6/24- $155k Belmont C/O Contest/Discussion
 

$154,891 Carry to Belmont Wednesday..

Let's discuss the races leading up... Looks like a fun and challenging sequence...

Contest the usual $2,000 budget for fabulous DT prizes...


BELMONT PARK


4th (2:36)

6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($12,500) | Purse: $14,000

1 Karakormsweetheart Fuentes R D 118 $12,500 L
2 Buea Walnut Rodriguez R R 118 $12,500
3 Previous Pleasure Garcia Alan 123 $12,500 FTL
4 Driven Woman Rivera J L Jr 123 $12,500 L
5 Saint Midas Morales S 118 $12,500 L
6 Scholarly Pursuit Lopez P 118 $12,500 FTL
7 Esquivalience Chavez J F 123 $12,500 L
8 Dancetothetune Casey A J 116 $12,500 L



5th (3:08)

6 Furlongs (OFF THE TURF) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000) | Purse: $22,000

1 Sinister Deance Rodriguez R R 121 $25,000 L
2 Tutti Va Bene Dominguez R A 119 $25,000 L
3 Fiona Freud Velasquez C 121 $25,000 L
4 Ocala Jorge Chavez J F 121 $25,000 L
5 Justinline Samyn J L 121 $25,000 L
6 Bella Blu Lopez P 121 $25,000 L
7 Ed's Princess Morales S 121 $25,000 L
8 Dear Contender Fuentes R D 121 $25,000
9 No Rhyme Or Reason Maragh R 117 $25,000 L
10 Donna's Sandee Castellano J J 121 $25,000 L
MTO Green Harbor Luzzi M J 117 $25,000 L
MTO Kanwicat Casey A J 114 $25,000 L
MTO Quonata Luzzi M J 117 $25,000 L



6th (3:40)

1 1/8 Miles (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $42,000

2 Storm Hope Castellano J J 118 L
1 W. C. Jones Maragh R 123 L
3 J L Bernstein Lezcano J 118 L
4 Dontstealmyland Coa E M 118
5 Pernice Samyn J L 118 L
6 Mind Boggling Lopez P 118 L
7 John Wyatt Velazquez J R 118 L
1A Quiet On the Tee Dominguez R A 118 FTL
8 Cough Drop Velasquez C 123 L
9 Don't You Linger Espinoza J L 118
10 Cops Fever Luzzi M J 123 L
11 Playful Majesty Casey A J 111 L

A-Coupled: W. C. Jones and Quiet On the Tee



7th (4:12)

6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($10,000) | Purse: $19,000

1 Charming Mandate Rodriguez R R 120 $10,000 L
2 Decorated Court Velasquez C 120 $10,000 L
3 Sweet Nobility Castellano J J 120 $10,000 L
4 Smokin Sarah Maragh R 121 $10,000 L
5 Crazy Thing Espinoza J L 120 $10,000 L
6 Carolina Fuego Chavez J F 120 $10,000 L
7 Stephen's Rhythm's Lezcano J 120 $10,000 L
8 Pu Dew Luzzi M J 120 $10,000 L



8th (4:45)

7 Furlongs (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($50,000) | Purse: $45,000

2 Baroness Castellano J J 120 $50,000 L
3 Nedjma Maragh R 120 $50,000 L
4 Princess Maura Prado E S 119 L
5 Brockly Rob Lezcano J 116 L
6 Sweet Madness Garcia Alan 120 L
1 Offhand Remark Velazquez J R 120 L
7 Madam Commander Fuentes R D 120 $50,000 L
8 Speed Dating Coa E M 116 L
9 Mine Or Who's Dominguez R A 120 L
10 Silvercup Baby Velasquez C 120 $50,000 L
11 AE Acquired Cat Coa E M 123 $50,000 L
12 AE Crazy Catlady Prado E S 120 L
13 AE Mesa Girl Samyn J L 120 L
14 MTO Jovanna Velasquez C 120 L
15 MTO Summer Palace Castellano J J 120 $50,000 L
1A MTO Olde Glamour Luzzi M J 116 L

A-Coupled: Offhand Remark and Olde Glamour



9th (5:17)

6 Furlongs (Inner turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($25,000) | Purse: $19,000

1 Sarah's Sally Velasquez C 123 $25,000 L
2 Quantifier Luzzi M J 123 $25,000 L
3 Carmen's Kiss Castellano J J 119 $25,000 L
4 Miss Saul Prado E S 123 $25,000 FTL
5 Cat Grace Chavez J F 119 $25,000 L
6 Flashy and Fast Morales S 119 $25,000 L
7 Rnbs Blackwateroll Dominguez R A 119 $25,000 L
8 Cottage Industry Espinoza J L 119 $25,000 Blk-On L
9 World Express Lezcano J 119 $25,000 L
10 Crafty Gem Samyn J L 123 $25,000 L
11 Jackpot Julie Lopez P 119 $25,000 L
MTO Super Child Dominguez R A 119 $25,000 L

Ticket 1
R1: 1 5 6
R2: 10 13
R3: 2 5 6 8
R4: 4 5
R5: 1 3 8
R6: 1 7
Cost: $576.00
Ticket 2
R1: 1 5 6
R2: 10 13
R3: 1 11
R4: 4 5
R5: 1 3 8
R6: 1 7
Cost: $288.00
Ticket 3
R1: 1 5 6
R2: 10 13
R3: 2 5 6 8
R4: 4 5
R5: 7 12 13
R6: 1 7
Cost: $576.00
Ticket 4
R1: 1 5 6
R2: 10 13
R3: 2 5 6 8
R4: 4 5
R5: 1 3 8
R6: 10
Cost: $288.00
Total Cost of Spread Tickets: $1,728.00

4th race: 7 - most likely as chavez/gullo on fire...6 - 1ster works out as fast as the others have run...

5th race: 2 - sciacca's italian charge should win here, ramon a plus...3 - fiona fraud, how many chances?
EDIT:OFF THE TURF - 13 beat nobody but did it easily...130k purchase probably outclasses these as well...plus he's a byk single and he's on fire right now...

6th race: 1POE - if not for the tagg next door would be the lock of the day...2 - tagg next door only one that can beat the favorite
EDIT: Race got a whole lot more difficult (or saved me from peril according to Andy) with the scratch of WC Jones...add Dutrow's colt as a replacement...looks best of those with a recent race under his belt...

7th race: 4 of them can win (4,5,6,7), 4 of them can't (the others)...don't really care for the 7 all that much and like the 6 the best of the remaining 3

8th race: 6 - surprise package at 15-1...throw out last (ugly incident) and her times from last year are the fastest even though her figs aren't

9th race: in order of preference...9,3,1,7...9 cuts back and drops, winner...3 - weaver due...1 and 7 logical out of same race...

6-7/13/1-2/4-5-6/6/1-3-7-9

EDIT: PK6 after scratches 6-7/13/2-4/4-5-6/6/1-3-7

The frauds are the connections, who always seem to put Fiona in a situation where she has to do all the running. Look at her races, she's always in the mix -- at the wrong time, given the setups -- running her heart out. I suppose, sooner or later, she just might get a patient trip.

Save perhaps the 8th race, please don't bet tomorrow.

Paging Captain Caveman...
 

R4: 1,5,7
R5: 2
R6: 1,2,3,4,7
R7: 4,5,7,8
R8: 3,4,6,8
R9: 1,2,7,12

$1,920

I am taking stand in Race 5 by singling #2 Tutti Va Bene. Single allows me to go deeper in Races 6-9. I had stronger opinion about my "B" horses and abandoned "C" horses in favor of caveman ticket approach throughout sequence.

Limited time makes this do-or-die, stay-on-the-turf ticket. Good luck to all... I will get results after work tomorrow evening.

You think she really wants 7F?

The chances they will be running turf races on both courses tomorrow would be?

You are right. Horse has received some bad rides/early moves certainly in her last 3. But I do wonder how can the same horse be ridden so poorly by so many different jocks? Hard to bet her to win. Especially at 2/1! And Corny showed in the last race that he didn't learn much from his mount on her in early May. I like the Sciacca horse on the drop if they stay on the turf but the 8, Dear Contender, is interesting at 10/1. If it comes off, Donna's Sandee, Green Harbor and Quonata look interesting. When am I ever gonna be able to handicap a NY race without so many considerations for the weather!?!?!

lol, do they have a turf course at Belmont? Had more moisture over-night. But I'll be checking.

Probably not, but she's a big price, and obviously her last was better than it looks. I would use her defensively.

The 5th is off the turf......good news for everyone that seems so enamored with Sciacca's horse.

belmont
 

#1

5 6 7
13
1 7 10 11
4 5 6 7
1 3 4 6 8 9 10 11 12
7 10 ..............................$1728

#2

5 6
11
1 7 10
5 6
1 3 4 6 8 9 10 11 12
7...................................$216

#3

5 6
11
11
5 6
6 8
7 10...............................$32....total$1976

Mask And Wig may be a horse worth taking on today in the first, perfect trip last time, will be overbet...

I just watched the race from 5/20/09 with WC Jones and Mind Boggling. Mind Boggling looked like he had a good rail trip but was a little hesitant to go inside a horse in the stretch and ran on well when he got free. WC Jones ha a good trip but was wide and was passed by a horse to his inside. Mind Boggling will be a better price today WC has more upside but if you like 1 I think you have to play both. Didn't anyone see that race differently? Cough Drop looked like he deserves another chance.

Personally, and maybe he will be bailed out by the other half of the entry, I don't see how anyone could take a short price on WC Jones. I thought he was absolutely brutal last time.

Eltish Star could be worth a shot at a price

i thought maragh's ride was pretty poor last time and off of an 11 month layoff the effort was pretty good. in his race before the layoff he ran his last 5/16ths in 28.4...a repeat of that effort is good for the win here, no?

EDIT:NEVERMIND he is scratched

Bad opinions bailed out again!

Was going to single Super Child in finale if it was Off Turf. May stick to pk4 with real $$

Contest tix:

R4 - 5,6,7
R5 - 10,13
R6 - 5,7
R7 - 4,5,7,8
R8 - 3,8,10,13
R9 - 1,3,7,10
$1,536

R4 - 5,6,7
R5* - 4
R6 - 5,7
R7 - 4,5,7,8
R8 - 8,13
R9 - 1,3,7,10
$384

GL!

I'm perplexed by The Sidney Dutrow horse, will he run a better race 2nd off the layoff...or was his last race a true indication of his ability... it looks like Day Dee will get early pressure from Blue Bullet.