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-   -   3/13: Santa Anita ($81k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=28389)

Kasept 03-13-2009 06:59 AM

3/13: Santa Anita ($81k C/O)
 
Santa Anita ended up with an $80k+ carryover Thursday, and having been interested in the Lae P4 thre anyway, it isn't a chore to expand the play to the "6"... Straightforward lookig sequence, but it can't be as simple as it looks.. Can it?

Huge Saturday looms with Fair Grounds Louisiana Derby Day and Tampa Bay's Derby Day cards standing out. Magna 5 carries $219k forward and the Aqueduct P4 has become 'must play' action as well. Add in the Rebel and San Felipe and whatever ese captures your interest, and it's another feast for the wagering public!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Natural Touch 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Devive 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Raise the Heat 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Esporte Dos Reis 5-1 3rd


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Best Value: #7 Threat 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Remember Seattle 9-2 WON
Super Add: #6 Sam's Queen 8-1 3rd


5th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Meteore 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Great Home 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Big Shot Syd 8-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Egypt 8-1 2nd


6th: OC/N2x, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Aggie Engineer 2-1
Best Value: #5 Pocosin's Game Boy 10-1
Next Best: #3 All Man 7-2
Super Add: #1 Screen to Screen 12-1


7th: 1st Moscow Burning, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD)

Very tricky group of 7 with Frankel-Juddmonte potentially 'just better'...

Most Likely: #7 Modern Look 7-5
Best Value: #3 Ainamaa 8-1
Next Best: #1 Ransom Captive 15-1


8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #9 Stray Cat 5-2
Next Best: #7 Big Wave Rider 3-1
Best Value: #1 Degreko 12-1
Exotics Use: #12 Sur Brio 12-1
Hi-5 Play: #4 Winterscore 6-1


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 1-2-3-5
4: 7-9
5: 1-2
6: 5-6
7: 7
8: 1-7-9

4x2x2x2x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$25 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-4-6
6: 5-6
7: 7
8: 1-7-9

4x2x1x3 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 03-13-2009 01:35 PM

SA SCR'S:

Race 1 #1 Sweet Thoughts

Race 4 #1 Kafe

Race 5 #10 Millennium Lakes, #11 Ego, #12 Our Man Luke, #13 Pemba At U. T. K.

SCUDSBROTHER 03-13-2009 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
SA SCR'S:

Race 1 #1 Sweet Thoughts

Race 4 #1 Kafe

Race 5 #10 Millennium Lakes, #11 Ego, #12 Our Man Luke, #13 Pemba At U. T. K.

Suspicious scratch(in effort to Saturday carryover?) of what would of been a common single in the 4th(for many.) I think it probably was gunna run 2nd or 3rd anyways. Track was a joke that day, and was playing the opposite way yesterday(also the 1 hole was gunna make her go wide, and probably run 2nd.) Trainer has been running them in bully spots all meet. So, you would think they would of made the hen pay(by claiming this filly 1st out.)

SCUDSBROTHER 03-13-2009 04:42 PM

LOL..Tyler lost yet another bob(when appearing to be on the better horse on the day.) 2 races in a row which Spawr probably had the better horse, but got 2nd money.

the_fat_man 03-13-2009 05:28 PM

Pocosin's Game Boy is loose in the 6th. Hope Rosario realizes this and doesn't get too cute. 12:1 makes him worth a bet.

SCUDSBROTHER 03-13-2009 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Pocosin's Game Boy is loose in the 6th. Hope Rosario realizes this and doesn't get too cute. 12:1 makes him worth a bet.

Track seems to be waiting for him (if he gets the exact right trip.) Like the 3, and 6 better, but they aren't paying. So, good luck with Gameboy.

SCUDSBROTHER 03-13-2009 05:43 PM

LOL...Damn Pig farmer riding for his life trying to get that Davos up (to blow up the world.) Despise that lil witch.

the_fat_man 03-13-2009 05:45 PM

This is why Stauffer has ZERO credibility. His boy has the CLEAR SPEED in the race. He chokes the horse out early and continues to choke him to 2nd last on the BS. Then he launches that patented 10 wide entering stretch run of his. DUH, the horse knows ONE way to run --- on the lead.

And to show how STUPID both of them are: Six Pack Abs, who is SLOWER EARLY than PGB, wires the field; having everything his own way early.

SCUDSBROTHER 03-13-2009 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
This is why Stauffer has ZERO credibility. His boy has the CLEAR SPEED in the race. He chokes the horse out early and continues to choke him to 2nd last on the BS. Then he launches that patented 10 wide entering stretch run of his. DUH, the horse knows ONE way to run --- on the lead.

And to show how STUPID both of them are: Six Pack Abs, who is SLOWER EARLY than PGB, wires the field; having everything his own way early.

I thought they'd lay PGB just off da pace. Didn't expect him to be that far off, or to go for the front(he is pretty versatile though.) Doesn't seem to stick around when he goes to the front.

DJARUM 03-13-2009 05:57 PM

Zardana

the_fat_man 03-13-2009 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
I thought they'd lay PGB just off da pace. Didn't expect him to be that far off, or to go for the front(he is pretty versatile though.) Doesn't seem to stick around when he goes to the front.

Since SPA wired and PGB is faster, guess someone ****ed up. I'm sure that O'neill told Rosario to WRANGLE the horse back to 2nd last at all cost.:rolleyes:

SCUDSBROTHER 03-13-2009 06:12 PM

I am not gunna be shocked if Kayla wins the last. I'll be surprised, but not shocked. He's fresh, and maybe 3rd time gets the pig charm. She probably knows practically every hair on his butt. I could see them going a little too fast in that race, and maybe she can pick them off late. Not like we haven't seen Midda Chew come with a bomb.

Kasept 03-13-2009 06:14 PM

Carryover... This is unbelievable.

AQU C/O & P4.. Magna 5.. FG.. TBD.. SA Dbl C/O..

Insanity...

the_fat_man 03-13-2009 06:29 PM

Don't like the blinkers on but Winterscore deserves another chance.

SCUDSBROTHER 03-13-2009 06:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Don't like the blinkers on but Winterscore deserves another chance.

Wonder who will be alive longer(that horse, or the trainer.)

smuthg 03-13-2009 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Carryover... This is unbelievable.

AQU C/O & P4.. Magna 5.. FG.. TBD.. SA Dbl C/O..

Insanity...


SWEET!!!


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