Derby Trail Forums - Saturday, Saratoga Race 8

I thought this was a intriguing race to discuss.

Discreetly Mine ran very well first time out, and the horse who beat him clearly has a ton of talent. Second time out he was cooked in a speed duel, and was outfinished by a 27-1 first time starter. Andy has talked about that Contessa horse a few times, and I guess the word was really out on him that day, he still went off at 27-1 and ran very well, but shouldn't Discreetly Mine outfinish him that day? Now he draws the rail and they take blinkers off "43% move, from a small sample showing on furmulator"
My question is, Is this horse a bet against our a pick 4 anchor, a easy single to start a ticket?
I would love to try to beat him, but this maiden group, to me appears weak. I dont see any logical alternatives. I guess the 4,5,6 could all be ok, but I dont have a strong feeling about any of them.