain either, but Saygoodnightgracie looks like a solid single in the finale.

Arlington Park

R7 - MSW 38k (2yo)

#4 American Lion
#7 Call Shot
#8 The A.T.M.
#3 Too Much Wine

R8 - IL Breds Alw 33.5k N2X (Turf)

#2 Holly At Law
#6 Link to My Heart
#3 Have Faith
#1 Pathway

R9 - MSW 38k (2yo)

#8 Dubai Victory
#3 Pegasus Prancer
#6 Toss and Turn
#1 Catalano Entry (Key Largo)

R10 - Starter Alw 10k (Turf)

#4 Saygoodnightgracie
#2 Light Sleeper
#8 Guanahani
#1 Liem's Luck

PK4 - 1 3 4 7 8 / 2 3 6 / 1 3 5 6 8 / 4 = $75

Good Racing Luck

GPK 09-13-2009 10:26 AM

Thanks for pointing out the carryover Gus. I may have to take a stab at this today. Good luck.

Bigsmc 09-13-2009 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Thanks for pointing out the carryover Gus. I may have to take a stab at this today. Good luck.

If I could go all/all/all/all I'd still miss it.

I can't hit the broad side of a barn at this place. Sadly, it used to be one of my favorite summer tracks to wager on. Then they changed surfaces....

GPK 09-13-2009 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
If I could go all/all/all/all I'd still miss it.

I can't hit the broad side of a barn at this place. Sadly, it used to be one of my favorite summer tracks to wager on. Then they changed surfaces....

It's not you or the surface switch Mike...I think a certain someone has just mushed the whole place for everybody. Not gonna mention any names though.

GPK 09-13-2009 12:32 PM

Races 7 & 9 make this a pretty tough sequence. I don't follow this track enough to feel comfortable making a big investment. Gonna throw a small ticket out there and see what happens.

1,7,8/1,8/3,4,8/4

Bogey 09-13-2009 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Races 7 & 9 make this a pretty tough sequence. I don't follow this track enough to feel comfortable making a big investment. Gonna throw a small ticket out there and see what happens.

1,7,8/1,8/3,4,8/4

Kev, Go ahead and finish this thing out. $950.60 for $2 to the #4 Saygoodnightgracie.

GPK 09-13-2009 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey
Kev, Go ahead and finish this thing out. $950.60 for $2 to the #4 Saygoodnightgracie.

Thanks Gus. All I can ask for is a chance. See what happens...

Bigsmc 09-13-2009 05:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Races 7 & 9 make this a pretty tough sequence. I don't follow this track enough to feel comfortable making a big investment. Gonna throw a small ticket out there and see what happens.

1,7,8/1,8/3,4,8/4


Tough one Bro.

GPK 09-13-2009 05:34 PM

Blah...brief thrill anyways. The 8-1 exacta in the 8th a few times helps ease the sting a little bit.

brianwspencer 09-15-2009 10:42 AM

Weird that it wound up paying so low.

Didn't dig into it too much, but prices like that around here tend to produce larger payoffs than today's...when there's not a free $44K sitting around in the pool.

Maybe it attracted more smart money because of the carryover, but it just seemed way on the low side.

GPK 09-15-2009 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Weird that it wound up paying so low.

Didn't dig into it too much, but prices like that around here tend to produce larger payoffs than today's...when there's not a free $44K sitting around in the pool.

Maybe it attracted more smart money because of the carryover, but it just seemed way on the low side.


Yeah, the $2 pick 4 paid around $4,460 and the $2 parlay was $4,440. Smart money in there no doubt.


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