12/3: Aqueduct (Inner Opener)
 

Finished out the Holiday Weekend Sunday much the way it started: with a near-miss in the Hollywood P4. Using my top 3 in the last leg wasn't enough, as it was 4th choice Shelbydell winning to wrap the $215 quad payoff. Overall, it was a wonderfully entertaining 4 days of top quality racing with a nice balance of juvenile and handicap action. Hope you did well and enjoyed Thanksgiving.

Aqueduct Inner Track opens today with several new faces in the jocks room and on the trainer roles. We might see some early surprises. Maryland wunderkind Sheldon Russell is one name to note, while Chesapeake sputnick Rosie Napravnik comes up I-95 for the first time. While there are other less familiar riders invading Ozone Park for the winter, two well known NY fixtures are back: Rich Migliore and Jorge Chavez (!).

On the training front, you can expect the usual winner's circle hijinx from Contessa and Levine, but Mike Maker is in town with 3 dozen claiming horses and figures to join the trainer leaderboard elite. And though the best of their barns will head south, Nick Zito and George Weaver are leaving sizeable strings in town. Scott Lake, Alan Iwinski and the Browns (Chad and Bruce) figure to win races as the snow flies, and the Dutrows (Rick, Anthony & Chip) will certainly hit at their typical percentage.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Aswaaq 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Right of Way 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Retriever 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Driven by Fear 15-1 5th


4th: MDN CLM ($16k), 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

SCR: 1-2-4-8

Most Likely: #7 Confirmondi 2-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Buddha Power 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Sapphire Eyes 5-2 3rd


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

SCR: 1A-9

Most Likely: #10 Charging Hero 3-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Blackfoot Trail 4-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Sigmondo 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 SCR


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 1A-2B-11-12-13-14

Most Likely: #3 Beckham Bend 5-2 WON
Best Value: #1 (POE) Moore Miles 20-1 7th
Next Best: #2 (POE) First of Ten 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Bartletts 6-1 6th


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Levine entry 8-5 6th/7th
Best Value: #5 Instant Lady 20-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Sorority Sister 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Aegean Breeze 20-1 3rd


8th: Coyote Lakes, 3+, 13f (DD, Super)

Note that Delosvientos is a distinct scratch possibility..

SCR: 4

Most Likely: #5 Ravel 3-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Lonely Highway 4-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Critical Acclaim 20-1 3rd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM ($25k), 2yo-F, 6f (Super)

SCR: 1A-2-14-15

Most Likely: #11 Knot News 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Irish Mama 5-1 WON
Next Best: #10 Cherry Lady 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #5 Hot and Bothered 8-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-4-6-8
7: 1
8: 3-5
9: 3-4-5-6-10-11

6x1x2x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

SB,

Do you find Pynaformer interesting at all in the 3rd? Draws outside, yet again, but at least this time Saymn (and trainers are still using this guy because????) will have enough time and room to make his way closer to the rail before the first turn, if he chooses to do so...which is highly unlikely, as it makes too much sense.

Sincerely,

A disgruntled chaser of this horse.

I like him in this spot as the only closer in the race with a fair amount of speed. Must play in multi's

Weather: CLEAR 37
Track: FAST
Turf: SOFT (Turf Races: 6)

SCRATCHES

1:
1 (poe) Peleliu Early

2:
1A Sister Kathleen Early
3 Credit Limit Early
8 Five Grand Girl Early

4:
1 Knock Around Guy Early NO SUPERFECTA
4 Two Run Shot Early
8 Sky Ranger Early

5:
1A J J's Prophet Early
9 Stoliatsiros Early

6:
1A Slick Wheelie Early
2B Prince Dubai Early
11 E Z Dollar Early
12 Eltish Star Early
13 Three Day Weekend Early
14 Marvelous Chester Early

8:
4 Delosvientos Early

9:
1A Karakorum Cayu Early
2 Miss P J Early
14 Tough But Fair Early
15 Marie's Gold Early

How the hell does the 2 in the third open up at 9/5 so much for the smart guy price here. Maybe the power of the picker now IS actually ruining prices. Hopefully it floats up from here

I guess the connections dropped 2 grand on the early play. Pleasantly Perfect the sire is 38% at route distances although the sample is only 21 starts. Significant?...perhaps but not an enormously powerful stat

What a nice second move by the 2...not enough but very game

Quite a job by Eddie Castro on Driven by Fear. Gets a perfect trip/set-up and Eddie manages to turn it into a fifth place finish. Stunning. Retriever another trip victim, but you were getting 17-1 on Driven by Fear.

Did it look like the Coa ran up his tail at the top of the stretch on the 7 Retriever which would be the second time today Coa has seemingly created a problem for a horse and it's only the 3rd. Whatever he did with the 1A in the first seemed to suck the life out of the horse in the gate but they didn't declare him a nonstarter so it must have been something else that kept him in the gate other than the starters fault. Coa seems to be in a bit of a funk lately...

Jesus I sound like TFM....

yes you do lol

a
 

six in a row
as salazzo said to godfather
tu salude

all right mister killya......last race what you got?? I am going to take a shot with one of the AE's that drew in for a price.....the 13 Asscher Cut....over the 3,5,6,11 for Super and tri combo's.

$1 dollar super key 13/3,5,6,11

$1 tri box with the 5 horses for $60 dollars

$10 dollar exacta 13/3,5,6,11 and reverse for $5 3,5,6,11/13

Total investment $159 I believe which leaves me McD money for the day which would have been a dynamite day if the 1 didn't with the 8th.

GL all...fixed the error

good luck

I'm putting a ten spot on Hot and Bothered and playing around in a few exactas with the 3,8,11 with her.

Ehhh. Troubled start and stretch run.