8/1: Saratoga (Day 4/Diana/$125k C/O)
 

Dreadful and messy day took a lot of the starch out of the first twilight Friday card, but it wasn't a total disaster. Laying off the P4's after the turf decisions resulted in a profitable afternoon with a nice $65 exacta of a box of the 4 tabs in the 4th, and solid $230 tri with the top 3 choices in the 5th. Hope you did OK. Saturday double carryover of $125k and a beautiful day expected should provide for some fun...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Untopable 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Commodore Way 4-1 WON
Next Best: #7 SCR
Super Add: #10 Targe 6-1 4th


2nd: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Hoopoe 8-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Zimmer 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Grangerardo 4th
Super Add: #3 Cat in the Sky 20-1 6th


3rd: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 William Thomas 1-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Dixieland Star 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Brave Soul 15-1 6th
Super Add: #3 SCR


4th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Antitrust 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #8 Soda Jerk 4-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Eagle Strike 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Clean Shot 8-1 5th


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Steath Missle 7-2 7th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Unbridled's Heart 5-2 2nd/3rd
Best Value: #10 Luv Gov 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Blackberry Road 10-1 5th


<$75 P4 Plays:

2: 9
3: 10
4: 1-5-6-8-9-10
5: 1-5-7-8-10

Wide 1x1x6x5 = 30 x $2 = $60
Prime 1x1x1x2 (Bold) = 2 x $6 = $12


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Discreetly Mine 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Selfless 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1e Zayat entry 7-2 7th/10th
Exotics Use: #11 Hockley 8-1 2nd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 SCR
Most Likely: #8 Winchester 5-2 6th
Next Best: #12 Sette E Mezzo 5-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Picou 12-1 2nd


8th: Lake Luzerne-NYB, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Really well-matched bunch of Empire damsels.. Any of 7-8 possible. Your call, but don't shy from including prices...

Most Likely: #5 Love Cove 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Here Comes Rita 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Chestoria 7-2 WON
Super Add: #8 Sonic Sound 15-1 4th


9th: 71st Diana (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Forever Together 9-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Indescribable 20-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Rutherienne 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Carribean Sunset 6-1 2nd


10th: 46th Jim Dandy (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Charitable Man 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Warrior's Reward 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Saratoga Sinner 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Convocation 4-1 5th


11th: CLM./N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #10 White Holiday 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 Stevil 7-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Chinese Whisper 5-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Liscarroll 8-1 2nd


$200 P6 Play:

6: 1-2
7: 8
8: 2-5
9: 3-4-10
10: 4-5
11: 6-8-9-10

2x1x2x3x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-5
9: 3-4-10
10: 4-5
11: 1-6-7-8-9-10

2x3x2x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

According to the NYRA Turf Update Page, the 2nd if OFF.

Track labeled as Fast (D) and Good. (t)

http://www.nyra.com/#

No Kensai, with the way he is moving forward every race. I thought he would be a TG players dream?

Steve. I'm shocked that the turf is listed as Good. Can I assume in my handicapping today that there is NO way it will go to fast ? I loved 12-Pastel Gel in the 8th too bad she scratches.

V/J,

Bad look by me in that Dandy... I had no handle on how it would play out. Missing him and Retriever stopped me cold yesterday.