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-   -   3/8: Gulfstream ($117k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=28287)

Kasept 03-08-2009 09:42 AM

3/8: Gulfstream ($117k C/O)
 
Could not close a quality deal Saturday taking frustrating last leg beats in the Gulfstream and Santa Anita P4's. Meanwhile, the Magna 5 proved as difficult as advertised, producing the first carryover of the season on the popular play. It was an afternoon where I personally wagered better than I handicapped, as spot success kept my day afloat. But overall, it was a day that left me wholly dissatisfied with my handicapping, and I hope I didn't send you down too many wrong paths...

$117k carryover and good card at Gulfstream easily the most approachable action on this Sunday.


GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo-F, 7.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Gatorette 5-2
Best Value: #4 Passion Du Coeur 4-1
Next Best: #3 Stage Trick 3-1
Super Add: #5 Golden Mystery 4-1


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Princess Westly 10-1
Most Likely: #3 Yippety Yip 6-1
Next Best: #10 Milicat 4-1
Super Add: #9 Tiger With a T 7-2


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 June Day 4-1
Best Value: #3 Honey Snippets 8-1
Next Best: #10 Amanwella 7-2
Super Add: #7 Listen Later 20-1


8th: ALW/N$Y, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Wide open affair with several here as fast or faster than ML faves #1 Quiet Meadow (3-1) and #11 Kristi With a K (4-1).. And of course the 11 has added burden of tough post..

Most Likely: #6 Sweet Tune 6-1
Best Value: #10 Morgan's Run 15-1
Next Best: #12 Witty Woman 6-1
Super Add: #4 Snicklebritches 15-1


9th: 1st Ocala, F&M-4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Annabill 4-1
Best Value: #1 You Asked 8-1
Next Best: #4 Victorina 3-1
Super Add: #7 Fearless Leader 12-1


10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Starship Angel 3-1
Best Value: #8 Perfect for You 15-1
Next Best: #9 Magical Affair 6-1
Super Add: #1 Cape Karoo 20-1


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 2
6: 2-3-4-8-9-10
7: 2
8: 4-6-10-12
9: 1-4-5
10: 6

1x6x1x4x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2
8: 1-2-4-6-10-11-12
9: 1-4-5
10: 1-6-8-9

1x7x3x4 = 84 x .50 = $42


Good luck!
Steve

CSC 03-08-2009 10:23 AM

Steve, I noticed you left "Fetch You Back" off of your picks. Is there any reason why you did? This would normally be a blue chip rider/trainer play.

Kasept 03-08-2009 10:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
Steve, I noticed you left "Fetch You Back" off of your picks. Is there any reason why you did? This would normally be a blue chip rider/trainer play.

Could jump up first start.. Works are OK. Maria's Mon not a great debut sire. Trainer/rider are joined at the hip, so that doesn't add any special appeal. I like the ones that have raced already more, with the Pletcher runner having run VERY big in debut and, to me, an especially likely winner here.

CSC 03-08-2009 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Could jump up first start.. Works are OK. Maria's Mon not a great debut sire. Trainer/rider are joined at the hip, so that doesn't add any special appeal. I like the ones that have raced already more, with the Pletcher runner having run VERY big in debut and, to me, an especially likely winner here.

Thanks that's very helpful.

thunderdan09 03-08-2009 12:16 PM

GP Pick 6
 
$2 Pick 6


5: 2,4,5
6: 3,4,5,8,9
7: 2,10
8: 1,2,11
9: 1,3,5,8,10
10: 6

$900 Ticket


$0.50 Pick 4

7: 2,3,10,12
8: 1,2,11
9: 1,3,4,5,6,8,10
10: 6

$42 Ticket

$0.50 Pick 4

7: 2,10
8: 1,2,11
9: 1,3,8
10: 2,3,5,6,9,11

$54 Ticket

BEST BET OF THE DAY:

Race 8: #2 - Icon Project (6-1) Trujillo/Wolfson

Race is 1 1/8 mile in the turf. I think being near the rail will be very beneficial for this horse and the expected running style. I found the card to be relatively tough across the board and I expect a lot of prices throughout the day. Good luck to everyone playing today.

Scav 03-08-2009 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
$2 Pick 6


5: 2,4,5
6: 3,4,5,8,9
7: 2,10
8: 1,2,11
9: 1,3,5,8,10
10: 6

$900 Ticket


$0.50 Pick 4

7: 2,3,10,12
8: 1,2,11
9: 1,3,4,5,6,8,10
10: 6

$42 Ticket

$0.50 Pick 4

7: 2,10
8: 1,2,11
9: 1,3,8
10: 2,3,5,6,9,11

$54 Ticket

BEST BET OF THE DAY:

Race 8: #2 - Icon Project (6-1) Trujillo/Wolfson

Race is 1 1/8 mile in the turf. I think being near the rail will be very beneficial for this horse and the expected running style. I found the card to be relatively tough across the board and I expect a lot of prices throughout the day. Good luck to everyone playing today.

:rolleyes:
Scratched

Coach Pants 03-08-2009 03:18 PM

June Day...

an appropriate name for a money burner. Heart the size of a pea in that one.

jms62 03-08-2009 03:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Could not close a quality deal Saturday taking frustrating last leg beats in the Gulfstream and Santa Anita P4's. Meanwhile, the Magna 5 proved as difficult as advertised, producing the first carryover of the season on the popular play. It was an afternoon where I personally wagered better than I handicapped, as spot success kept my day afloat. But overall, it was a day that left me wholly dissatisfied with my handicapping, and I hope I didn't send you down too many wrong paths...

$117k carryover and good card at Gulfstream easily the most approachable action on this Sunday.


GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo-F, 7.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Gatorette 5-2
Best Value: #4 Passion Du Coeur 4-1
Next Best: #3 Stage Trick 3-1
Super Add: #5 Golden Mystery 4-1


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Princess Westly 10-1
Most Likely: #3 Yippety Yip 6-1
Next Best: #10 Milicat 4-1
Super Add: #9 Tiger With a T 7-2


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 June Day 4-1
Best Value: #3 Honey Snippets 8-1
Next Best: #10 Amanwella 7-2
Super Add: #7 Listen Later 20-1


8th: ALW/N$Y, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Wide open affair with several here as fast or faster than ML faves #1 Quiet Meadow (3-1) and #11 Kristi With a K (4-1).. And of course the 11 has added burden of tough post..

Most Likely: #6 Sweet Tune 6-1
Best Value: #10 Morgan's Run 15-1
Next Best: #12 Witty Woman 6-1
Super Add: #4 Snicklebritches 15-1


9th: 1st Ocala, F&M-4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Annabill 4-1
Best Value: #1 You Asked 8-1
Next Best: #4 Victorina 3-1
Super Add: #7 Fearless Leader 12-1


10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Starship Angel 3-1
Best Value: #8 Perfect for You 15-1
Next Best: #9 Magical Affair 6-1
Super Add: #1 Cape Karoo 20-1


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 2
6: 2-3-4-8-9-10
7: 2
8: 4-6-10-12
9: 1-4-5
10: 6

1x6x1x4x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2
8: 1-2-4-6-10-11-12
9: 1-4-5
10: 1-6-8-9

1x7x3x4 = 84 x .50 = $42


Good luck!
Steve

Sorry ; I ****ed ya here steve. I'm busy today and played your ticket exactly... Sorry, next time I'll leave out a winner in on of the legs to give you a shot at it.

Coach Pants 03-08-2009 03:48 PM

Is Castellano being drug tested every day? If not...he should be.

NTamm1215 03-08-2009 04:41 PM

Deputy Empress isn't much of a price in the nightcap but she has had two terrible trips to begin her career.

NT


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