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-   -   2/15: Santa Anita ($145k C/O; 2 Stakes) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=27867)

Kasept 02-15-2009 09:25 AM

2/15: Santa Anita ($145k C/O; 2 Stakes)
 
Saturday's Magna 5 will be filed under the heading 'might of been' for me, as 2 decisions foiled the chance at the $9,900 payoff. Started off well, and was shocked to see Barbara Fritchie winner Royale Michelle ($22.20) ignored at the windows to start the sequence. The West Virginia invader absolutely fit in with the group, and though KMc's Seventh Street was obviously best after the disasterous start, things happen in races. Went just 2 deep while tabbing the straight trifecta in the SA 4th, and Medzendeekron ($7.20) came through. In Leg D (GG 4th), produced the straight triple with Mutak Gold ($6.20) on top while 2 deep.

The 2 bad moves? Duke of Homberg looked slow to me in a deep Hallandale Beach, but playing totally against the $8.00 winner was the first error in judgement. And in the SA 5th nightcap, I revised the selections after the race came off the downhill turf and removed winner G's Heavenly Union ($24.80) from the picks and the wager... Uggh. This is what makes the Magna 5 fun to play however, as it frequently forces you to examime your thought process when building tickets.

Santa Anita gives us all yet another chance at a $500,000+ pool with another P6 carryover as the cards continue to be be brutally tough daily at the Great Race Place. Hope you did OK Saturday!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: 6th Daytona (Gr. III), 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Desert Code 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Euroglide 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Dark Islander 6-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Z Humor 6-1 8th

$1 Exacta (1-3) Paid $20.20


4th: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Forest Danz 5-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Union Scale 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Kingdom Come 9-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Satellite 2-1 WON

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $16.90
$1 Trifecta (8-2-3) Paid $56.60



5th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Dream Season 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Roll Model 4-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Play Reveille 5-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Michelle Marie 12-1 4th


6th: CLM, 4yo-F, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Mini Do 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Flew First Class 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Yasinisi 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Schill 3-1 3rd


7th: CAL-MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 High Note 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 SCR
Next Best: #6 Irish Pepper 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 I Can Hear 5-1 2nd


8th: 35th La Canada (Gr. II), 4yo-F, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Modification 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Bsharpsonata 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Life is Sweet 9-5 WON
Super Add: #6 Ginger Pop 6-1 6th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Katie G 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 So Pink 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Phelps Street 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #9 Minor Issues 4-1 5th
High 5 Play: #1 Evelyn 8-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-3-6-8
5: 4-8
6: 7-8
7: 1-4
8: 1-8-9
9: 5

4x2x2x3x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (8-8-3/8-1/4-9-6) 5 Correct Paid $24.60 x 2 consos = $49.20


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-7-8-9-10
7: 1-4
8: 1-8-9
9: 4-5

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

colt 45ss 02-15-2009 10:47 AM

any thoughts on gulfstream today?
 
the 3rd is intriguing any limit may break the speed barrier and steal this
thoughts?
in the 9th kiaran has a nice one but i wonder why garcia was not tabbed
thats proving to be a super tough connection

tdtony 02-15-2009 11:09 AM

hi steve
in the 6th i think lullabytime is the 3 horse.

sdjcom 02-15-2009 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by colt 45ss
the 3rd is intriguing any limit may break the speed barrier and steal this
thoughts?
in the 9th kiaran has a nice one but i wonder why garcia was not tabbed
thats proving to be a super tough connection

i passed on SA i thought card was weak for betting,4 maiden 2 short turf str alw?

sdjcom 02-15-2009 11:58 AM

sorry colt i thought you was asking about SA

Unstable 02-15-2009 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tdtony
hi steve
in the 6th i think lullabytime is the 3 horse.

... and a late scratch....

Kasept 02-15-2009 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tdtony
hi steve
in the 6th i think lullabytime is the 3 horse.

Thx Tony... But as Jonathon pointed out.. a SCR.


SANTA ANITA SCR'S

Race 6 #3 Lullabytime
Race 9 #2 Gracie Gracie

SCUDSBROTHER 02-15-2009 12:35 PM

Obviously, Desert Code is the best horse in the Daytona, but he has 2 things against him today. The main one is the 1 hole. You can see what happened the last time he had it down this hill. It s-u-c-k-s(always been that way.) That's why I (after one race) had the confidence to call Lethal Heat "Superwoman" (she broke poorly from that 1 hole, and overcame all the trouble that comes with it.) Then, you've got Gryder involved. With all the riders here, he uses one of our least talented ones. His ability is more suited for Monmouth, or the Meadowlands. This is one of the worst off the pace riders we have. It's always been that way. Matter of fact, wait for Atticus Jack to run back, and you'll see how much of a kick that horse will put in with an off-the-pace jock. D.C. is gunna have to be used early to get position, because if he is off the pace, then good luck taking low odds off the pace with Gryder. Even if ya don't agree about Gryder, the 1 hole is a handicap. Then ya got a lil bitch horse called "Sky Cape"(not good enough to win for you, but easily good enough to beat you.) There's(of course) a Mitchell down the hill(LETHAL.) Also, DARK ISLANDER, M Diamond, and Euroglide are 3 other decent turf sprinters. Maybe, skip the 3rd, and watch the white trash go around an oval in the other Daytona.

SCUDSBROTHER 02-15-2009 03:41 PM

Why they put blinks on Z humor if they weren't gunna go forward? Gomez, M Baze, and T Baze all took back. Puss-e party. Looked like they felt sorry for their blue-collar friend's whiff in Phoenix yesterday.

Kasept 02-15-2009 04:06 PM

Pool up over $1,000,000..

guido75 02-15-2009 04:16 PM

Does anyone have the payouts for Santa Anita race 5 for the pick 3 for 1$??

mclem0822 02-15-2009 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by guido75
Does anyone have the payouts for Santa Anita race 5 for the pick 3 for 1$??

What are your numbers?

guido75 02-15-2009 04:22 PM

1,2,6,7,8,9 Thank you

SCUDSBROTHER 02-15-2009 04:23 PM

multiply by 100

2.6
.52
4.9
1.2
15
1.39
.81
.46
.58

mclem0822 02-15-2009 04:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by guido75
1,2,6,7,8,9 Thank you

1-264.70
2-52.70
6-139.80
7-81.50
8-46.20
9-58.00
Sorry, I don't type very fast lol.

guido75 02-15-2009 04:29 PM

Thank you, I really appreciate it. Trying to watch the board from home and being daddy day care as well.

Guido, Good luck

Coach Pants 02-15-2009 04:34 PM

Kayla Stra is on the 3.

SCUDSBROTHER 02-15-2009 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by guido75
Thank you, I really appreciate it. Trying to watch the board from home and being daddy day care as well.

Guido, Good luck

Octamom will take em' for a day.

Coach Pants 02-15-2009 04:38 PM

Whew. Thought O'Neill stole that one.

Gotta watch his horses closely now.

SCUDSBROTHER 02-15-2009 04:41 PM

GUIDO break anything in front of the kids?


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