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Wed. 12/10: Hollywood $146k C/O Contest!
$146,155 CARRYOVER
Contest... $2,000 budget 3rd (1:30) 6 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($32,000 - $28,000) | Purse: $25,000 1 Cooperation Sutherland C 122 $32,000 L 2 Exceeding Talamo J 124 $32,000 L 3 Reality Now Bejarano R 124 L 4 Full Power Ahead Baze M C 122 $32,000 L 5 Rogue Scholar Rosario J 124 $32,000 L 6 Swiss Ski Enriquez I D 124 $32,000 L 4th (2:01) 6 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Allowance | Purse: $38,000 1 Joe'sgirlisgolden Flores D R 120 L 2 Candilejas Garcia M 122 L 3 Malusita Rosario J 122 L 4 Wind Caper Valdivia J Jr 122 Blk-On L 5 Pride Bejarano R 122 L 5th (2:32) 6 Furlongs (Turf) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $36,000 1 Magic Roberta Flores D R 120 L 2 Fastongrass Solis A 120 L 3 Exotic Design Smith M E 120 L 4 Shadow Queen Arambula P 120 L 5 Mama Lor Quinonez A 120 6 She's Our Ten Rosario J 120 7 Coracao Beijo Blanc B 120 L 1A Successful Friend Valdivia J Jr 120 L A-Coupled: Magic Roberta and Successful Friend 6th (3:04) 1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($8,000) | Purse: $9,000 1 Silver Vista Sutherland C 124 $8,000 Blk-On L 2 Norway House Stra K 122 $8,000 L 3 Chadlington (IRE) Scott J M 122 $8,000 L 4 Bodacat Espinoza V 124 $8,000 L 5 Twin Turbo Bejarano R 124 $8,000 L 6 Glimmering Pete Delgadillo A 124 $8,000 L 7 Hot Contest Arambula P 122 $8,000 L 8 One Shot (ARG) Valdivia J Jr 122 $8,000 L 7th (3:35) 6 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($100,000) | Purse: $48,000 1 Hewitts Bejarano R 122 L 2 Frank the Barber Pedroza M A 120 L 3 Towzee (NZ) Solis A 122 L 4 Delta Storm Gryder A T 124 $100,000 L 5 Racketeer Espinoza V 120 L 8th (4:05) 1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($25,000 - $22,500) | Purse: $13,000 1 Paddlin Mud Stra K 120 $22,500 Blk-Off L 2 Ronne's Dream Arambula P 122 $22,500 L 3 Dixieland Pop Rosario J 122 $25,000 Blk-On L 4 Clever Caitlyn Talamo J 122 $25,000 L 5 This Is My Song Garcia M 124 $25,000 L 6 Mystic Seaport Blanc B 124 $25,000 L 7 Love Our Grandkids Baze M C 122 $25,000 L 8 Tis R Tanner Sutherland C 120 $22,500 L |
Just scanned the card... VERY playable on a limited (~$200) budget.
Get to work, people. :$: |
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I thought you sucked at handicapping???:zz: :D |
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LOL :p |
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some thoughts:
race 3- I think #2 Exceeding is a virtual single. been running consistently better figures than any of these and returns to a level where he's been very tough (starts at 50k this year he's 3/4 with the loss being to Cost of Freedom/Bro Lo, who both would be 1/5 against this group.) Additionally he gets an ideal setup sitting off the early pace of Reality Now and Full Power Ahead. I'm against Reality Now off the long layoff shipping south, despite the good works- he'd have to run back to the 3 he earned at BM on the dirt despite shipping, layoff, pace pressure and added 1/2 furlong. I doubt Rogue Scholar will have much left in the lane but he's got a better chance at a better price. race 5- VERY tough race. I don't think any of these are easy tosses. Have to think Magic Roberta dropping off the stakes tries will figure, and her 2nd back at DMR (a 10 Thoro) to Hwd Starlet runner Toro Bonito would get the job done, but how do you dismiss the two coming out of the Nov 13th race, plus the Sheriffs 2nd timer bred for the grass, plus two intriguing firsters? race 7- I'll be singling Delta Storm. I'm sure a lot of people will be lured in by Racketeer's closing finish where he passed Delta Storm late in the Turf Express, and he's run well against better in the past, but the fact is this race is too short for him. Just don't think the pace will be hot enough to give him or Towzee much of a chance. |
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I can't single the #2 though even if the fractions will be hot on the front end. The horse is 1 for 9 on the Hollywood track and it doesn't bode well him when he couldn't catch Sixcess with hot fractions. I could be wrong because this is the lowest class he has ever faced, but I am very leary of singling him. I will use him, just can't single. |
If they both go, I think both the speed horses will fade....like Exceeding and Swiss Ski, with Cooperation making a big run at the wire.
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He's no lock, but I have issues with everybody else in the race and with some coverage required in 4 out of the 5 remaining legs I think it's a good spot to cut down a ticket cost. |
Hollywood Park Pick 6
$2 Pick 6 (Affordable Ticket)
3: 2,3 4: 2 5: 1,4,6 6: 1 7: 1,4,5 8: 3 $36 Ticket $2 Pick 6 (Most Likely) 3: 1,2,3,5 4: 1,2,5 5: 1,4,6,7 6: 1,4,5 7: ALL 8: 3 $1440 Ticket $2 Pick 6 (Back-up Plan) 3: 1,2,3,5 4: ALL 5: 1 6: 1,4,5 7: 1,5 8: 3 $240 Ticket TOTAL TICKETS: $1716 |
3,5/2,5/1,2,6,7/1,4,5/4/3,4 = $192
All/All/1/1,4,5/All/3,4 = $1800 thanks Ron |
R3 - 2 3 4 5 / 2 5 / 6 7 / 1 5 6 / 2 4 / 1 3 4 7 = $768
Good Racing Luck |
Meant to do this last night.. dang.. On a fly now..
3)2,3,5 4)1,4,5 5)3,7 (Really looking forward to seeing the Exotic run today!) 6)1,4 7)2,5 8)3,7 Best of Luck to all of you! :) |
1-2-5/1-2-4-5/1-2-3-7/1-3-4-5/4-5/1-4
3-6/2-5/1-2/5-6/1-2-3-4/3 4/5/1-6-7/1-2-4/1-4/1-3-4-5-7-8 |
2/2,3,4,5/1,2,3,5,6,7/1,3,4,5,6,8/4/1,3,5,6,7 $1440
3,5,6/2,5/1,2,3,7/1,3,4/4/1,3,7 $432 2/2,5/4/1,3,4/4/1,3,7 $36 |
2,3,5,6/2,4,5/1,2,3/1,4,5,6/4,5/3,4,6 $1728
2,6/2,3,5/1,2,3/1,3,5,8/4,/3 $144 |
Playing real $$$ today:
$48 R3 2/5 R4 1/5 R5 1 R6 1/4/5 R7 4 R8 3/7 Good Luck All |
2-3-5
2-5-1 1-3-6-7 4-5-8 1-2-4 3-4-5 |
3) all
4) 4.5 5) 1,3,6 6) 8 7) 2,4 8) all $1152 good luck to all! |
Somewhat lame structuring but we'll give it a try...............
R3: all R4: all R5: 1-2-3-4-6-7 R6: 1-2-3-4-5 R7: 4 R8: 3 |
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