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-   -   Wed. 12/10: Hollywood $146k C/O Contest! (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=26617)

Kasept 12-08-2008 07:25 AM

Wed. 12/10: Hollywood $146k C/O Contest!
 
$146,155 CARRYOVER


Contest... $2,000 budget




3rd (1:30)

6 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($32,000 - $28,000) | Purse: $25,000

1 Cooperation Sutherland C 122 $32,000 L
2 Exceeding Talamo J 124 $32,000 L
3 Reality Now Bejarano R 124 L
4 Full Power Ahead Baze M C 122 $32,000 L
5 Rogue Scholar Rosario J 124 $32,000 L
6 Swiss Ski Enriquez I D 124 $32,000 L



4th (2:01)

6 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Allowance | Purse: $38,000

1 Joe'sgirlisgolden Flores D R 120 L
2 Candilejas Garcia M 122 L
3 Malusita Rosario J 122 L
4 Wind Caper Valdivia J Jr 122 Blk-On L
5 Pride Bejarano R 122 L



5th (2:32)

6 Furlongs (Turf) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $36,000

1 Magic Roberta Flores D R 120 L
2 Fastongrass Solis A 120 L
3 Exotic Design Smith M E 120 L
4 Shadow Queen Arambula P 120 L
5 Mama Lor Quinonez A 120
6 She's Our Ten Rosario J 120
7 Coracao Beijo Blanc B 120 L
1A Successful Friend Valdivia J Jr 120 L

A-Coupled: Magic Roberta and Successful Friend



6th (3:04)

1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($8,000) | Purse: $9,000

1 Silver Vista Sutherland C 124 $8,000 Blk-On L
2 Norway House Stra K 122 $8,000 L
3 Chadlington (IRE) Scott J M 122 $8,000 L
4 Bodacat Espinoza V 124 $8,000 L
5 Twin Turbo Bejarano R 124 $8,000 L
6 Glimmering Pete Delgadillo A 124 $8,000 L
7 Hot Contest Arambula P 122 $8,000 L
8 One Shot (ARG) Valdivia J Jr 122 $8,000 L



7th (3:35)

6 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($100,000) | Purse: $48,000

1 Hewitts Bejarano R 122 L
2 Frank the Barber Pedroza M A 120 L
3 Towzee (NZ) Solis A 122 L
4 Delta Storm Gryder A T 124 $100,000 L
5 Racketeer Espinoza V 120 L



8th (4:05)

1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($25,000 - $22,500) | Purse: $13,000

1 Paddlin Mud Stra K 120 $22,500 Blk-Off L
2 Ronne's Dream Arambula P 122 $22,500 L
3 Dixieland Pop Rosario J 122 $25,000 Blk-On L
4 Clever Caitlyn Talamo J 122 $25,000 L
5 This Is My Song Garcia M 124 $25,000 L
6 Mystic Seaport Blanc B 124 $25,000 L
7 Love Our Grandkids Baze M C 122 $25,000 L
8 Tis R Tanner Sutherland C 120 $22,500 L

philcski 12-08-2008 08:45 AM

Just scanned the card... VERY playable on a limited (~$200) budget.

Get to work, people. :$:

GPK 12-08-2008 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Just scanned the card... VERY playable on a limited (~$200) budget.

Get to work, people. :$:


I thought you sucked at handicapping???:zz: :D

philcski 12-08-2008 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
I thought you sucked at handicapping???:zz: :D

FVCK YOU!!!


LOL :p

GPK 12-08-2008 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
FVCK YOU!!!


LOL :p

;)

philcski 12-09-2008 10:28 AM

some thoughts:

race 3- I think #2 Exceeding is a virtual single. been running consistently better figures than any of these and returns to a level where he's been very tough (starts at 50k this year he's 3/4 with the loss being to Cost of Freedom/Bro Lo, who both would be 1/5 against this group.) Additionally he gets an ideal setup sitting off the early pace of Reality Now and Full Power Ahead. I'm against Reality Now off the long layoff shipping south, despite the good works- he'd have to run back to the 3 he earned at BM on the dirt despite shipping, layoff, pace pressure and added 1/2 furlong. I doubt Rogue Scholar will have much left in the lane but he's got a better chance at a better price.

race 5- VERY tough race. I don't think any of these are easy tosses. Have to think Magic Roberta dropping off the stakes tries will figure, and her 2nd back at DMR (a 10 Thoro) to Hwd Starlet runner Toro Bonito would get the job done, but how do you dismiss the two coming out of the Nov 13th race, plus the Sheriffs 2nd timer bred for the grass, plus two intriguing firsters?

race 7- I'll be singling Delta Storm. I'm sure a lot of people will be lured in by Racketeer's closing finish where he passed Delta Storm late in the Turf Express, and he's run well against better in the past, but the fact is this race is too short for him. Just don't think the pace will be hot enough to give him or Towzee much of a chance.

thunderdan09 12-09-2008 03:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
some thoughts:

race 3- I think #2 Exceeding is a virtual single. been running consistently better figures than any of these and returns to a level where he's been very tough (starts at 50k this year he's 3/4 with the loss being to Cost of Freedom/Bro Lo, who both would be 1/5 against this group.) Additionally he gets an ideal setup sitting off the early pace of Reality Now and Full Power Ahead. I'm against Reality Now off the long layoff shipping south, despite the good works- he'd have to run back to the 3 he earned at BM on the dirt despite shipping, layoff, pace pressure and added 1/2 furlong. I doubt Rogue Scholar will have much left in the lane but he's got a better chance at a better price.

I don't think Full Power Ahead is going to be on the lead. Look at the past performances again and you will notice that the horse has not been on lead in any of his starts. You may be talking about Rogue Scholar being ridden by Rosario. He showed speed last time out, running 22.1 and 44.3.

I can't single the #2 though even if the fractions will be hot on the front end. The horse is 1 for 9 on the Hollywood track and it doesn't bode well him when he couldn't catch Sixcess with hot fractions. I could be wrong because this is the lowest class he has ever faced, but I am very leary of singling him. I will use him, just can't single.

Rootdog1 12-09-2008 03:37 PM

If they both go, I think both the speed horses will fade....like Exceeding and Swiss Ski, with Cooperation making a big run at the wire.

philcski 12-09-2008 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
I don't think Full Power Ahead is going to be on the lead. Look at the past performances again and you will notice that the horse has not been on lead in any of his starts. You may be talking about Rogue Scholar being ridden by Rosario. He showed speed last time out, running 22.1 and 44.3.
I can't single the #2 though even if the fractions will be hot on the front end. The horse is 1 for 9 on the Hollywood track and it doesn't bode well him when he couldn't catch Sixcess with hot fractions. I could be wrong because this is the lowest class he has ever faced, but I am very leary of singling him. I will use him, just can't single.

Yes- typo on my part- good catch. You are correct, I meant Rogue Scholar.

He's no lock, but I have issues with everybody else in the race and with some coverage required in 4 out of the 5 remaining legs I think it's a good spot to cut down a ticket cost.

thunderdan09 12-09-2008 09:51 PM

Hollywood Park Pick 6
 
$2 Pick 6 (Affordable Ticket)

3: 2,3
4: 2
5: 1,4,6
6: 1
7: 1,4,5
8: 3

$36 Ticket

$2 Pick 6 (Most Likely)

3: 1,2,3,5
4: 1,2,5
5: 1,4,6,7
6: 1,4,5
7: ALL
8: 3

$1440 Ticket

$2 Pick 6 (Back-up Plan)

3: 1,2,3,5
4: ALL
5: 1
6: 1,4,5
7: 1,5
8: 3

$240 Ticket

TOTAL TICKETS: $1716

ryonker 12-09-2008 09:58 PM

3,5/2,5/1,2,6,7/1,4,5/4/3,4 = $192

All/All/1/1,4,5/All/3,4 = $1800

thanks
Ron

Bogey 12-10-2008 06:50 AM

R3 - 2 3 4 5 / 2 5 / 6 7 / 1 5 6 / 2 4 / 1 3 4 7 = $768

Good Racing Luck

cowgirlintexas 12-10-2008 07:09 AM

Meant to do this last night.. dang.. On a fly now..

3)2,3,5
4)1,4,5
5)3,7 (Really looking forward to seeing the Exotic run today!)
6)1,4
7)2,5
8)3,7

Best of Luck to all of you! :)

herkhorse 12-10-2008 07:51 AM

1-2-5/1-2-4-5/1-2-3-7/1-3-4-5/4-5/1-4

3-6/2-5/1-2/5-6/1-2-3-4/3

4/5/1-6-7/1-2-4/1-4/1-3-4-5-7-8

philcski 12-10-2008 11:52 AM

2/2,3,4,5/1,2,3,5,6,7/1,3,4,5,6,8/4/1,3,5,6,7 $1440
3,5,6/2,5/1,2,3,7/1,3,4/4/1,3,7 $432
2/2,5/4/1,3,4/4/1,3,7 $36

cassie 12-10-2008 11:53 AM

2,3,5,6/2,4,5/1,2,3/1,4,5,6/4,5/3,4,6 $1728

2,6/2,3,5/1,2,3/1,3,5,8/4,/3 $144

Heels1989 12-10-2008 12:33 PM

Playing real $$$ today:

$48

R3 2/5
R4 1/5
R5 1
R6 1/4/5
R7 4
R8 3/7

Good Luck All

swedejxn 12-10-2008 12:41 PM

2-3-5
2-5-1
1-3-6-7
4-5-8
1-2-4
3-4-5

geeker2 12-10-2008 12:41 PM

3) all
4) 4.5
5) 1,3,6
6) 8
7) 2,4
8) all

$1152 good luck to all!

Gate Dancer 12-10-2008 12:50 PM

Somewhat lame structuring but we'll give it a try...............

R3: all
R4: all
R5: 1-2-3-4-6-7
R6: 1-2-3-4-5
R7: 4
R8: 3


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