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-   -   BC Sat. picks Free to all my buddies (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=25791)

sdjcom 10-24-2008 09:22 PM

BC Sat. picks Free to all my buddies
 
race 1 6 zappa
race 2 10 cal flag
race 3 7 albertus max
race 4 1 shakis
race 5 8 azul leon
race 6 12 grand adventure
race 7 8 sing baby sing
race 8 2 red rocks
race 9 9 curlin
race 10 11 kool comic
race 11 6 madeo

Enjoy the picks

MaTH716 10-24-2008 09:26 PM

Cue the Lynch Mob in 3,2,1......

cowgirlintexas 10-24-2008 10:21 PM

I would'nt hold your breath on cashing any of those tickets unless on perhaps in the 9th race :rolleyes: Good Luck none-the-less :)

sdjcom 10-24-2008 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cowgirlintexas
I would'nt hold your breath on cashing any of those tickets unless on perhaps in the 9th race :rolleyes: Good Luck none-the-less :)

you are probably right however I just need to hit a couple at a good price because I mostly bet wps and occasional exacta, good luck to you,

Kasept 10-24-2008 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
you are probably right however I just need to hit a couple at a good price because I mostly bet wps and occasional exacta, good luck to you,

I erased one ridiculous post from this thread already.

To the point, sdj has several interesting horses on his list that are live. I'll say here that $2 ATB on all his horses will return above the $66 it will cost. The horses below all have various appeal as board hit possibles and/or longshot winners..

If you don't swing with horses like some of these types, you will never have a big Breeders Cup.

blackthroatedwind 10-24-2008 10:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
I erased one ridiculous post from this thread already.

To the point, sdj has several interesting horses on his list that are live. I'll say here that $2 ATB on all his horses will return above the $66 it will cost. The horses below all have various appeal as board hit possibles and/or longshot winners..

If you don't swing with horses like some of these types, you will never have a big Breeders Cup.

race 1 6 zappa
race 2 10 cal flag
race 3 7 albertus max
race 4 1 shakis
race 5 8 azul leon
race 6 12 grand adventure
race 7 8 sing baby sing
race 8 2 red rocks
race 9 9 curlin
race 10 11 kool comic
race 11 6 madeo


Did your nose grow while you wrote that?

Kasept 10-24-2008 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Did your nose grow while you wrote that?

;)

blackthroatedwind 10-24-2008 10:54 PM

My favorite swing of his is Curlin. Batting practice I assume....or just a " I need cab fare home " after betting the likes of California Flag, Shakis, Azul Leon, Sing Baby Sing ( snicker ) and Red Rocks?

magic_idol 10-24-2008 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
My favorite swing of his is Curlin. Batting practice I assume....or just a " I need cab fare home " after betting the likes of California Flag, Shakis, Azul Leon, Sing Baby Sing ( snicker ) and Red Rocks?

Gee I thought for just a moment there you were singing curlins praise:eek: ................But only for a moment;)

blackthroatedwind 10-24-2008 11:01 PM

Ya know, I'm really on the fence. Half of me wants Curlin to win because he's so clearly the best dirt horse in the race.....and the other half wants him to bomb to put a final stamp on how disgraceful it is to run this year's BC races on synthetic turf.

Danzig 10-24-2008 11:09 PM

and for me...i'm beginning to tire of the 'he'll be the best in the last 25 years' if he wins crap myself.
then i think about asmussens syn ability....maybe curlin will win in spite of everything. he's the top 'cap horse this year-but will that mean a thing tomorrow?

sdjcom 10-24-2008 11:20 PM

I usally don't bet real short price horses however, This is BC and hope curlin wins. I'll stick him top and bottom with a couple of bombs to try and hit decent exacta, and enjoy the race. I don't bet 11 races on any card except BC it's more of an fun day than trying to swing for the fence.

blackthroatedwind 10-24-2008 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
I usally don't bet real short price horses however, This is BC and hope curlin wins. I'll stick him top and bottom with a couple of bombs to try and hit decent exacta, and enjoy the race. I don't bet 11 races on any card except BC it's more of an fun day than trying to swing for the fence.


Why, if you don't mind, do you like the horses you listed?

sdjcom 10-24-2008 11:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Why, if you don't mind, do you like the horses you listed?

that's the first fair and intelligent question i've received thx
well if you look you see I,ve pick horses who have run well at dmr hol osa, such as zappa cal flag, or at woodbime on syn trk. Now red rocks is a euro however he ran here and beat curlin on grass this summer. also horses who ran well at kee on syn trk. I don't spent time on Euros becuse no pace line for me to evaluate. Now I first eliminate horses on a few factors and if no pace line to compare what's left i throw them out. On any other day of year i would pass races with no pace lines, however this is BC and I will have fun and bet every race.

sdjcom 10-24-2008 11:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
;)

Thx for taking up for me you are a gentleman.

blackthroatedwind 10-24-2008 11:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
that's the first fair and intelligent question i've received thx
well if you look you see I,ve pick horses who have run well at dmr hol osa, such as zappa cal flag, or at woodbime on syn trk. Now red rocks is a euro however he ran here and beat curlin on grass this summer. also horses who ran well at kee on syn trk. I don't spent time on Euros becuse no pace line for me to evaluate. Now I first eliminate horses on a few factors and if no pace line to compare what's left i throw them out. On any other day of year i would pass races with no pace lines, however this is BC and I will have fun and bet every race.


There are plenty of horses with Synthetic Track form. Azul Leon got drowned in the Norfolk, against quite a few in this field, and has all the obvious earmarks of a closing sprinter. What made him interesting to you? So Sing baby Sing won on Polytrack at Keeneland. That's a different surface....why is it better than the ones with experience on THIS synthetic surface? Does it not bother you that Red Rocks was scratched out of the Sword Dancer and has enormous gaps in his works since his last race.....which was 3 1/2 months ago?

sdjcom 10-25-2008 12:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
There are plenty of horses with Synthetic Track form. Azul Leon got drowned in the Norfolk, against quite a few in this field, and has all the obvious earmarks of a closing sprinter. What made him interesting to you? So Sing baby Sing won on Polytrack at Keeneland. That's a different surface....why is it better than the ones with experience on THIS synthetic surface? Does it not bother you that Red Rocks was scratched out of the Sword Dancer and has enormous gaps in his works since his last race.....which was 3 1/2 months ago?

I agree in your analysis however i don't get to much into the trip and detail handicapping, because I
don't get to watch to many races and have the time. I,m an otr trk driver and stay out 2-3 weeks at a time then come home for 4 days. I do have a lap top with me at alltimes with wi-fi and try to keep up. So i'm lazy and load info into my horse program and take results and try to pick overlays. It's a hobby and labor of love but I do all right for a part timer

sdjcom 10-25-2008 12:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
I agree in your analysis however i don't get to much into the trip and detail handicapping, because I
don't get to watch to many races and have the time. I,m an otr trk driver and stay out 2-3 weeks at a time then come home for 4 days. I do have a lap top with me at alltimes with wi-fi and try to keep up. So i'm lazy and load info into my horse program and take results and try to pick overlays. It's a hobby and labor of love but I do all right for a part timer

also I will say I eyeball the form first and eliminate horses before entering in program, so I really handicap somewhat.

blackthroatedwind 10-25-2008 12:14 AM

That's great. Thanks.

I do wonder, however, given what you just said, how you think it's OK to do the enormous amount of lecturing you have done on this site. I just assumed you were doing it from more of a position of strength.


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