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-   -   4/15: Keeneland (6th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29029)

Kasept 04-15-2009 07:04 AM

4/15: Keeneland (6th-9th)
 
Wrapped weekend action on a plus with $64 P4 returning a solid $300, and the $971 Super High 5 available for the taking with emboldened 'best bet' Renegade Storm on top. Hope you did well. Keeneland back with predictably quirky quad Wednesday, and after being stymied for 'real money' on the anchor leg at Keeneland Friday and Saturday, I figure we have to get a juicy one somewhere along the way. And obviously, could there be a better day for a 'signer' than April 15?


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N2X, 3yo, 1m-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 No Inflation 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Rudy Flyer 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Rockin' Joe 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #1 Bad Jenna Lee 20-1 WON

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $94.60
$1 Trifecta (1-4-3) Paid $432.10
$1 Superfecta (1-4-3-5) Paid $795.40



7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Baryshnikov 7-2: Turns back from 9f; Mott hot.. 5th
Best Value: #2 Prince Teton 5-1: Romans' W. Pointer faced toughies.. 6th
Next Best: #1 D'oro Diablo 3-1: Kenneally MdO was solid in debut.. 3rd
Super Add: #7 Little Montie 12-1: First "L" in start #5; Cuts back.. 9th


8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Sly Storm 5-2: 5 of 7 $500k Proctor bay should fire fresh.. 5th
Best Value: #2 Adrhythm 12-1: A personal fave but dangerous on best.. 3rd
Next Best: #6 Peisinoe 3-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Sky Mom 7-2 6th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Meandyoubabe 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 SCR
Best Value: #11 Two Grand 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Bevy 5-1 9th
High 5 Play: #9 Cinderella's Wish 8-1 WON


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-4-5
7: 1-2-3-7-8
8: 2-4-5-6
9: 7

5x5x4x1 = 100 x .50 = $50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 04-15-2009 10:40 AM

KEE Scratches & Changes

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

1 1st Race
#7--Thundering Jill--SCRATCH

2nd Race
NO CHANGES

3rd Race
#2--Altar Rail--SCRATCH

4th Race
NO CHANGES

5th Race
NO CHANGES

6th Race
NO CHANGES

7th Race
#6--Storm Ranger--SCRATCH

8th Race
#2--Adhrhythm--(LA) Lasix Adjunct

9th Race
As of 11:35 a.m.:
#10--Porto d'Oro--Jockey change to Aldo Canchano

Previously announced:
#1--Earstoyou--SCRATCH
#3--Radio Fox--Will run without hind shoes

jms62 04-15-2009 12:04 PM

Putting some General Quarters money to work in the late P4..

1,4,5/1,2,3,7/4,6/5,6,7,8,9 * .50 = 60.00
4,5/1/4,6/5,6,7,8,9 * 1 = 20
4,5/8/4,6/7,8 * 1 = 8
4,5/1/5,7/7,8 * 1 = 8
4,5/1/4,6/3,7 * 1 = 8

viscount26 04-15-2009 12:23 PM

I figured it was time to post a pick 4 :rolleyes:

2,4,5/1,4,8/2,6,7/5,7,9

g/l

smuthg 04-15-2009 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
6th: ALW/N2X, 3yo, 1m-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 No Inflation 9-5
Best Value: #3 Rudy Flyer 7-2
Next Best: #5 Rockin' Joe 8-5
Super Add: #1 Bad Jenna Lee 20-1

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-4-5
7: 1-2-3-7-8
8: 2-4-5-6
9: 7

5x5x4x1 = 100 x .50 = $50


Good luck!
Steve

Way to start that Pick 4!!!

hoovesupsideyourhead 04-15-2009 02:44 PM

nice start stevo..

Kasept 04-15-2009 02:47 PM

Thx boyz..... That winner figured to be OK making the move to grass. That's why I thought he needed to be included.

philcski 04-15-2009 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Thx boyz..... That winner figured to be OK making the move to grass. That's why I thought he needed to be included.

Steve- you see my post on the Betfair odds? They were backing her at 9-1, the even money favorite on the tote was 2.9-1 on there (and as they expected, didn't run a lick). These guys are RIDICULOUSLY sharp. We absolutely need a Betfair type system in the USA. It is the Holy Grail, forget slot machines as the savior of this sport.

jms62 04-15-2009 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Steve- you see my post on the Betfair odds? They were backing her at 9-1, the even money favorite on the tote was 2.9-1 on there (and as they expected, didn't run a lick). These guys are RIDICULOUSLY sharp. We absolutely need a Betfair type system in the USA. It is the Holy Grail, forget slot machines as the savior of this sport.

Yes just what we need bet against horses.. Check out the P3 Will-Pays... Sick

skippy3481 04-15-2009 02:57 PM

1 down three to go i tossed the 7 in here so 1-2-3-8 will work nicely

jms62 04-15-2009 03:02 PM

I don't have the 8 here so I'll put 20 on him with a 8/1,2,3,7 exacta....

philcski 04-15-2009 03:04 PM

8 & 9 are getting a lot of support on Betfair...

skippy3481 04-15-2009 03:06 PM

alright well root for the 1-2-3 then. The 9 is taking more play here than i thought. Horse looked unremarkable in his first start

jms62 04-15-2009 03:07 PM

Won't be the first time I overlooked Zito and he crushed my hopes.

jms62 04-15-2009 03:09 PM

**** SHOOT Me!!!

Bobby Fischer 04-15-2009 03:16 PM

tough one.


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