12/6: AQU (P6)-FG (9th)-HOL (P4)
 

AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Dark Ops 5-2 4th
Next Best: #10 Forty Third Recon 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Rocket Surgeon 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1a SCR


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Akebono 9-2 5th
Best Value: #11 K.R.'s Regent 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Bubba Gum 3-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Mondo Diverso 8-1 10th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Shabaab 7-2 8th
Best Value: #6 Storm Door 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Pletcher entry 3-1 WON/3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Marital Court 6-1 7th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Three Bridge Road 5-1 9th
Best Value: #4 En Fuego 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Get Stormy 7-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Tapit's Brew 3-1 2nd


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Darkside Holiday 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 See More Spirit 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Spanky Fischbein 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Alexandros 8-1 2nd


9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Ground Hero 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Can't Refuse 15-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Retribution 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Forget the Judge 12-1 WON


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 5-10
5: 3-6-11
6: 5
7: 4-5-7-10
8: 1-2
9: 1-2

2x3x1x4x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192




FAIR GROUNDS


9th: 23rd Pago Hop, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 JOYFUL 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #4 Scolara 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Rose of Killarney 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 My Baby Baby 2-1 3rd-DH




HOLLYWOOD PARK


6th: Native Diver (Gr. III), 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Past the Point 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Slew's Tizzy 12-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #7 Ball Four 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 SCR

$1 Trifecta (1-4-7) Paid $117.70
$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $31.70


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Commandeered 7-2 8th
Next Best: #3 A Little Dumaani 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Futuro 3-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Onetimeatbandcamp 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-5) Paid $49.20


8th: Hollywood Turf Cup (Gr. I), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Winchester 3-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Champs Elysees 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Mr. Chairman 15-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Church Service 4-1 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Elleptheros 10-1 5th
Most Likely: #5 Squire Trelawney 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Royal Albert 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Devive 5-2 WON
Hi-5 Play: #10 SCR

$1 Exacta (9-5) Paid $9.60


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7
7: 2-3-4
8: 3-4 $1 Pick 3 (1-2-4) 3 Correct Paid $188.00
9: 1-5-7-9 $1 Pick 3 (2-4-9) 3 Correct Paid $50.60

3x3x2x4 = $72 $1 P4 (1-2-4-9) Paid $530.30


Good luck!
Steve

Cold but clear in New York... Turf course continues to hold its' own too!

Track: FAST
Turf: GOOD


Changes soon...

4th
1A Our Uncle Pete Early
9 Federal Deposit Early


5th
10 Lost Going Home Early
12 Ferocious Won Early
14 Lights of Broadway Early
15 Methodtomymadness Early


6th
10 Channingstown Early


7th
1A Steel Drums Early
2B Agra Early
11 Fionnaur Early
12 Weekend Action Early
13 Precursor Early


9th
1A Fit Faze Early
8 Absolute Return Early
12 Leadwithyourchin Early
13 Incredible Speed Early

Pretty interesting odds board for this race... Storm Door taking his share of money.. 9-2 off the 8-1 ML..

Pretty decent price on the 10 here in the 7th......wonder why I agree the horse should be close to favorite??

Andy more or less emploring viewers to play the $28 winning Forget the Judge.. :$:

:tro:

Yessir! Slew's Tizzy TERRIFIC winning the Native Diver! NTR. 1:46.78...

Slew'sTizzy....
 

Steve,

What did you see in that horse that made you excited about playing it...? A prior dull effort on artificial surface, no way it looked like it was ready to run a track record. What in particular made you a believer? I used 3,4,7 and thought julien's patient style along with the apparent class of Spring House would prevail.

Thanks

I/L

Both Tizzy and his full brother (Slew's Tiznow) had "throw out" experiences in the Breeders' Cup. In addition, Tizzy's prior start before the Cup, off a big layoff, may have been a taxing one. He trains over the Hollywood surface, had 6 weeks into this, and the sharp drill last week. He was the right priced horse in the mix, plus, Slew's Tiznow came back and ran great in a listed stake last time to boot.

Thanks Steve...
 

I appreciate your sharing the level of insight into a race that goes beyond the what can be gleaned strictly from the PP's. Many experienced players toss efforts on the wrong surface or distance, but keeping track of brothers and sisters..... yikes :D

I/L

In this case it's unique because they're both Joe Lacombe's and both with O'Neill. First time siblings ran in the same BC race..

Here we go again!

1: 1,787.70
5: 595.40
7: 1,082.30
9: 532.80

G/L to those who climbed aboard...

Bring it home.

NICE, Mr. Late PK4 @ HOL - Going for the trifecta this week on Sunday?

:D

Why not? :$:

Great Super in the feature last night Gus.. Well done.

And had I listened to you on the P4 single, we'd have hit that last night...

En Fuego - why not is right.

Can only take credit for posting it, totally forgot to play the super. NOT even for a dime, Go Figure

used your pick 4 nice handicpping thanks

I played En Fuego today he didn't run a lick!!!!:zz:

Thx Cassie.. Glad you played/scored.

your putting me out of bid-ness..nice job steveo:$: :tro: