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11/8 (AQU): Red Smith H. (Gr. II)
8th (3:44) Red Smith H. (G2)
1 3/8 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $150,000 1 Hard Top (IRE) Velazquez J R 114 L 2 Always First (GB) Castro E 118 L 3 Banrock Sanchez J 116 L 4 Summer Patriot Castellano J J 116 L 5 Lauro (GER) Starke A 118 L 6 Interpatation Lezcano J 115 L 7 Strike a Deal Lopez C C 117 L 8 Presious Passion Garcia Alan 119 L 9 Wheels Up At Noon Marquez C H Jr 116 L |
Lauro looks tough in here, but I am leaning with abit of a price horse in 5-43 lifetime "Interpatation" in here. Crazy as it may seem but if you look at his last 3 out of 4 they really haven't been bad races at all. If you like Strike A Deal in this, you will atleast get a better price.
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The Euro's showing in the Breeders Cup is still fresh in my mind. I think Lauro is solid, but doubt he'lll be near ml odds of 7-2.
I'll box him with the potential upside of 10-1 Banrock, who was flying at the end of that last race,just ran out of ground. 2-1-1 reord at this distance; 3-2-0-1 at Aqueduct |
Maybe it's just me but I think this race is interesting because you can't really trust any of these horses and someone has to win.
I ended up on Strike A Deal, yes he's a renowned hole in the wallet but I had a hard time seeing he will get anything but a bad trip today if he is ridden the way he was in his last. Still think Interpatation can run a big one, but his Jekyell and Hyde tendecies make him only an exotic play. Edit - Scratch Interpatation |
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