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jpops757 04-04-2009 09:13 PM

derby shortest odds
 
with so many confirming there running ability, I dont think any horse will be less than3/1 entering the gate and as mny as 7 or 8 8/1 or less.

blackthroatedwind 04-04-2009 09:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jpops757
with so many confirming there running ability, I dont think any horse will be less than3/1 entering the gate and as mny as 7 or 8 8/1 or less.


Leaving the other 12 at about 200:1 each?

GBBob 04-04-2009 09:21 PM

Big Brown will be 8-5

tjfla 04-04-2009 10:41 PM

I will say this Derby alot of horses are easy tosses.

I Want Revenge and PONL looking like 4/1 or so

jwkniska 04-04-2009 11:29 PM

3-1 on POTN
Revenge right behind at 7-2

Thunder Gulch 04-05-2009 08:29 AM

IWR, POTN, and Quality Road in that 4-1 to 6-1 range. Everyone else probably looking at 10-1 and up.

Dunbar 04-05-2009 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jwkniska
3-1 on POTN
Revenge right behind at 7-2

I would make a humongous bet right now that Revenge will go off at lower odds than POTN. I wish I could find that prop somewhere.

--Dunbar

blackthroatedwind 04-05-2009 10:05 AM

I wish I could book a serious amount of money on Pioneer of the Nile at 3:1.

He's probably a great book at the 7 or 8 to one he will be.

ArlJim78 04-05-2009 10:10 AM

you beat me to it, my guess is 8:1 for Pioneer of the Nile in the derby.

Dunbar 04-05-2009 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Leaving the other 12 at about 200:1 each?

That's true if you had 4 horses at 8-1, 2 horses at 6-1 and 2 horses at 4-1.

But you could have 8 horses at 8-1, and all the rest would only have to be around 38-1 each.

If there is one horse at 7-2, one horse at 5-1, and 6 horses at 8-1, the other 12 would have to be about 88-1.

--Dunbar

zippyneedsawin 04-05-2009 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunbar
I would make a humongous bet right now that Revenge will go off at lower odds than POTN. I wish I could find that prop somewhere.

--Dunbar


I had the same reaction. I can't see POTN being lower odds than IWR. I'd be surprised if any horse is at 3-1 or less. Friesian Fire, Quality Road, IWR & POTN will all get decent support.

freddymo 04-05-2009 03:51 PM

I certainly will be betting I Want Revenge at 4 to 1 or bettor.. Not sure anything is within 5 lengths of him currently.. The issue is which dopey horse will DrugS have fill out the exacta with.. Last years filly was mighty juicey..

Thunder Gulch 04-05-2009 05:11 PM

Who knows what changes in the next 4 weeks, but in the future wager right now IWR is 9-2, QR 5-1, and POTN 11-1.

hockey2315 04-05-2009 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jwkniska
3-1 on POTN
Revenge right behind at 7-2

Whaaaat? I'd probably book POTN at like 15-1 if I could.

jpops757 04-06-2009 07:17 AM

After Old Fashion wins th Ak derby he will be in the 5/1 8/1 range.


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