Derby Trail Forums - 8/26: Saratoga (Day 25); Del Mar ($192k C/O)

Travers draw Wednesday marks start of final third of Spa season. Despite highly unwelcome interruption to meet for me last week, hope to regain the solid momentum that has sustained my play the first half of Saratoga. On top of Day 25 on Union Avenue, Del Mar offers nearly $200,000 to start its' penultimate week, with a $65k Super Hi-5 Carryover in their 9th as well...

Hope everyone did well while I was away.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Galan Fete 5-1
Most Likely: #6 Senor Fuego 6-5
Next Best: #4 Tar Beach 4-1
Super Add: #5 Web Gem 6-1

2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Ms. Thanksgiving 4-1
Best Value: #5 Morningsideheights 6-1
Next Best: #3 Jill's Kitten 3-1
Super Add: #1 Crystal Ocean 5-1

3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Grab bag event where someone getting a trip will make the difference..

Most Likely: #3 Cullinan 3-1
Best Value: #4 Ducduc 6-1
Next Best: #6 Home Field 4-1
Super Add: #5 Seattle Brew 8-1

4th: Pleasant Colony, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Guam Typhoon 2-1
Best Value: #1 Santana Six 4-1
Next Best: #4 Sumo 3-1

5th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Manhattan Miss 4-1
Best Value: #1 Royal Valentine 8-1
Next Best: #7 First Flute 3-1
Super Add: #8 Lyrical Bobcat 6-1

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 5-8
3: 1-3-4-5-6-7
4: 1-2
5: 1-7-10

2x6x2x3 = $72

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Nedjma 4-1
Best Value: #2 Fortheboysatthebar 12-1
Next Best: #1 Higher Incentive 5-1
Super Add: #4 Sax in the City 6-1

7th: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 The York On York 7-2
Next Best: #1 Condemned 3-1
Best Value: #10 Anwar Sadat 12-1
Super Add: #4 Wildcat Nation 6-1

8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Classical Fashion 10-1
Most Likely: #7 Sonic Sound 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Loquacious Lil 20-1

9th: 32nd Albany, NYB-3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fiddlers Afleet 2-1
Next Best: #3 Legal Consent 7-2
Super Add: #5 Slevin 4-1

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Best Value: #8 There I Go 6-1
Most Likely: #10 Code Name 3-1
Next Best: #9 Love for a Price 7-2
Super Add: #1a As Promised 8-1

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-7-10
8: 3-5-7
9: 3-4-5
10: 8-10

4x3x3x2 = $72

DEL MAR

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Steve's Afleet 3-1
Best Value: #4 Swingin Storm 6-1
Next Best: #1 SCR
Super Add: #9 Latego Light 7-2

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Rocket Kitty 7-2
Best Value: #6 Stanford Dolly 12-1
Next Best: #9 Mikey Bones 4-1
Super Add: #4 Raiding Party 6-1

6th: MDN CLM, Cal-bred 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 My Secret Weapon 6-1
Most Likely: #5 Victory Dash 7-2
Next Best: #9 Winning Valentine 8-1
Super Add: #13 Dislittleliteomine 15-1

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #12 Baroda Court 2-1
Best Value: #2 Thrillah 6-1
Next Best: #8 Legend of My Own 7-2
Super Add: #7 Buckatunna 6-1

8th: 17th Harry F. Brubaker (R), 3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Next Best: #4 Tiago 5-2
Best Value: #1a Skyrush 10-1
Exotics Use: #6 Tiz West 7-2

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

$65k Super High 5 carryover..

Most Likely: #9 Stayonit 5-2
Best Value: #8 Loyal Son 8-1
Next Best: #5 Megillah 7-2
Super Add: #14 Outside Shot 12-1
High 5 Play: #1 Fiery Rebel 8-1

$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-10
5: 3
6: 1-5
7: 2-12
8: 1-4-6
9: 5-8-9-14

2x1x2x2x3x4 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-9
7: 2-12
8: 1-4-6
9: 8-9-14

3x2x4x3 = $72

Good luck!
Steve