8/3: Saratoga (Day 6/Amsterdam)
 

Spa Sunday couldn't match Saturday's intensity as lousy weather dulled the crowd. Still struggling to find P4 paydirt, but isoltated exotic hits and/or OK P3's continue to justify the efforts. Opener's $67 tri and $93 1st-3rd P3 got the day going, but Parisella omission in the 5th quashed my early quad try. Schosberg-Fried runaway in the 6th got P3's going again though, and 6th-8th ($80) and 7th-9th ($70) returns felt overlaid given the relatively easy to find winners.

Was assured of a nice profit on the day in the Fourstardave as the tabs produced $172.75 triple and $819 super in a very exciting affair. For whatever reason, the 'Dave' has been a very productive spot for me personally, as a Dr. Kashnikow-Tubrok exacta 10+ years ago provided a similar bonanza, and there have been 1 or 2 other nice hits in this lawn tussle since then. Hope you did well!

Week One concludes Monday with a nice card that likely will lose some, or all, of its' grass events thanks to a driving downpour before Sunday's nightcap. Seth Merrow and I are doing 'Cal to the Post' this morning on Capital OTB-TV 12 this morning at 10:30. Stream available at http://www.capitalotb.com.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Gracious Victory 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sophisticated Lass 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #2 O'Sotopretty 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 No Rhyme or Reason 10-1 4th

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $18.10
$1 Trifecta (1-2-7) Paid $45.50
$1 Superfecta (1-2-7-5) Paid $414.50


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Most Happy Fella 2-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Elsaroarin 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Pletcher entry 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Wise Stop 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $75.50
$1 Trifecta (1-6-9) Paid $305


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Off the turf...

Most Likely: #8 SCR
Best Value: #6 Overlap 10-1 WON
Next Best: #2 King Kitten 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1a/1x Pletcher entry 7-2 2nd

$2 Exacta (6-1) Paid $43.25
$1 Pick 3 (1-1-6) 3 Correct Paid $257.00


4th: MSW, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Taking the stance that none of the ML favorites are particularly good in oddball race..

Best Value: #7 Lieutenant 12-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Whirling Thunder 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Chapin Beach 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 En Fuego 4-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Off the turf..

OFF THE TURF: 5/WON-9/2nd-10-4


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-7-9
3: 1-2-6
4: 1-2-3-6-7-8
5: 5

4x3x6x1 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (1-6-3-1/2/5/6/11) Paid $1,434


6th: Fleet Indian, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Dance Gal Dance 5-2 WON
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #7 Karakorum Fugitive 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Silvercup Baby 10-1 5th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Kristi With a K 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Pull Dancer 5-1 WON
Next Best: #12 La Mousse 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Esperanza d'Oro 12-1 10th


8th: 17th Amsterdam (Gr. II), 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Quality Road 6-5 WON
Next Best: #1 Everyday Heroes 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Capt. Candyman Can 7-2 2nd


9th: Tap the Admiral, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD, Super)

Scratch Mott's Tamborim who has been sold..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Vindication 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Together Indy 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Jack Spratt 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Golden Mexico 6-1 2nd

10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Lone Cypress 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Johnny's Surprise 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Comeback 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 True That 6-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Driven by Saarland 6-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-9
8: 1-4-6
9: 1-9
10: 1-2-4-8

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

the 3rd and the 5th are off the turf today.... by post time the maintrack should be fast

Can't get the link to "Call to the Post" to work. Do you know of another link to try?

I see they entered la mousse in the 7th, he was obviously keen to run when he arrived there at the help kiosk 5 weeks early. Also: RIP Papoose la Moose.......broke down @SR yesterday.

Nice pick on Overlap...Looking gd for a nice early P4 score.

I like the 6 in this 4th but I like how Steve covered a bunch. What a bizarro race and the board definitely reflects that.

Nicely done Steve! Wish I had jumped in with you.

Great job Steve! :tro:

Bingo
 

Steve, got a piece today congrats, having withdrawals glad ATRAB is on today!

Nicely done SB!!!!!!!!!!I would say a sweep of the pk4s is in order for today.

congrats steve came on late but picked up anice pick 3 thanks:)

Nice hit Steve!

Thanks for the early P4, Steve!!:$:

You are spot on today.
1st: Super
2nd: Tri
3rd: Exacta
5th: Early P4

Amazing performance so far!

Steve, very nice hit Pick 4.
Played your choices for the 4th-6th pick 3. Bet $24 won $90 giving me more to play with today. Thanks for your help.

Thanks Steve for the shoutout on the show concerning my silly moose comment, I happened to catch it when I was out making my afternoon bank run!!!!!!!!

Think you have a good chance at both Pick 4s today actually.

I'll go with A.P. Ridge here in the 9th

Read where Bad Boy Bubby had a nice bullet work.. putting a few bucks on him.

Amazing!!

Congrats on the tremendous day, Steve!! The Byk train just keeps on a rollin.

Thanks for all the hard work and the inputs, and way to go on your home course, the Spa!:$: :tro:

Thanks all! Was a very nice day and great way to close out the week. As I said on the OTB show with Seth Merrow Monday, you have to stay the course in this meet as the profit-generating hits will come. I was treading water all week with a few healthy scores that kept the confidence level up, and then a day like Monday puts you well ahead. If you recall, I did little right the first 2+ weeks of the meet last year before the $11k P4 and $4k in P3's.

Hope all did well... Take a breather today and back at it Wednesday with a beautiful weather sequence lying ahead.