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-   -   6/17: Belmont (1st-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=30282)

Kasept 06-17-2009 05:42 AM

6/17: Belmont (1st-9th)
 
A very difficult card of races at Belmont to open the week. With a lousy weather forecast looming through Sunday, it may be the most complete day of racing on the East Coast for a while.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 The Truffle Man 9-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Benlayla 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Ziptronic 4-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Late SCR
Best Value: #5 Keep It a Secret 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Annie's Dream 2-1 3rd


3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Todd Got Even 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Elixir 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Taum Sauk 10-1 5th


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Truly Devine WON
Next Best: #6 Rock Candy Mt. 3rd


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Lemon Shore 4-1 WON (P4 pays $242.70)
Best Value: #4 Thunder Minister 12-1 2nd (P4 pay $723.05)
Next Best: #10 Snowstalker 6-1 (P4 pays $463.40)
Super Add: #9 Prime Obsession 15-1


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-5
3: 3-4
4: 1-6
5: 4-8-10

4x2x1x3 = $48 P4 (5-3-1-4) pays $242.70


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Pick Six 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jacobson entry 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Justenuffhumor 2-1 WON


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Good Prospect 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Movie Magic 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 D'Wildcard 4-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Excellent Soldier 15-1 8th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Super tough bunch featuring several with back class..

Most Likely: #5 New Member 7-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Executive Fleet 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Laysh Laysh Laysh 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Digger 12-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Chick in Slacks 5-1 2nd (DQ'd)
Best Value: #3 American Prayer 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Pea Stone 5-1 WON (on DQ)
Super Add: #8 Nurse Kiki 6-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5
7: 7-9-11
8: 1-4-5-9
9: 3-7

3x3x4x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 06-17-2009 10:42 AM

BELMONT SCRATCHES


Weather: MOSTLY CLOUDY 63
Track: FAST
Turf: YIELDING

Turf Races: 5, 6, 7, 9 et at 0 Ft *** RACE # 4 OFF TURF ***

SCRATCHES

4TH

1A As Promised Early OFF TURF / NO SHOW or TRIFECTA
2 Miss Saul Early
3 In Spite Of Early
5 Twointheroom Early
8 Shesa Bud Girl Early


5TH

1 Egyptian King Early
1A Spicy Vow Early
2B Boyfriendontheside Early
13 Wonderous Day Early
14 Pop Panebianco Early


6TH

2 Rogue Victory Early
7 Lord Snowdon Early


7TH

8 Woodruff Ridge Early


8TH

6 Gimmearoutine Early NO SUPERFECTA
7 Bill Place Early


9TH

11 Precision Farming Early
13 No Means Yes Early
14 I'm Not Crying Early
15 Crafty Gem Early
16 Purses and Shoes Early

knickslions2 06-17-2009 12:33 PM

Race 2

$2 tri box Lost $12
1,2,4

knickslions2 06-17-2009 12:38 PM

Race 3

$2 tri boxWINNER paid $148 net $136


1,3,4

knickslions2 06-17-2009 01:25 PM

Race 4

Sticking with $12 bet/race (lost $12)

$12 exacta

6,1

pointman 06-17-2009 01:48 PM

I am at work today and cannot watch Belmont, can anyone venture an opinion as to whether the main track is favoring speed today?

Kasept 06-17-2009 01:51 PM

Kicking myself for being so unsure about the Contessa winner that I wasted a multiple in that third leg... Coverage of three more here in the anchor would have been really sweet given the bonus will-pays out there.

G/L to those who played along!

Kasept 06-17-2009 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
I am at work today and cannot watch Belmont, can anyone venture an opinion as to whether the main track is favoring speed today?

Appears to be helping them along, but certainly the winners completely figured...

knickslions2 06-17-2009 01:57 PM

Race 5

$2 tri box (lost $12)

7,8,10

Best of luck in this race Steve. It's a tough one.

atolunch 06-17-2009 02:02 PM

I'm riding with you Steve.

Cashed the early P3, races 1-3 using top 3 picks, $81 for a $27 wager

This 5th race is crazy. Can't figure why 20-1ML shots are 8-1, and 4-1 ML shots are 8-1. Should be some nice exotics this race!

Played a .10 Super here as well, 4,7,8,9,10

Thanks again, and BOL with this one and the rest of the Afternoon!

Gander 06-17-2009 02:07 PM

Most Likely: #3 That's How I Roll 8-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Keep It a Secret 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Annie's Dream 2-1 3rd


Steve:

The Mcglaughlin charge was scratched at the gate, she did not run 5th as you indicated above. You scratched into the $11 winner!

dagolfer33 06-17-2009 02:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Kicking myself for being so unsure about the Contessa winner that I wasted a multiple in that third leg... Coverage of three more here in the anchor would have been really sweet given the bonus will-pays out there.

G/L to those who played along!

I'm on board.

herkhorse 06-17-2009 02:16 PM

Steve Slyk :tro:

pointman 06-17-2009 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Appears to be helping them along, but certainly the winners completely figured...

Thanks, Steve! Nice job on the early! :$:

Kasept 06-17-2009 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Most Likely: #3 That's How I Roll 8-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Keep It a Secret 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Annie's Dream 2-1 3rd


Steve:

The Mcglaughlin charge was scratched at the gate, she did not run 5th as you indicated above. You scratched into the $11 winner!

Tim,

Thanks... I was at the market and figured 5th when I checked results on Xpressbet and the other 4 were 1-2-3-4!

knickslions2 06-17-2009 02:21 PM

Nice job on Pick 4!!:$:

knickslions2 06-17-2009 02:25 PM

Race 6

$2 tri box (winner 13.80, Bet $12 net$1.80

1,3,5

(staying with contest pick)

dagolfer33 06-17-2009 02:29 PM

Thanks again Steve. Win or lose I always appreciate your insight.

Kasept 06-17-2009 02:49 PM

Thx all... Glad it's going good for everybody. Nice triple Knickslions in that 3rd! About to go on the air so we'll be playing the 7rth-9th plus Nicanor's race at Delaware... G/L the rest of the way!!

knickslions2 06-17-2009 03:10 PM

Race 7

$2 tri box

2,6,11


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